Stopping in Changhua on the way to Lukang.
I went biking today with a couple of friends and my son, from Taichung to Lukang and back again. We got back and I found that a commenter wanted to know about biking and me. I've been mulling over posting on that.
Drying wood-ear fungus on the steps of a building in Lukang.
It's difficult, of course, explain what biking means to me. I can show you easily -- put you on a decent bike, and make you experience that wow! moment when you realize that biking is everything its evangelists have cracked it up to be. I myself don't know what that moment was for me, but I do know that after I came back from that first trip down the east coast earlier this year I was totally hooked, even though my bike was a complete piece of crap and I utterly unfit.
Goat meat and pork in a Lukang market.
I suppose the easiest map to make is the terrain of the physical changes.
Me on the dike along the north side of the river, south of Taichung. The dike has been turned into a first-rate bike path, with lovely views, and layered with smooth, new pavement.
Here's me today. No question but the gut remains. Yet my belt reminds me each month: I am shrinking. I've reached the last loop on it and in the next couple of months will probably have to buy a new one. My waistline has shrunk 3-4 inches since I started biking in February, and the weight has been wrung from my face, shoulders, and legs. I never imagined that at 46 I'd be able to lose any weight, let alone significant amounts. And then there are little side benefits, like being to climb stairs without puffing. And being able to bike 100 kilometers and arrive in a condition to do at least another 50. And have the same heart data I had twenty years ago.
Between the noisy election trucks and the constant crescendoing cacaphony of religious processions, Lukang was a madhouse today.
That's one of the things that makes biking so addictive -- not merely physical improvement, but steady physical improvement, often in seven-league boot sizes. Not just being able to see the improvement, but to measure yourself against what you used to be able to do, and see that each time you do it, you get better.
Yes, those are real horses.
But it's more than that. I took my friend who hadn't biked in years out the other day and he remarked: "I never realized how much time we'd have to chat!" The social aspect of biking, spending hours chatting with others while biking through stunning mountain terrain, is a major attraction. But more than that, on bikes you meet people too, in addition to the ones you are traveling with.
The real fun of this ride is coming up the West Coast Highway back from Lukang to Taichung, through flatlands populated by random unrelated objects, like things the gods tossed here because they had no place else to put them. My son and I came up the access road along 61, riding along the dikes lining the rivers when the road disappeared.
When do you know you're well and truly addicted? When you start looking forward to hills. When you feel guilty that you didn't do any on a route. When you stop doing that hill you used to be unable to do without an embarrassing number of rests, because it is too easy. When you are driving on the highway and see a hill, and start plotting how you'd climb it.
Wetlands presided over by wind machines lined most of the route.
Today I biked over 90 kilometers in Changhua and Taichung, and it sounds like a lot, but I know that in the Great Book in the Sky where the Biking Gods write down your accomplishments, this one doesn't count: the route had no hill.
A man watches his friends fishing under Hwy 61.
So many people have written so much -- biking is like being a kid again. It's immersive. It's exercise that's interesting. It's healthy activity that actually enables you to get somewhere. It keeps you young and strong -- a friend told me today that his doctor nearly panicked when my friend's resting pulse turned out to be 48.
My son parks by the dike on under 61
And whatever makes it good, is doubled if your family and friends are with you.
An egret waits in the flat light and muddy land.
When something both concrete and wonderful changes your life, takes it over, enlarges it, reshapes you, words fail.
Also, cows.
All I can say is that I am a total addict.
..and fish farms.
I hope that all of you in your 20s and 30s will make the effort to get out there and bike. The lone regret I have about biking is that I didn't start twenty years ago. When you get to forty and start biking, you'll regret that failure.
On the muddy field bottoms, the crabs move in.
The brilliant and eccentric General Charles Gordon, who died in Khartoum fighting the Mahdi, once said that he would rather spend one night in the desert with the Mahdi's men than attend a year of dinner parties in London.
....and recycling.
That's pretty much how I feel about biking.
You're never far from a ruined factory in Taiwan.
Biking has taken me places I'd never imagined I'd be. It has shown me that I can succeed at things I never thought I could do, and tortured me with spectacular and humiliating failures at things I had hoped I could accomplish.
During the election season I have seen election displays all over northern and central Taiwan. This is the only image I've seen of a current candidate with President Ma.
It has put me face to face with landslides in Tianxing, and five hundred meter drops just above Lishan. It has had me in a tidal pool off Shitiping after a 75 kilometer ride, and a spa in Jiaoxi after a spin down the northeast coast. It has brought me up short of a viper on 7 out of Baling, and made me an object of interest for every dog between Taichung and Hsinchu.
Lunch? Pets? Zoo displays?
I've gone a thousand meters up a massive mountain in a single morning, and introduced myself to dozens of lovely betel nut girls. I have pierced curls of smoke on a rolling dawn as the farmers burned off their fields, and sped past the stink of mud and trash oozing from the muck of a canal next to the ocean in Changhua. I've bantered with the old women selling me water and mantou, and exchanged hellos with farmers spraying fruit trees in the fading light of a summer evening. I've skimmed into Chingshui port for sashimi, and lugged the last few klicks to the only noodle stand for a hundred miles in any direction.
A deity perambulates before a temple.
I've nursed a flat tire as the gravel trucks blew by me on 3 in Shihgang, and wolfed down Vietnamese food in Fengyuan as my bike waited patiently by the door. I've rolled down 52 above Miaoli at 75 kmph and crawled up the 9% grade above Fuxing at 5 kmph. I've looked down on the lovely Liyu Reservoir and up at the terrifying landslide scarp at Jiufen Ershan. I've sweated out the kilometers under the pitiless hammering sun on a thousand simmering roads, and yelled at my friend for pushing me beyond my limits on a gorgeous fall day under the sumptuous shade-bringing pines on the way to Puli. I have seen the backs of my companions as they left me behind, and their glad grins again in the evening over beer and fried rice. I've stood with my son next to chasms as deep as geological eras, and heard the whistle of teapots in houses far above, filling the mountains as a crisp dawn cracked across the peaks with six hundred meters of hill in front of me and a handful of people I love at my side.
No man can say these things well. All I can really say is this:
I've climbed. I've biked. I've lived.
You should too.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Saturday, November 14, 2009
How to construct a smear
Taipei, Nov. 11 (CNA) The Special Investigation Division (SID) of Taiwan's Supreme Prosecutors Office said Wednesday that as of now they have no evidence indicating former President Chen Shui-bian had any involvement in a mysterious fund deposited in Palau, but prosecutors said that if necessary, they will request Palau's government provide information on the US$41 million.Keep this information from earlier this week in mind when you read this China Post article of December 3, 2008:
Speculations of Chen's involvement in the fund fanned by Taiwan's media after Palau's President Johnson Toribiong said in an interview with local television channel, TVBS, on Monday that a fund of US$41 million had been remitted from his country's Pacific Saving Bank, which has gone bankrupt, to an unspecified overseas bank in 2005.
Toribiong said the fund was deposited in that bank one year before Chen's visit to Palau. Although Toribiong said he was not sure whether the fund has anything to do with Chen, Taiwanese media have suggested that there might be a connection.
But the SID said in a statement Wednesday that even if there was such a transaction, it is hard to identify the relation between the transaction and the money laundering case of the former first family.
TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Former President Chen Shui-bian smuggled cash aboard his Air Force One to Palau, where the money was laundered, Kuomintang lawmaker Chiu Yi charged yesterday.[MT: Chiu Yi, the convicted felon whose charges are never right.]From Dec 4 article in response to the one above, in which Chen and the Air Force (an incidental victim of the smear) angrily denied the charges:
Chen paid a state visit to Koror from Sept. 3 to 6, 2006. He flew there aboard Air Force One, which returned to Taipei without him. He later took a commercial flight to return to Taipei.
At least NT$170 million (US$5.17 million) was aboard the presidential jet, the expose expert legislator said. The plane took off from Songshan Air Force Base, where no luggage was checked.[MT: But the President of Palau said the money was deposited a year before Chen got there, in 2005.]
The Chinese-language China Times said yesterday that "its understanding" was that the SIP found, through the information obtained from the flash disk of former presidential treasurer Chen Chen-hui, that the former first family has a "secret account" at the First Bank in Palau.[MT: Remember, SIP has now said it has no evidence Chen is connected to this money. So either the leaker is lying, or China Times is just making stuff up.]Two months ago in the Taipei Times:
Investigators suspected that NT$170 million of that account might have come from financial holding firms or communications companies, the report said.
The report described the former president's residence as an "international financial trading center" as the transactions were rife during the time of the former president's state visit. The report said the SIP was planning to subpoena Michael Chang, former chairman of the First Bank.
Meanwhile, the Air Force yesterday denied allegations that it helped Chen by sending the cash.
"The Air Force strictly abided by the rules in operating the presidential jet and did not do anything outside the law," it said.
Citing the denials from the Air Force, the First Bank and Chen's then security chief, Chen's office called on the accuser to produce his or her evidence to the SIP instead of speaking on behalf of the SIP.[MT: SIP now says it has no evidence that Chen was connected to that money. Not only that, but a connection would be hard to prove. Flash disk with the secret account information? What are you talking about?]
SIP not looking into Palau bank deposit claim against ChenA quick search will find this interesting tale, full of contradictions and false claims, to have ensconced itself around the web. The reality is contained in the terse sentences from the SID:
MORE ALLEGATIONS: ‘Next Magazine’ said that the former president may have taken US$40 million with him on a trip to Palau and deposited it there [MT: The President may have taken $40 million to Palau and deposited it there. The President may also have taken the carcass of an alien from Area 51, the entire genealogical records of the crowned heads of Europe, and the formula for Coke, and left them in Palau. Chen is truly a clever man, having eluded reporters domestic and international, his security, stray airmen aboard Air Force One, along with assorted paparazzi, bank customers, and KMT agents, to walk into a bank in Palau with $40 million (or $5 million, let's not be picky about details) in cash. Because you know how often heads of states walk into banks in Palau, and nobody notices. I bet they get five or six a day.]
Thursday, Sep 03, 2009, Page 3
Prosecutors investigating former president Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) yesterday denied they were looking into allegations that the former president deposited US$40 million in laundered funds in a bank account in Palau.[MT: Whose allegations?]
Chen Yun-nan (陳雲南), spokesperson for the Supreme Prosecutor’s Office Special Investigation Panel (SIP) said prosecutors were not probing the allegations, but hinted that “other units” were looking into the matter.
When asked what units were investigating the allegations, Chen Yun-nan declined to comment.[MT: Other units indeed! Those unidentified other units are so useful, if they didn't exist, they would have to be invented to keep that smear up!]
The Chinese-language weekly Next Magazine yesterday said that when Chen visited Palau in September 2006, he may have taken US$40 million with him and deposited it in Palau’s National Development Bank.
The bank received a large deposit in one of its accounts during Chen’s visit, the magazine said.[MT: When was that money deposited? Oh yeah, 2005, says Palau's President, a year before Chen landed on Palau's fair shores. Oh yeah, the money was remitted to a US bank the year before Chen came to Palau, says the President of Palau.]
The magazine said US officials suspect money laundering because the US$40 million was then wired to accounts in the US through several transactions. [MT: Because everyone knows if there is money laundering in Palau, Chen Shui-bian is conducting it. He launders money when he is not causing earthquakes, hurricanes, and injuries to Wang Chien-ming's pitching arm. And why is the US watching Palau? Could it be because Palau was sanctioned in 2000 for money laundering problems, a common problem among Pacific Islands?]
...they have no evidence indicating former President Chen Shui-bian had any involvement in a mysterious fund deposited in Palau...Nevertheless, I'm sure it will be repeated as gospel from now on that Chen deposited a hundred million billion zillion dollars, along with the jewels of Romanovs and several tons of Inca gold, in an account in Palau.*
....even if there was such a transaction, it is hard to identify the relation between the transaction and the money laundering case of the former first family....
*Disclaimer for yammerheads operating in dichotomous brainless thought frameworks: that Chen is smeared does not mean he is innocent. Nothing in this post should be construed as me advocating a position for or against Chen or on his innocence or guilt. I'm as certain as you are that he caused the Dark Ages, the Fall of Rome, and Sauron's agents to find the Ring, and probably makes the chocolate melt in your hand, not in your mouth, as well. No animals were harmed in the making of this post.
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Ma: Half of Aboriginal Villages Must Be Moved
Thirty-three out of 64 aboriginal settlements around the country have been determined by experts as unsafe and will probably have to be relocated, President Ma Ying-jeou said Tuesday.Read that last sentence. The two experts didn't actually visit any of the sites. It's been three months now -- heck, I've visited that many aboriginal villages by bike in the last three months. However, Chen Hung-yu (
"We are working on plans to keep the aboriginal settlements at their original sites as much as possible, but if relocation is the only option, we hope the people living in these settlements will defer to the government's judgment," he said.
Aware that the residents of these settlements would rather rebuild their homes at their original sites, the president said safety should be the top consideration and urged people to look at the issue rationally.
"The government will find proper locations to rebuild settlements for these people," he said.
Citing a study by Chen Hung-yu, a geology professor, and Lin Ming-lang, a civil engineering professor, both at National Taiwan University, Ma said other 10 settlements are considered "safe with conditions," with the remaining 21 declared safe.
He said the two experts based their findings on aerial photos, topographic maps and satellite photos of the settlements.
In a post on the Ma Administration shock doctrine I pointed to a Taiwan News editorial that slammed the government for the new legislation rammed through after the typhoon. For years many aboriginal communities in the mountains have been a thorn in the side of developers, asking for more money, or protesting against projects. The new act gives the government the authority to order the aborigines to move, exempts the government from having to consider the environment, national parklands, or similar, and puts a commission composed of the government and large development corporations in charge of the project. Read the whole post, it is quite informative. Here were seeing the first fruits of the new law -- just in time for elections.
Note that during the Chen Administration the Chen government moved to give the aborigines greater autonomy and to pass new laws, sadly much ignored in practice by both of the major parties.
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Cross-Strait Relations: Political Theatre and Political Reality
The Chiang-Chen meeting was delayed by political factors, while the ECFA negotiations were delayed for economic reasons. The two sides have constantly argued over whether cross-strait talks should put economics before politics or focus on both, but now it seems there are both economic and political problems.I think Lin, while often insightful, is confusing the political theater with the actual politics in this case.
Politically, the problem is quite serious. It is not the Dalai Lama’s visit or the screening of the documentary about Rebiya Kadeer. Rather, the problem is Ma’s three conditions for political negotiations that he proposed indirectly through Foundation on Asia-Pacific Peace Studies chairman Chao Chun-shan (趙春山).
The first condition is finalizing a cross-strait financial memorandum of understanding (MOU) and signing an ECFA. This places business before politics, something that China does not like.
The second is a domestic Taiwanese consensus; since mainstream opinion supports Taiwanese independence, China is not pleased.
The third is international approval, which not only overturns Ma’s own promise that cross-strait relations override diplomatic concerns, it also invites foreign forces to interfere in what Beijing sees as China’s domestic affairs. This is even less acceptable to China.
The three conditions proposed by Ma are the usual nonsense for public consumption. The MOU and ECFA will be signed because both the KMT and the CCP want them to be signed; they are necessary steps in the long-term process of absorption and annexation. Chinese officials have made this clear, as earlier this year a flunkie at a conference here said the Chinese viewed this as a necessary step in annexation. How can something the Chinese want be an obstacle to agreement? Anything said on this score is mere political theatre designed to impress or intimidate....
The second condition, consensus, is no more real than the first, though the Administration is now pushing it -- the other day Premier Wu said that they would want 60% support for ECFA. How could that be a problem? I blogged a while ago on ECFA and MAC polls....
Here are the first two questions that address the first paragraph:Questions 1 and 2 from a previous poll. Although the central meaning is practically identical, the wording is different, and so the response is different. Essentially, a skilled pollster can get 60% of respondents to agree to almost any proposition, so it will not be difficult for the government to make the MAC polls say what it wants.Note how totally loaded question number 2 is; it appears that it is there only to produce a higher number in case (1) turned out to be a failure (as it actually did). MAC could also have given the percentage answer to number 1 as the actual level of support.
- 1. A cross-Strait MOU on financial services is a base document of cooperation to be signed by the financial regulatory authorities of both sides of the Strait for the exchange of information, confidentiality of information, regulatory mode, and mechanism of coordination. Do you think Taiwan should sign a cross-Strait MOU on financial service? (46.3% yes)
- 2. To date, we have signed MOUs on financial services with 32 countries or areas. Do you think we should negotiate and sign an MOU with the Mainland? (52% yes)
But they don't even need that. All the Administration has to do is submit any ECFA agreement to the rubber-stamp legislature and then claim that legislative approval = public consensus = 60% support. There are lots of routes for avoiding this "problem" of obtaining a "consensus."
The third issue, international approval, is no better. It would be easy to find approving statements from policymakers in Europe and the US on cross-strait "reconciliation", or to point to statements like that of the European Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan telling Taiwan to hurry up and sign an ECFA, because everyone knows that after we sign the ECFA, everyone in Taiwan will instantly become rich, not to mention good looking and able to drive properly.
In short, the three problem-causing conditions are the usual Ma Ying-jeou scattering earnest political theater remarks over commentators like pixie dust to confuse and bedazzle.
The rest of the article is excellent, and in fact Lin identifies some of the real issues:
The real problem involves setting up financial institutions. Beijing insists on different entry thresholds for Taiwanese firms in China and Chinese firms in Taiwan, and it also wants to be allowed to invest in 8.5-generation flat screen plants in Taiwan using Taiwanese technology and personnel, but it refuses to promise not to block Taiwan from negotiating free-trade agreements with other countries.Read that bolded part again: China WILL NOT promise not to block Taiwan's FTAs with other nations. Read what it really says: even if Taiwan kowtows, China will block FTAs with other nations. Why else would they be preserving that option? All those foreign commentators who claim that China will let Taiwan have FTAs if only we sell out, take note.
These problems mean that Taipei has finally encountered Beijing’s most ambitious attack against Taiwan’s core strategic sectors, and this conundrum will not be easily resolved.
What's driving the business is really Taiwan's financial services industry, which hopes to make a killing in the China market, and the local market be damned. Taiwan News reported today:
Local financial services executives are more keen about gaining access to China than they are concerned about competition once Taiwan's financial market is opened to Chinese banks, Lee Jih-chu, vice chairperson of the Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC), said Friday.Imagine that! No wonder the hot money is pouring into Taiwan in anticipation of the "opening" to China (opening the way the valve at the bottom of a toilet opens when you press the handle). Since I feel a burst of full-on Marxist Wallersteinian analysis coming on, I will refrain from further commentary on the ethics and goals of the global financial community.
FSC Chair Sean Chen also sent a message to the ECCT in his comments in the article above:
As to Chinese banks gaining access to Taiwan, Chen said that initially Chinese banks would only be allowed to set up a single branch in Taiwan and would likely target big clients, putting them mostly in competition with foreign banks operating here.In 2o07, in another declaration from its alternate reality, the ECCT head said that Taiwan has failed to copy the Korean model and so has not done as well -- but simply showed that it understood neither the South Korean model nor the DPP government's policies. The excellent Commonwealth article in my daily links today recently observed of South Korea's response to China:
TIER research fellow Yang Chia-yen says the most obvious impact of South Korea's free trade agreements with the U.S. and Europe is that they have accelerated progress in the country's domestic legal environment and in conforming to international norms. Compared to the "Chaiwan"strategy adopted by Taiwan's government and enterprises, South Korea's diversified development strategy is worth considering.For once I agree with the ECCT -- Taiwan hasn't done as well as South Korea, because it hasn't followed the same diversified strategy. Read the whole article; even the Singapore diplomats are complaining about the Ma Administration's China obsession.Pondering the competition between South Korea and Taiwan, Yang warns: "If things go on like this, who will gain the edge and who will lose it, who will decline and who will grow – I'm afraid the answer will be brutal."
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Daily Links
- Taoyuan Nights peers with jaundiced eye at claims for Asian housing markets
- A friend flipped me this extensive and informative piece on ECFA from Commonwealth magazine, which is far from a pro-Green publication, commenting....
- Businessweek: Taiwan's tech dreams -- if we can survive the KMT's disastrous economic policies, Taiwan might well fly in the future tech industries.
- Greentours in the UK praises the island's green tour potential
Commonwealth outdoes itself with this excellent report on the problems of ECFA. First it explains why unemployment will likely rise as SME flee to China. Then it explains how HK has suffered under its agreement with China only to further show how South Koreas has stalled on an agreement with China over fears of unemployment and instead focused on trade agreements with as many players as it can. Throw in a few shots at how the Ma admin is overly focused on China and you have a pretty good summary of your blogging for the past year. LOL.
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Latest County Chief Election Polls from GV
DPP candidates on a sign in Nantou.
Global Views, which is not pro-Green, released a set of polls on the county chief elections at the end of the year in Pingtung, I-lan, Nantou, and Chiayi. The results?
In I-lan, the DPP candidate has a 55%-44% lead. In Pingtung, it is 58-41. In Chiayi, where the KMT split, it is 54-44. Only in Nantou is the KMT leading, crushing the DPP candidate 61-33.
It's early, but that is good news.
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Global Views, which is not pro-Green, released a set of polls on the county chief elections at the end of the year in Pingtung, I-lan, Nantou, and Chiayi. The results?
In I-lan, the DPP candidate has a 55%-44% lead. In Pingtung, it is 58-41. In Chiayi, where the KMT split, it is 54-44. Only in Nantou is the KMT leading, crushing the DPP candidate 61-33.
It's early, but that is good news.
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Friday, November 13, 2009
RDEC Fail
Taiwan What's Up, which is trying to become an info source for foreigners in Taiwan, sent around a survey about local web portals, which Forumosa then disseminated to the wider expat community (it's originally from the RDEC). The survey is weirdly designed as it is, but Feiren alerted me to a marker of the underlying racialist construction of ROC identity in question 26. Among the choices for defining yourself, you can be a Foreigner with ROC Nationality.
UPDATED: Decided to change it to RDEC to better reflect the origin of it
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UPDATED: Decided to change it to RDEC to better reflect the origin of it
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Economic Views
Taiwan will bar foreign investors from putting money in time deposits with immediate effect, the island's financial regulator said on Tuesday, as the authority moves to curb what it sees as currency speculation.To put it simply, each time someone puts money into Taiwan's banks as NT dollars, they must buy Taiwan dollars. This new demand puts pressure on the NT to rise in value, just as any other good might when demand for it rises. Not only does a rising NT threaten Taiwan's export industries at a delicate time -- it makes everything they sell more expensive -- but it also threatens a speculative bubble that could do grave harm to the economy when it pops.
The Financial Supervisory Commission announced the move at a news conference after the island's central bank said in October that foreign investors have parked about T$500 billion ($15.5 billion) in Taiwan dollar accounts.
Foreign funds have been actively entering Taiwan's forex market in recent months, on expectations that the currency will strengthen further.
Against this background Heritage Foundation today hosts a piece on Taiwan's economic relationship with China, with several excellent observations.
It may be difficult to imagine how the centerpiece of Taiwan's economic strategy could be anything other than more open trade and investment with the PRC. The PRC will shortly be the second largest economy in the world and, barring catastrophic events, will be one of the four largest economies indefinitely, perhaps even becoming the largest within a generation.[3] Such a market is obviously a powerful attraction to an island of 22 million people less than 150 miles off the Chinese coast. However, the most lucrative years for Taiwan-China business and trade have already passed.The piece ends with policy recommendations. Just what is China's economic growth is a matter of some controversy, as a piece on Politico today rounded up the voices of critics who think China's growth is in large part illusory. But Scissors' major point, that Taiwan needs to diversify away from China, is one that the DPP attempted to put into operation during its eight years at the helm of the government.
As an investment, China is moving from a "growth" stock to a "value" stock. In terms of raw growth, the days of 14 percent GDP gains in the '90s and 12 percent GDP gains earlier this decade are gone, to be replaced (after the post-crisis bounce) by long-term growth of about 8 percent annually. And that is if all goes well.[4]
Specifically, the PRC's successful globalization means there are fewer opportunities left for Taiwanese companies. In the 1980s, the mainland desperately needed intermediaries to connect more fully to the outside world. That is no longer the case.
In the 1990s, China became one of the centers for global production. This process involved several hundred billion dollars of investment from elsewhere in East Asia for the purpose of relocating production to the PRC.[5] Preferential access for Taiwan at that time would have been economic and commercial gold. Now, China's cost advantages are at risk, and production will inevitably begin to move elsewhere. Both the mainland as a source of dynamism for the Taiwanese economy and Taiwan playing a pivotal role in mainland development in return are therefore waning--not waxing--forces.
Beyond China, a central Taiwanese motivation in negotiating ECFA is to secure access to trade pacts involving the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with which the island has considerable economic ties.[6] But there is no guarantee, even with an ECFA, that China will tolerate ASEAN extending such pacts to Taiwan. Further, the Taiwanese economic relationship with ASEAN shares the critical feature of the cross-straits relationship: a current lack of dynamism.
Other options should therefore be cultivated. In particular, Taiwan should seek partners poised for a period of especially rapid growth, better positioned to achieve rapid gains from fresh globalization, and in greater need of Taiwanese technology and service industries.
An obvious candidate is India. India is now entering a demographic expansion of similar magnitude and importance to the one the PRC is leaving.[7] Technology is an Indian strength but India's service sector offers many opportunities for mutual gain from Taiwanese investment. And, just as with the PRC earlier in the reform process, the potential size of the Indian economy makes opportunities for Taiwan effectively limitless. In some ways, India is China 15 years ago, with a decade of 12-13 percent growth potentially available, to be then possibly followed by the same 8 percent annual expansion China now seeks.
A move toward India has another obvious advantage, and that is India's position as a geostrategic counterweight to China. But our current administration, which has conceded our diplomatic space to the Chinese, isn't likely to move in that direction either diplomatically or economically.
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Daily Links
- AP on gangsters in local politics. Good to see this key feature of the island's political life get some play in the international media. Quick, Economist, another piece on what's really important, Chen Shui-bian!
- Dennis Hickey recommends that the US use weapons sales as a bargaining chip over the missiles facing Taiwan.
- Neil Wade with a fascinating river running trip in eastern Taiwan.
- Cows from the Penghu to Taiwan
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Finding a Happy Medium
When Liu was only one year old, people discovered her powers as a medium. By the time she was six, she had already begun helping friends and relatives in picking numbers for the various lotto games played in Taiwan. When she was 15 years old, she entered a temple where Taoist rites are held and quickly became the foremost medium there.David Jordan has an interesting description here of a medium's first trance and its effect on the life of a village. He observes...
Liu said that by the time she was 26 years old, she had become exhausted with the lifestyle of a medium and decided to change her life path. She revealed that some temple mediums actually communicate the messages of ghosts rather than gods. Liu related one example in which a woman who was ill wanted her to write out a prescription. Liu said she relied on the help of the spirit of Li Bao-yan, a doctor from the Ming dynasty. In this case, she said, she was actually a medium to a doctor, translating his instructions. It was not like she was communicating with a god, she said.
Liu, who is presently 30 years old, said in a frank manner that she is in fact no more than an ordinary student now. “People seemed to have overly high expectations of me in terms of my powers as a medium. It really puts a lot of pressure on me,” Liu said. She added that quite often whether people are able to get the result that they desire largely rests with themselves.
Liu stressed gods are not going to go out of their way to help devotees to achieve what the gods believe are unimportant things, such as making lots of money. She added that they are not going to use mediums to pass along messages of such little importance to them. As for the increasing number of people who desire to be mediums, Liu expressed a few words of caution, saying, “You better be careful about who you are communicating with. If it is a ghost, you could find yourself being tormented quite a bit.”
Liu has been a baseball fan from the time she was a little girl. She said that she never considered giving up her dream just because she was female. Three years ago, she passed the exam to become a baseball umpire. Assisted by another umpire from the Chinese Taipei Baseball Association, Hung Su-ming, Liu became the first female home plate umpire on a ball field here in Taiwan. To date, she already has over 400 games under her belt as a base umpire or home plate umpire.
A small number of umpires did not want to have anything to do with her in the beginning. For example, there were some umpires who refused to sit in any seat that she had sat in. There were even cases in which umpires who made incorrect calls tried to place the blame on her. Nonetheless, she said none of these experiences caused her to lose enthusiasm for the game.
In the eyes of baseball players, Liu is actually a lucky charm on the diamond. She knows how to prevent conflicts on the field and can resolve tense situations through laughter. In addition, with a black belt in karate, she has the physical stamina to be able to umpire four games a day.
Spirit mediums, when they are not in trance, are just like everyone else. They plow fields, eat with their families, and drink with their friends. But when they are possessed, they speak with the voice of godly authority, and, not surprisingly, godly authority is very influential in village opinion. When the gods can be made to recommend public policy, they do so with great effect. The political implications of a new spirit medium were by no means lost on village people.Since many will follow a medium's advice -- ultimately in the case discussed by Jordan the whole village did -- it is obvious that a politician who can subborn a medium has a powerful ally. In a temple near my house the medium frequently directs locals who come for help to a certain address in my township -- and what a coincidence! -- it's the address of the local KMT headquarters. It is understanding things like this that explain why a Miaoli politician who made donations to sixteen local temples to get them to push his candidacy to their followers was indicted for vote buying.
Margaret Chan discusses tang-ki (spirit medium) worship in a chapter that is online, noting that it has roots in old Chinese religious practice, and is also the religious practice of marginalized peoples.
Tang-ki (a Hokkien term, 乩童pinyin jitong) worship evolved among peasant people disenfranchised by the state religion. In imperial China rights to worship followed a strict hierarchy and lay entirely in the hands of the educated establishment. The response of the marginalised was to create a religion of people power. Where the emperor had to petition heaven and pray to be heard, tang-ki worshippers could summon gods to appear before them to do their bidding.The bloody mortification that mediums undergo symbolizes the warrior tang-ki who does battle with violent demons, but it also authenticates the possession of the medium: surely no man could thus mutilate himself unless he was indeed possessed of a god. Chan ends with a beautiful paragraph on the performance aspect of medium worship:
Tang-ki worship relies on a performance contract between actor and spectator. Tang-kis perform for their audiences of devotees, the roles of well-loved gods drawn from Chinese folklore and mythology. The devotee-spectator accepts that the performance is a divine manifestation. Although the spectators can clearly see that the performer is a person (and probably one that they know as a family member or friend) they suspend disbelief, and believe, as an article of faith, that they are seeing a performance by a god incarnate. In tang-ki worship the staging of theatre is not for entertainment; among believers it is a magical ritual that transforms a mortal into god en-theos. The concept is one of transmogrification, not mere spirit possession and devotees believe that the tang-ki is truly a god in the flesh. In tang-ki worship the very act of theatre is a rite of incarnation where ritual is theatre, theatre is ritual.This connection between theatre and ritual is also old in the west, as anyone who has studied Greek drama or medieval plays is aware. And so this brings us back to Liu, who, umpire or medium, is still mediating between fate and human beings in the context of a performance spectacle. May all the gods guide her!
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
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8:23 PM
Monday, November 09, 2009
Daily Links, Nov 9, 2009
The island's best food? Perhaps in terms of flavor/value, it's the Vietnamese and Thai places that cluster around industrial districts. Here's the $60 shredded papaya at the Vietnamese place across from the industrial processing zone in Tanzi just north of Taichung.
I'd love to be blogging more, but I've just been swamped, it's never been like this before.
BLOGS:
This week President Ma was in Nantou with Premier Wu Den-yih, stumping for local politicians. Premier Wu has old Nantou connections and is a canny political player in local politics. He was featured here on this sign forming "public construction's iron triangle" (as the sign says) with two local candidates. No other national KMT figure was on a sign with any local KMTer, and President Ma was conspicuous by his absence. Nothing shows his decline in popularity better: in 2004 Ma was on many local candidates' signs. The sign also signals that with the close connections to the Premier, public construction funding will flow into Nantou to feed and water local patronage networks.
MEDIA: Taiwan's Supreme Court strikes down hugely unfair law under which it was legal to buy the services of a prostitute, but illegal to be one. Excellent piece from former AIT head Nat Bellocchi on Obama's coming visit to China. Chinese diplomat says US and Chinese reps are negotiating a "new intellectual framework" for US-China relations. Peng Ming-min, longtime democracy campaigner here, warns Ma that a Nobel for a peace agreement would be a sellout. Taitung Shaman school thrives. WSJ says Taiwan exports may resume growth in November, good news if true. Taiwan grounds nine Mirage fighters due to lack of parts. Taiwan's consumer prices fall, again. KMT buries 2-28 museum opening in 100th anniversary of ROC celebrations. Quake last week followed by 100 aftershocks. Taiwan Food show has special halal section.
The cute sign for Nangang ("south port") in landlocked Nantou far from the ocean, next to an advertisement for a local politician.
VIDEOS: Want a demure pair for work? An awesome pair for play? Try this inflatable bra.
Two candidates for the Nantou County Council. The top one identifies her as a KMT candidate for the council for Yuchih, Shuili, Hsinyi, and Jiji, and says: "Caring Even More, Going an even greater distance to serve" while the bottom booms out: "Busting up clan politics!" and "nepotism".
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
I'd love to be blogging more, but I've just been swamped, it's never been like this before.
BLOGS:
- Lin Yi-hsiung to lead march around Taiwan demanding referendum on ECFA sell out.
- Ben excellently responds to my post on education.
- Wild at Heart on the EPA's approval of the expansion of the science parks.
- Michael C rides Yangmingshan
- J Michael travels with parents in Taiwan and looks darkly upon spetznatz possibilities here.
- Big in Asia with great black and white pics.
- Jerome looks at soft power for Taiwan
- The Real Taiwan looks at one of the stages in expat life: setting up your own marketing company through better English. Does this stage come before or after the one where you plan to open a mini-golf place?
- Taoyuan Nights looks at worsening economic predictions.
- Taiwan Matters! with a great piece on the Berlin Wall and democracy here.
- The 1973 edition of Taiwan Report, given to newcomers in the US armed forces in Taiwan.
- Nigerian 419 scam, dead Chinese spy variant.
- Global Voices looks at Taiwan: issues of identity.
- Told ya Taiwan Gold Medal is the stuff.
This week President Ma was in Nantou with Premier Wu Den-yih, stumping for local politicians. Premier Wu has old Nantou connections and is a canny political player in local politics. He was featured here on this sign forming "public construction's iron triangle" (as the sign says) with two local candidates. No other national KMT figure was on a sign with any local KMTer, and President Ma was conspicuous by his absence. Nothing shows his decline in popularity better: in 2004 Ma was on many local candidates' signs. The sign also signals that with the close connections to the Premier, public construction funding will flow into Nantou to feed and water local patronage networks.
MEDIA: Taiwan's Supreme Court strikes down hugely unfair law under which it was legal to buy the services of a prostitute, but illegal to be one. Excellent piece from former AIT head Nat Bellocchi on Obama's coming visit to China. Chinese diplomat says US and Chinese reps are negotiating a "new intellectual framework" for US-China relations. Peng Ming-min, longtime democracy campaigner here, warns Ma that a Nobel for a peace agreement would be a sellout. Taitung Shaman school thrives. WSJ says Taiwan exports may resume growth in November, good news if true. Taiwan grounds nine Mirage fighters due to lack of parts. Taiwan's consumer prices fall, again. KMT buries 2-28 museum opening in 100th anniversary of ROC celebrations. Quake last week followed by 100 aftershocks. Taiwan Food show has special halal section.
The cute sign for Nangang ("south port") in landlocked Nantou far from the ocean, next to an advertisement for a local politician.
VIDEOS: Want a demure pair for work? An awesome pair for play? Try this inflatable bra.
Two candidates for the Nantou County Council. The top one identifies her as a KMT candidate for the council for Yuchih, Shuili, Hsinyi, and Jiji, and says: "Caring Even More, Going an even greater distance to serve" while the bottom booms out: "Busting up clan politics!" and "nepotism".
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Sunday, November 08, 2009
Boosting Competitiveness in Taiwan's Universities
Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou on Saturday urged Taiwan universities to recruit foreign students to boost the island's international competitiveness and keep themselves in business. Because of Taiwan's low birthrate, the island's university have difficulty in recruiting students and dozens of them might be forced to close, he warned in his weekly newsletter.Taiwan News added some additional information:
Unless Taiwan universities boost their competitiveness, they would lose their top teachers and students to foreign universities, he added.
"If Taiwan wants to maintain its international competitiveness, our universities must offer more curriculum taught in English to lure foreign students," he said.
Ma said that of Taiwan's 70 universities, 39 offer courses taught in English. There is no university in Taiwan where all the courses are taught in English.
Ma noted that foreign students make up 1.3 per cent of the total number of university students in Taiwan and Taiwan wants to raise the percentage to 2.6 per cent in the next few years.
In the face of increased efforts by foreign universities to woo Taiwan students by offering attractive scholarships, Taiwan must take immediate action not only to keep is elite students at home but also to lure foreign and Chinese youths to study here, Ma said.Observe first, the President refers to Chinese students a couple of times. Taiwan colleges are also begging the government to let in students from China. A done deal? It bears all the earmarks of one.
He suggested that domestic universities develop "all English curriculums," as schools in Singapore, Hong Kong and European countries have been doing, to attract foreign students.
This will help solve the problem of low student numbers at some local universities, he said. Also, the entry of foreign and Chinese students to Taiwan universities will spur local students to study harder and will help to expand their global perspective, the president said.
I blogged last year on Taiwan universities and the drive for internationalization via English. The drive for foreign students is just another one of those moves to preserve up the current system in its present form by herding in more warm bodies rather than making the far reaching changes that would really be necessary to make the system competitive. And of course, there's another outcropping of the familiar internationalization = (more) English rather than internationalization = adoption of best practices from abroad. English, as so often in Taiwan, functions as a proxy for real internationalization.
It is true that the lack of English-language courses is a problem in attracting foreign students. I know of several cases of people who dropped out of programs when they found that there were few or no English-language courses, and many for whom the lack of such curricula is a barrier to application. I also know of cases where people have been refused admittance to programs because no courses were offered in English.
To really internationalize the system, pay would have to rocket up and foreign professors would have to become routine at all levels, as in the West. English would have to become widespread. But outside of the English departments and a few international MBA programs it is very difficult to be hired as a foreign professor, even if one could tolerate the "vow of poverty" as a friend of mine hired here once ruefully described Taiwan teacher pay. That gap in pay is the real reason Taiwan's best professors leave for work elsewhere. Nowhere does Ma address the problem that the pay levels of professors are determined centrally by the Ministry of Education -- which is the one thing he could address, theoretically at least, simply by giving the order.
There are somewhere around a million university students in Taiwan, as I recall seeing somewhere (can't seem to find a recent number on the net). If the current level of foreign students is actually 1.3%, then that is 13,000 warm bodies. If it is really true that by 2012 Taiwan's universities will be short 15,000 students, then it is intuitively obvious that another 13,000 foreigners would fill the gap. It is also intuitively obvious that by bringing in Chinese, the current system would not need to be changed, English would not need to be expanded, and everyone could keep their jobs. Hmmm.... wonder what they will choose.
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Riding to the heart of 921
Saturday morning I drove out to Nantou with my friend Drew and met up with Todd Alperovitz from The Daily Bubble Tea in Chunghsing Village. From there we began climbing....
Here is the route we took (an interactive version may be found at Bikemaps.net). We started by climbing up Jiufen Ershan, about 1000 meters, then went down 300 meters to the memorial area for the 921 earthquake. We then descended from there to 147, which runs north-south in the area northwest of Sun Moon Lake. On 147 we climbed back up to the ridgeline at around 700 meters, and then descended again to 131. From there it was downhill all the way to Chunghsing Village. Great ride, over 90 kms of lovely farms and imposing earthquake damage.
Nantou county is a major producer of betel nut.
Along the way there were plenty of bugs...like this lovely butterfly...
...and this harmless whip scorpion, who went into his defensive posture when he saw us.
Looking back. The ride up Jiufen Ershan was extremely steep, pretty much 7-10% grades the whole way.
Drew and Todd confer.
We stopped for a rest, and watched this spider wait patiently as this butterfly exhaust itself struggling to get free. Scientists recently found the world's oldest spider web.
Nearby caterpillers struggled to come forth from a cocoon.
At the summit of Jiufen Ershan were several tea farms.
Beetles grab a meal.
Along the crest of Jiufen Ershan is a set of natural and human memorials to the awesome power of the 921 quake, whose epicenter is near the top of the mountain.
We rode along that rode on the left there at the bottom of the ridge. When the quake hit, the whole face of the mountain slide away, 10 hectares in area, and fell into the valley below, where it dammed two rivers. That's right, the flat area there is a gigantic landslide scarp. The government immediately constructed a spillway to prevent flooding. Brave fellows, whoever those workers were.
A couple of hundred meters from the epicenter are some extremely disturbed chunks of strata. Here Todd poses. There's a small eatery where a simple lunch can be had. The owner has pictures from the quake aftermath there, which is happy to explain to you.
Very disturbed.
A few smashed buildings remain.
Come into my parlor, said the spider to the fly.
Drew and Todd contemplate the view. We descended from here through lovely farming scenery to 147.
Two species say hello. At 147 there is a small deer paddock in the village of Nangang ("south port"). Nangang township's symbol is the deer.
Taiwanese love to use old styrofoam containers as planters.
Not a good day for photos, but you can get a sense of the gorgeous valley that 147 pushed through.
Todd and friends.
147 linked to 131, another lovely ride through farms. We took 131 downhill to Nantou past the reservoirs at the top of the Choshui River....
....and stopped in Shuili for slushies. Todd and Drew looking great after a wonderful ride.
Shuili market.
In Shuili local kayakers were out practicing.
Further down Rte 16 Drew spotted this boundary stele dating back to the Qing period.
The famous leaning tower of Taiwan, a relic of 921, which you can see from Highway 3 on the way through Nantou. The area is littered with such sights, and the maps and tourist spots advertise a "921 Earthquake Tour" of them.
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Here is the route we took (an interactive version may be found at Bikemaps.net). We started by climbing up Jiufen Ershan, about 1000 meters, then went down 300 meters to the memorial area for the 921 earthquake. We then descended from there to 147, which runs north-south in the area northwest of Sun Moon Lake. On 147 we climbed back up to the ridgeline at around 700 meters, and then descended again to 131. From there it was downhill all the way to Chunghsing Village. Great ride, over 90 kms of lovely farms and imposing earthquake damage.
Nantou county is a major producer of betel nut.
Along the way there were plenty of bugs...like this lovely butterfly...
...and this harmless whip scorpion, who went into his defensive posture when he saw us.
Looking back. The ride up Jiufen Ershan was extremely steep, pretty much 7-10% grades the whole way.
Drew and Todd confer.
We stopped for a rest, and watched this spider wait patiently as this butterfly exhaust itself struggling to get free. Scientists recently found the world's oldest spider web.
Nearby caterpillers struggled to come forth from a cocoon.
At the summit of Jiufen Ershan were several tea farms.
Beetles grab a meal.
Along the crest of Jiufen Ershan is a set of natural and human memorials to the awesome power of the 921 quake, whose epicenter is near the top of the mountain.
We rode along that rode on the left there at the bottom of the ridge. When the quake hit, the whole face of the mountain slide away, 10 hectares in area, and fell into the valley below, where it dammed two rivers. That's right, the flat area there is a gigantic landslide scarp. The government immediately constructed a spillway to prevent flooding. Brave fellows, whoever those workers were.
A couple of hundred meters from the epicenter are some extremely disturbed chunks of strata. Here Todd poses. There's a small eatery where a simple lunch can be had. The owner has pictures from the quake aftermath there, which is happy to explain to you.
Very disturbed.
A few smashed buildings remain.
Come into my parlor, said the spider to the fly.
Drew and Todd contemplate the view. We descended from here through lovely farming scenery to 147.
Two species say hello. At 147 there is a small deer paddock in the village of Nangang ("south port"). Nangang township's symbol is the deer.
Taiwanese love to use old styrofoam containers as planters.
Not a good day for photos, but you can get a sense of the gorgeous valley that 147 pushed through.
Todd and friends.
147 linked to 131, another lovely ride through farms. We took 131 downhill to Nantou past the reservoirs at the top of the Choshui River....
....and stopped in Shuili for slushies. Todd and Drew looking great after a wonderful ride.
Shuili market.
In Shuili local kayakers were out practicing.
Further down Rte 16 Drew spotted this boundary stele dating back to the Qing period.
The famous leaning tower of Taiwan, a relic of 921, which you can see from Highway 3 on the way through Nantou. The area is littered with such sights, and the maps and tourist spots advertise a "921 Earthquake Tour" of them.
_______________________
[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
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6:07 AM
Friday, November 06, 2009
The Once and Future US Retreat on China's Colonial Expansion?
The US State Department's latest version of its background notes on Taiwan are out, so it is appropriate that we glance at US-Taiwan-China relations....
The Taipei Times hosted a commentary today from former Japanese diplomat Hisahiko Okazaki. Its major point:
Through the 37-year history of US-China engagement, the US has consistently retreated in the war of semantics about Taiwan. The US has been unable to muster points against the steel wall of one-party dictatorship. It lost inch-by-inch every time. Each time, however, Washington reassured the US public that its position hadn’t changed.The piece isn't bad in its intent, but that last paragraph is completely wrong. The Kissinger statement marks the beginning of the retreat, not the last outpost of sanity, for Nixon had agreed to throw Taiwan under a large public transportation vehicle (see here, here for fascinating Nixon/Kissinger exchange on Taiwan independence movement)....
How deceptively the US position had eroded can be seen in the comments made by Clinton. He began his remarks on the “three nos” by stating that he was reiterating US policy on Taiwan but not specifying the time of the previous remarks, whether it was during his meetings in Beijing or much earlier. Then national security adviser Sandy Berger said the US had simply repeated its basic position.
In fact, the US has consistently shifted its position. It started with an admirably objective statement by then national security adviser Henry Kissinger in 1972: “The US acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China.”
However, accounts of President Nixon's secret talks with PRC Premier Zhou Enlai in China in 1972 reported that Nixon made promises on the question of Taiwan in return for diplomatic normalization that went beyond the communique issued at the end. The Carter Administration later called the promises: "Nixon's Five Points." Also, according to Assistant Secretary of State Stanley Roth's March 1999 testimony, Nixon pledged no U.S. support for Taiwan independence (second time after Kissinger's 1971 promise): "We have not and will not support any Taiwan independence movement." With the release on December 11, 2003, of declassified memoranda of conversation of the secret talks between Nixon and Zhou, there was confirmation that Nixon stated as first of Five Principles that "there is one China, and Taiwan is a part of China. There will be no more statements made -- if I can control our bureaucracy — to the effect that the status of Taiwan is undetermined." (source)The Nixon-Kissinger dialogue linked above highlights another ridiculous aspect of the Shanghai Communique: nobody consulted the people of Taiwan. If you don't consult the people whose fates you are deciding, you can't blame them for refusing to go along. In fact Washington's position hasn't changed: the status of Taiwan is undetermined, as it most recently reiterated in 2007 when UN Sec-Gen Ban Ki-moon rejected Chen Shui-bian's letter. What has changed is the obfuscation that swirls around that position, as well as the strategic calculus in Asia, and of course, the effectiveness of PRC propaganda.
Meanwhile SCMP reported today that the Chinese want Obama to sell out Tibet:
Diplomats from the world's two most influential nations are still negotiating details of the summit between Obama and his Chinese counterpart, Hu Jintao. The Chinese side has suggested Obama state that "Tibet is part of China's territory and the US opposes Tibetan independence", the Chinese envoys say.The article says that while it is not likely Obama will make a public declaration, a behind-closed-doors agreement is not out of the question. Brrr.....
Obama will visit Shanghai and Beijing between November 15 and 18. An agreement on this most sensitive political issue would be a triumph for Beijing and could help end deadlock on strategic issues, though human rights campaigners and the US Congress would be bound to criticise it.
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Daily Links
- 外國人最愛的台灣: Foreigners talking about Taiwan, including my friend Patrick Cowsill.
- KGB Burgers has a website up!
- China Times rips Ma Administration on beef issue
- Those quakes yesterday...
- Taiwan's 100 year restaurants
[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Thursday, November 05, 2009
Shocked-I-Tell-You Events
Happiness is an office decorated with my daughter's paintings.
I was shocked, I tell you shocked, to learn that Premier Wu Den-yih, back before he received his promotion to his current exalted state, traveled to Bali Island in Indonesia with a prominent Nantou gangster back in December, as the pro-Blue CTI reported (quickie translation from Google, slightly cleaned up):
Out walking the pet chicken in front of an apartment complex in Linkou as the stray dogs look on hungrily.
When last we heard from the High Speed Rail on this blog, the government was taking it over as the system was unable to service its debts. The government takeover was necessary to get the political leverage so that the state banks would re-do the loans at a lower rate. Sure enough, the news came out today that the government banks had agreed to refinance the loans...
This business has largely been the domain of westerners but China now has the money to begin focusing on Taiwan's listed corporations. Once they have purchased shares it will be easy to install pro-China lackeys, or Chinese themselves, on the boards (Taiwan shareholders typically don't vote). I'm sure you'll be shocked to find that economic relations are not apolitical, despite the claims of thoroughly clueless futurists. Economist Peter Chow wrote a great piece in the Taipei Times the other day on some of the really deep issues involved in moving closer to China.
Screen capture from Taipei Times the other day. Impersonators of Sun Yat-sen and Chiang Kai-shek with a local political candidate.
Quote of the week: I had my students do pro/con essays on the topic of living together, and one male dolefully informed me that one of the disadvantages of cohabiting is that "you must be honest" with your partner.
Those of you into trivia can answer this one which appeared on H-Asia:
Daily Links
Sad to learn Taiwan lost 400 historic puppets in warehouse fire. Taiwan What's Up says foreigners will soon enjoy lower tax rates. Slightly lower. Over at China Beat there is a reallllly great post on the reconstruction of Hsiaolin Village by Paul Katz. Finally, don't miss this excellent interview with one of the architects of the Taiwan health care system in the NY Times.
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
I was shocked, I tell you shocked, to learn that Premier Wu Den-yih, back before he received his promotion to his current exalted state, traveled to Bali Island in Indonesia with a prominent Nantou gangster back in December, as the pro-Blue CTI reported (quickie translation from Google, slightly cleaned up):
根據周刊報導,吳敦義任職國民黨秘書長期間,曾偕妻子蔡令怡與中部黑道大哥江欽良,共赴印尼渡假盛地峇里島五日,同行者還包括南投縣長李朝卿、議員李增全、竹山鎮紫南宮主委莊秋安、草屯鎮代表會主席林焜熠夫婦。由於江欽良仍在假釋期,且自十餘歲出道累積逾30項的犯案前科,令人高度質疑吳揆力挺查緝黑道的決心。A spokesman said on behalf of Premier Wu that he had gone there to gain ideas for tourism. Clearly, to attract so august a crowd, Bali Island must have many lessons for land-locked Nantou.
According to a Next Weekly reports, when Wu Den-yih was KMT Secretary General, he and his wife and central Taiwan triad leader Jiang Qin Liang, went to the Indonesian resort island of Bali for five days while traveling, together with Nantou County Magistrate Li Zhaoqing, Mr Li Zeng-Quan, Chushan Town Purple Palace Chairman Zhuang Qiu-An, and Mr Lam Kun-Yi of the Tsaotun Township Council and their wives. As Jiang Qin Liang was still on parole from a ten year sentence, with a record of 30 previous convictions for various offenses....
Out walking the pet chicken in front of an apartment complex in Linkou as the stray dogs look on hungrily.
When last we heard from the High Speed Rail on this blog, the government was taking it over as the system was unable to service its debts. The government takeover was necessary to get the political leverage so that the state banks would re-do the loans at a lower rate. Sure enough, the news came out today that the government banks had agreed to refinance the loans...
The Taiwan High Speed Rail Co. (THSRC) yesterday secured a total of NT$ 382 billion in loans from a bank consortium at an average interest rate of 1.8%, helping to relieve the firm from its heavy financial burden. The THSRC also pledged to assist the state-owned shareholders to obtain more than half of the seats on the THSRC board, which is scheduled to be reshuffled next week.The comment about the HSR company helping government-connected people get a seat on the board reminds me of this article on China's burgeoning private equity muscle. Private equity firms typically invest in companies in which they see a gap between current management's ability to make money and their own assessment of the potential of the firm. They then chuck out the previous underperforming management, bring in experienced pros to run the companies, and sell off the firm after a few years at large profits, which are repaid to the original private equity investors.
An official pointed out that the bank consortium consisted mainly of eight state-owned banks, including the Bank of Taiwan and the Land Bank of Taiwan, but the bank consortium intended to solicit the participation of several private banks. According to local media, some private banks, including Taipei Fubon Bank and the Chinatrust Commercial Bank, have shown interest.
This business has largely been the domain of westerners but China now has the money to begin focusing on Taiwan's listed corporations. Once they have purchased shares it will be easy to install pro-China lackeys, or Chinese themselves, on the boards (Taiwan shareholders typically don't vote). I'm sure you'll be shocked to find that economic relations are not apolitical, despite the claims of thoroughly clueless futurists. Economist Peter Chow wrote a great piece in the Taipei Times the other day on some of the really deep issues involved in moving closer to China.
Screen capture from Taipei Times the other day. Impersonators of Sun Yat-sen and Chiang Kai-shek with a local political candidate.
Quote of the week: I had my students do pro/con essays on the topic of living together, and one male dolefully informed me that one of the disadvantages of cohabiting is that "you must be honest" with your partner.
Those of you into trivia can answer this one which appeared on H-Asia:
I wonder if anybody knows about Hollywood films on Taiwan or Taiwanese issues produced in the 1950s-60s. Is there any equivalent of ‘Sayonara’ or ‘The World of Suzie Wong’ set in Taiwan? There have been many studies on the culture during the Cold War and the American representation of Asia, but I haven’t come across anything specifically addressing Taiwan, therefore I would be grateful if anybody can kindly let me know._____________
Daily Links
Sad to learn Taiwan lost 400 historic puppets in warehouse fire. Taiwan What's Up says foreigners will soon enjoy lower tax rates. Slightly lower. Over at China Beat there is a reallllly great post on the reconstruction of Hsiaolin Village by Paul Katz. Finally, don't miss this excellent interview with one of the architects of the Taiwan health care system in the NY Times.
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Monday, November 02, 2009
Fourth Round of ECFA Talks Postponed
Huang Chih-peng, chief of the Bureau of Foreign Trade under the Economics Ministry, said that the ministry had already received a message from the Mainland stating that the details of the consultations and progress required further discussion. As a result, Huang said that the two sides decided to postpone the informal talks. Asked whether the delay was related to the intense media coverage of public concern about the progress of a cross-Strait ECFA, the Economics Ministry spokesman declined to comment.This week the European Chamber of Commerce here said that Taiwan should sign the ECFA with China as soon as possible, which would help it gain a market opening agreement with Europe. It might be helpful to review what has happened so far with agreements with China. Fortunately Taiwan News had a helpful summary today:
Although the KMT government confidently promised that 3,000 Chinese tourist arrivals daily and would inject NT$60 billion annually into the economy, the actual volume of PRC travellers averaged only 1,307 from December 2008 through September 2009, a fraction of the average 11,897 daily visits to the PRC by Taiwan citizens during the same period.Similar points were made in the Taipei Times today. The DPP claimed that arrivals from other nations had fallen, including Taiwan's bread-and-butter South Koreans, whose arrivals had plunged 35%.
Moreover, the substantive benefits to Taiwan's economy and employment are subject to a substantial "discount'' due to the concentration of PRC package tour groups in the hands of PRC-approved tour companies and the "squeezing out'' of spending by higher-spending tourists from Japan or other nations and many local citizens who avoid sites frequented by PRC tour groups.
Although the number of PRC tourists more than doubled year on year to nearly 624,000 during the first eight months of 2009, the inflow of Japanese tourists, who spend 1.4 times more daily and spread their activity and purchases far more widely in Taiwan, shrank 10.7 percent to just over 638,000.
According to an estimate by the DPP's Policy Research and Coordination Department, gross revenues from Chinese tourism over the past 15 months has amounted to NT$32.8 billion, far less than the promised NT$60 billion annual input.
Moreover, the establishment of direct marine and air links has failed to revitalize Taiwan's major gateways such as Kaohsiung Port and Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport.
During the first half of 2009, Taiwan's main port of Kaohsiung, which was supposed to be revitalized by the implementation of direct links, suffered a 21.1 percent drop in cargo traffic, for the second worst record among East Asia's top 10 seaports.
During the first eight months of 2009, arrivals and departures through Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport fell nearly 11.5 percent, while total air cargo throughput dropped nearly 25 percent. While much of the decline is attributable to the economic recession, the structuring of the "direct links'' agreements in line with the PRC's characterization as "domestic routes'' also contributes to these declines.
Most of Taiwan's shipping fleet, mainly "flag of convenience'' cargo vessels, are barred from cross-strait marine shipping since they are "foreign'' registered, while Beijing's denial of fifth-freedom onward connections for Taiwan airliners and restriction of cargo shipments to direct cross-strait trade is reducing Taiwan's air and sea ports from "Asia-Pacific'' marine and air "hubs'' into "spokes'' for PRC ports, notably Shanghai.
Moreover, the toothless agreement on cross-strait food safety has failed to deliver the promised reparations for Taiwan companies hurt by imports of melamine - laced milk powder, while a pact on "judicial assistance'' inked in April has yet to result in the extradition of a single major economic fugitive back to Taiwan.
The confidence of foreigners like the European Chamber in the promises of China to Taiwan continues to amaze me, in light of these simple facts. Well, actually it doesn't -- a couple of years ago a delegation of pro-Taiwan academics traveled the capitals of western Europe and was told to get on with the business of unification so everyone could make money -- whereas in eastern Europe the locals knew exactly what was what.
Perhaps China will permit Taiwan to have free trade agreements (FTAs) with other nations, but why should it? China already has FTAs with many those nations, or will under upcoming agreements. Consider that if Taiwan does not have FTAs, then its businessmen will be compelled to move to China in order to take advantage of lower tariffs. There is in reality little incentive for China to permit Taiwan to have real FTAs with other nations. That is why one thing the US can do to aid Taiwan is to pursue an independent FTA with Taiwan, which will encourage other nations to do so.
A couple of other points -- people in the know are reporting that the old government message (ECFA will save Taiwan!) under the former Liu Cabinet is going to be replaced by an upgraded Version 2.0, which will strike a more nuanced tone of "benefits exceed costs". The line that ECFA will not damage sovereignty will continue, however.
Also, note again -- ECFA is NOT a free trade agreement. It's an agreement to open certain markets and industries to certain kinds of economic activities. Expect that to become more prominent in the government line as well. FTAs will be follow on agreements.....
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
Daily Links, Nov 2, 2009
What's moving about the blogs today?
AWARDS AND EVENTS: Taiwanderful is organizing the annual Taiwan Blog Awards. Taiwanderful is a community website managed by David Reid and Gilad Feldman. David is the author of the popular Taiwan blog, David on Formosa. Gilad, based in Hong Kong, blogs about Asia at Fili's World. Register your blog there by Dec 1 to get in on the action!
Also, Jerome's monthly meet up is Saturday the 7th.
REFERENCES: An entire chapter on Taiwanese labor in the Japanese empire is online in this Google book on Labor in the Japanese Empire in WWII. Enjoy!
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[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
- Real exchange rates in Asia actually on downward trend, says blogger.
- Global Voices on the LGBT parade this weekend. Poagao writes great post on his experience there, notes number of people out there motivated by the bigots on display last weekend.
- Rhonda Marie on local women and dating local men.
- Pemic rides Jihshan Road in Taipei, with the usual excellent pictures.
- The Dignified Rant says Ma should demand the destruction, not merely the removal, of missiles pointed at Taiwan.
- J Michael with another great piece on Chinese spying.
- Jerome compares the Diane Lee case to the Chen case.
- Taoyuan Nights on Japan's debt crisis.
- Sponge Bear, eager searcher for all things Japanese here, goes to the former copper mines
- Hanjie photos a temple parade.
- Ben on the CLA's drive for direct control of unions.
- David on the social media in Taiwan's elections.
- After viewing all the things Michella does, like wood block printing and writing on reporters and "gifts" and cycling, I've decided she's secretly twins
AWARDS AND EVENTS: Taiwanderful is organizing the annual Taiwan Blog Awards. Taiwanderful is a community website managed by David Reid and Gilad Feldman. David is the author of the popular Taiwan blog, David on Formosa. Gilad, based in Hong Kong, blogs about Asia at Fili's World. Register your blog there by Dec 1 to get in on the action!
Also, Jerome's monthly meet up is Saturday the 7th.
REFERENCES: An entire chapter on Taiwanese labor in the Japanese empire is online in this Google book on Labor in the Japanese Empire in WWII. Enjoy!
_______________________
[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!
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