Thursday, August 20, 2009

Egret Selects

Food crisis. Typhoon Morakot. People dying. World economic crisis. Global warming. Swine flu. Overpopulation.

But egrets are still beautiful.

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Tkacik on US "One China" Policy

A few days ago WSJ hosted an op-ed from Richard Allen that was good overall but contained a gross error -- the assertion that the US recognizes that Taiwan is part of China. The US does not. A large number of people wrote in but it looks like WSJ isn't going to publish any of them. Tkacik has graciously permitted me to put his letter online. It contains some excellent references:

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To the Editors:

It may be ancient history, but Richard V. Allen's memory of Nixon's Taiwan policy is garbled ("The Next Step in the Taiwan-China Dance," August 17). I served as a U.S. foreign service officer for 24 years working on China and Taiwan affairs, and I can attest that the United States has never subscribed to China's territorial claim on Taiwan. Nor did President Richard Nixon ever publicly articulate such a policy. In fact, Nixon instructed his Ambassador to the United Nations (then George H.W. Bush) to vote against Resolution 2758 granting the People's Republic of China's admission to the United Nations on October 25, 1971, (even though he and Kissinger knew they didn't have the votes in the U.N. General Assembly) precisely because that resolution required the expulsion of Taiwan's representatives. Nixon's public policy was "dual representation" -- support of U.N. seats for both Taipei and Beijing. To this day, official U.S. policy eschews recognition of China's claims to Taiwan. As recently as June 2007, the State Department's standard response to citizens concerned about Taiwan was that the United States has "not formally recognized Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan and [has] not made any determination as to Taiwan’s political status."[1]

Also in 2007, the United States became concerned that the United Nations Secretariat had issued documents asserting that the U.N. considered "Taiwan for all purposes to be an integral part of the PRC." U.S. diplomats informed the Secretariat that "while that assertion was consistent with the Chinese position, it is not universally held by U.N. member states, including the United States." The American diplomats then "urged the U.N. Secretariat to review its policy on the status of Taiwan and to avoid taking sides in a sensitive matter on which U.N. members have agreed to disagree for over 35 years." They warned that "if the UN Secretariat insists on describing Taiwan as a part of the PRC, or on using nomenclature for Taiwan that implies such status, the United States will be obliged to disassociate itself on a national basis from such position." The United Nations Secretariat has indeed ceased to assert that Taiwan is an integral part of China.

Mr. Allen's phrase "there is but one China and that Taiwan is part of China" is a purely Chinese formula. It is testimony to the effectiveness of Beijing's (and the weakness of the State Department's) public diplomacy that Mr. Allen, himself a friend of Taiwan, confuses China's policy with America's.

John J. Tkacik, Jr.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Ma Administration Typhoon Casualties

Bloomberg, usually a KMT cheerleader, is one of the many media organizations documenting the free fall in approval for the Ma Administration over the way Ma and his Administration have appeared to bungle the typhoon relief.
Support for Ma dropped to 29 percent, from 66 percent when he took office in May last year and 52 percent at his first anniversary, according to a survey conducted by the United Daily News published today. About 46 percent of people surveyed said they didn’t have confidence in his administration’s relief and rebuilding efforts in the aftermath of the storm.

......

Premier Liu Chao-shiuan’s approval rating also fell to a record low of 20 percent according to the survey, the Taipei- based, Chinese-language newspaper said. The newspaper said it interviewed 919 adults on Aug. 18 for the poll, which has a margin of error of 3.29 percentage points.
Note that Bloomberg draws its data from UDN, the pro-KMT paper (without mentioning that it is the former KMT party paper and is rabidly pro-KMT). When UDN says a KMT administration is not popular -- it ain't popular.

UPI talks about why:

President Ma Ying-jeou and his key Cabinet members also infuriated the public with their responses to the disaster. Ma has been heavily criticized for failing to fulfill his role as commander-in-chief of Taiwan’s armed forces. Without instructions from Ma, the army sent only 740 soldiers on rescue missions to the stricken areas on the first day, Aug. 8. [MT: note that Defense Minister resigned to take fall.]

Ma was attending a friend’s wedding on Aug. 7 while Morakot was approaching. He waited until Monday – three days after the typhoon hit – to call a special national security meeting to mobilize troops and organize rescue and relief efforts in the badly stricken southern counties of Kaohsiung, Pingtung, Taitung and Chiayi.

Big news yesterday is the sacrifice of Andrew Hsia, the Deputy Foreign Minister, who had to step down over the "misunderstanding" involving the telegram that informed everyone that Taiwan was rejecting foreign aid (also out this morning are the Defense Chief and the Sec-General of the Cabinet).

The surface story is simple: Foreign Minister Francisco Ou was out of the country, and so Hsia, who refuses to confirm he saw the memo before it went out, was in charge. Hence he must take the fall. The story circulating among knowledgeable individuals, however, is that the decision to refuse aid was made at the highest levels, either by Ma himself or by NSC chief Su Chi, one of the most powerful individuals in the government and Hsia is just a fall guy for what ultimately proved to be one of the Administration's dumbest decisions.

What motivated that decision? Also circulating is an unsigned letter dated August 10, Monday after the storm, from the Taiwan Affairs Office of China, offering aid. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the aid from other countries was put off while the government decided what to do about Beijing. However, the letter could well be an anti-Ma fraud.

The Ma press conference (Youtube) also took place yesterday. Good questions from our foreign press corps. I think it is wonderful that this typhoon has finally permitted reporters to report on criticism of Ma, something that was sorely lacking during the campaign -- when powerful financial interests overseas were strongly backing a Ma victory.

There's a back story here too. A couple of days before the press conference the GIO informed the foreign correspondents that they would have to submit their questions in writing in advance. Probably a good idea, considering that Ma unscripted has been a disaster for the KMT. But the foreign correspondents responded, essentially, that it wasn't their job to help the Ma Administration perform damage control. The GIO then hastened to retract this position which -- as my readers will now be predicting -- was just a "misunderstanding." The foreign reporters then asked the hard questions -- more power to them.

Such practices are apparently the norm with local media, which is one reason Ma gets such fawning coverage. Readers can imagine what happens to reporters who ask unscripted questions.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Hsiaolin Village: Act of God, or Men Acting like Gods?

"The whole thing is a machine, a perpetual-motion machine that keeps churning out dams, which the politicians and most westerners are reflexively in favor of, and the whole business is running the country into the ground." -- Glenn Saunders, chief counsel for the Denver Water Board, quoted in Cadillac Desert.

Cadillac Desert, an exploration of dam building in the American West, is probably the best popular nonfiction work on public policy ever written. I ponder it often when I look at water policy in Taiwan.


Monday, August 17, 2009

Daily Links, Aug 17, 2009

IMG_3791
What's perched on the blog today?
MEDIA: The Taipei Times collected attacks on the government's response by KMT legislators -- people whose greed and shortsightedness were responsible for so much of the failure. But it shows that with the upcoming election, KMT legislators have to put some distance between themselves and the government they created. Aid pours in from abroad. Ag losses push US $4oo million. 1 MW solar power station to be built in Taiwan science park. Taiwan's mango exports to Japan climb sharply. The world's first botanical company cluster now forming in Pingtung. Such clusters are common in Taiwan -- the old Shoes Nest in Taichung, the mold and die cluster in Sanchung, the IT industry in Hsinchu, or ceramics in Yingge. Willy Lam notes that China's Hu is emphasizing military expansion. Still plans to claim Arunachal Pradesh. Asia Sentinel has a nice piece on the government failure in Morakot. CSIS looks at Japan's choices in the face of China's rise. Commonwealth Mag has three excellent English articles on the government, water policy, and Morakot. In WSJ Richard Allen has an article talking about the "legal obligations" of the US to Taiwan under Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) and how they can be used to balance China. Allen was Chief Foreign Policy Advisor to Nixon in '68.

UPDATE: A friend has identified the bird as a Tiger Bittern, a relative newcomer to Taiwan.
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US Troops Land in Taiwan

The US military has landed in Taiwan for the first time in thirty years (officially), says Taiwan News:
A U.S. military transport plane landed in Taiwan with typhoon relief aid yesterday afternoon in a first since Washington switched diplomatic relations to China 30 years ago.

The C-130 transport plane arrived at a military airport in Tainan around 2:30 p.m., one week after Typhoon Morakot devastated the South. Two heavy CH-53E helicopters from the U.S. had also been expected, but the Ministry of National Defense said they would only arrive today as a ship was first supposed to bring them closer to the island after the necessary maintenance. Each helicopter can transport 16 tons of goods, reports said.

Yesterday's landing of the cargo flight from the Japanese island of Okinawa was the first such event since Washington switched its diplomatic recognition to Beijing under President Jimmy Carter in 1979.
Taipei Air Station, a blog which features posts on the US military and its service here in the years prior to 1979 when US troops were stationed in Taiwan, crowed today about the arrival of our boys here, saying:
I know the United States will provide all that is asked and more.

And when it is completed, do I have a motion from the readers of this blog, to ask the United States to park our aircraft and remain in Taiwan just in case help is needed for any contingency in the future?
I'll second that motion! Many thanks to my homeland for its generous assistance.

So far Taiwan has refused Chinese military aid, but is accepting prefab homes from Beijing.
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DPP Volunteer Efforts Report + Pics

I have the report from the DPP in its July Newsletter.

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Dear friends:

We are very sorry for the delay of the July issue.

[Notes: Some of you would like to unsubscribe the newsletter due to the job changes. However, due to some administrative mistakes, please kindly tell us again your name and e-mails. We are terribly sorry for the trouble.]

DPP headquarters and local chapters recently have been occupied by the Typhoon Morakot disaster relief operations. Floods, mudflows and landslides...the worst in the 50 years. While most of the counties in the South are fortunately able to start the recovering process, the rescue mission still continued in the mountain area and Kaohsuing county with death and causuality numbers still raising.

I just came back from Tainan county with my colleges last night. We were the first DPP disaster relief team going to the South- some of us went to Tainan and the others went to Pingtung. It's a three-day shift and now it's the second team stationed in these two counties (Tainan team is lead by DPP Dept of International Affairs Bikhim Hsiao). When we first departed to Tainan three days ago, we traveled with three volunteers, but now there are 73. In Pingtung, there are also about 60 volunteers. DPP HQ just sent a new team to Kaohsiung county this morning.

Tainan county is slowly recovering now. There is no flood, but it still rains quit often. (I was told by my colleges in Pingtung that the rain is non-stop there so they have to work in the rain and their clothes are never dry.) We've delivered water, instant noodles, bread, cookies etc to the families trying hard to clean their house and furnitures covered with mud (they still don't have stable electricity and water supply). What worries us is the possible outbreak of the disease once the weather goes better (since the garbages still piling up on the streets and dead fishes and rottom fruits floating on the rivers). The next immediate task is to clean up the community.

I've uploaded the photos we took in Tainan at
http://www.facebook.com/album.php?aid=34742&id=1253974525&l=c5c0736eaa

Your supports and help are great comfort and encouragement for us and those families impacted by the typhoon.

Best regards,
Hsiaoching Liu
Associate researcher
DPP Department of International Affairs
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Saturday, August 15, 2009

Typhoon News Round Up

First, CNA says 1,300 still trapped in affected areas...
Taipei, Aug. 15 (CNA) The Central Emergency Operation Center (CEOC) said Saturday that 1,373 people were still trapped in isolated mountain villages in southern Taiwan as of that day, after Typhoon Morakot devastated the region the previous weekend, bringing torrential rain that triggered massive flooding and landslides.

The center said it would dispatch 75 helicopters later in the day to the villages in the counties of Kaohsiung, Pingtung, Taitung and Chiayi to conduct rescue missions and drop relief supplies.
BBC has a nice graphic of the mountain regions showing some of the problems, along with an article summarizing things to date. AP observes:

Residents have set about the huge task of rebuilding with the help of the army, a company of which was camped out at the local primary school.

As public complaints about the slow rescue work increase, the government said its operations have been hampered because many areas of the country were cut off when roads and bridges had collapsed.

Rescuers have relied on helicopters to reach the worst-hit areas, and on Thursday authorities requested larger choppers from foreign governments capable of carrying earth-moving equipment and shelters.

Many villagers have conducted their own rescue operations. More than 20,000 troops have joined civilian workers on rescue, cleanup and rehabilitation work, officials said.

Also of note is the Taipei Times' hard-hitting editorial from yesterday, which ended with the following three paragraphs:
Following the 921 Earthquake in 1999, US medical professionals studying the adequacy of the response identified a lack of central command, poor communication, lack of cooperation between the government and the military and various medical logistics problems as issues that demanded government attention.

Elsewhere, Taiwan’s Red Cross, in conjunction with the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, spent three years developing a handbook and training manuals to improve and promote disaster response. The materials were bilingual and hundreds of copies were produced. But the program, which required ongoing training, allegedly floundered after a management change. The new team, according to a Red Cross report in May 2005, suffered from “limited upper management interest.”

The secretary-general of the new management team was Taipei Mayor Hau Lung-bin (郝龍斌).
It is a start, but it doesn't go far enough. More to the point is Taiwan News' editorial on the link between Taiwan's pell-mell development model, the KMT-created construction-industrial state, and the disaster....
Like past floods and landslides in the wake of heavy rains, the huge floods sparked by Typhoon Morakot were triggered both by "natural" and decades of "man-made" factors, notably the excessive exploitation and virtually unregulated "development" from resorts to orchards in high-elevation and high elevation mountainous lands and the construction of "industrial roads" that have stripped up cover from sensitive watershed slope lands.

......

Satellite photographs released Tuesday by National Central University's Center for Space and Remote Sensing Research display how commercial or industrial zones or even hotels, residence and villages built right next to rivers and even inside their respective potential flood plains and "protected" by dikes have been swept away in flatlands such as Shuanghsi Bridge linking Kaohsiung and Pingtung Counties or mountain areas such as Hsiaolin Village in Kaohsiung County.
Floodplain development doesn't begin to cover it. I hope to enlarge on this in a future post, but let's talk about groundwater pumping, just as an example. Linbian on the coast was one of the hard hit areas in southern Taiwan...
(link) The research area is located mainly around the southwest coastline in Pingtung County including Linbian, Linyuan, Nanjou, and Cinbe. Owing to the rapid development of pisciculture, serious land subsidence from the excessive withdrawal of groundwater has resulted. According tothe results measured by theTaiwan Conservancy Bureau (Taiwan Conservancy Bureau, 1976), the strata in the region started to subside in 1961. The problem of settlement has become more serious since January 1979, and the rate of settlement was very rapid in the drought period in the first half of 1980, reaching an average rate of about 5 cm per month. The greatest settlement accumulated up till April 1992 was 2.35 m on the right outlet of the Linbian River in Linbian village. Moreover, it spread all around. After land subsidence, the low-lying areas in the region tend to suffer backward flow of seawater.
The land in the area had subsided 2.35 meters in some areas, and subsidence was extensive throughout the region. In Linbian alone there were 1,288 known pumping wells in 2003, with twice as many in Chiadong (link).Flooding was unstoppable in this massive rain, but human factors have made the problem much worse than it should have been.
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Where to Donate


I shamelessly stole these from the Facebook group on Typhoon Morakot Aid. Hope you find them useful. If you want to give stuff, as of this date, Aug 15, as far as I know, the need is for things useful in cleaning: disinfectants, brooms, gloves, mops, saws, flashlights, masks, rubber boots, scrub pads, bleach, soap, and so on. Food and clothing are in abundance. Also needed are medical gloves, feminine protection, baby diapers, and similar.

Global Aid Efforts
  • Taiwanese American Association-USA Donation Drive: "Please send your donations in as soon as possible. All contributions would be greatly appreciated by our fellow Taiwanese, who urgently need our assistance. Please make your donation out to 'TAA-USA', mention "Typhoon Morakot Donation Drive" and send it to: Mrs. Ling Ling Huang, Treasurer, TAA-USA, 199 Bluejay Dr., Columbus, OH 43235, Phone (614) 888-6501" TAA-USA is a 501(C)3 tax exempt entity. Therefore your donation is tax-deductible.
  • Taiwan Center in LA: "Please mail your donation along with the donation form; financial contributions to Taiwan Center are tax-deductible, Tax ID: 95-4679702."
  • Taipei Economic Cultural Office (TECO): "For those wishing to help after seeing the horrific damaged caused by Typhoon Morakot, the government has set up an account for accepting donations." Ministry of the Interior Donation Account, Mega International Commercial Bank, Account No. 007-09-087816, Swift Code: ICBCTWTP007, San Francisco TECO Office: (415) 362-7680
  • Democratic Progressive Party - Typhoon Morakot Disaster Relief Operations Center: "Donate using Paypal. Look for the DPP Typhoon Morakot Disaster Relief Fund widget on the upper right hand side of the home page."
  • Global Giving: "The Fund will be disseminated to organizations providing relief to victims and survivors of the Typhoon and resulting mudslides. Activities: Provide hot meals to survivors; help in the recovery effort and rebuilding of houses damaged or destroyed in the mudslide."
  • FAPA Typhoon Morakot Donation Drive Information: Many of you are eager to help with Taiwan's flood relief effort. FAPA is ready to facilitate this urgent task immediately.
  • Tzuchi foundation in the US: Tzu Chi offices in the USA are launching a fundraising drive today for Typhoon Morakot victims. For the following two weekends, Tzu Chi volunteers will solicit donations on the streets and in shopping centers. Many agencies and businesses have already contacted us for donation information. The entire staff of Cathay Bank has committed one million NT dollars of donation to Tzu Chi’s charity fund. We earnestly urge every one to show our love and contribute whatever we can for the disaster victims. Online donation through Paypal and Google checkout
Taiwan Non-profit organizations/branches
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Friday, August 14, 2009

President Ma Lambasted in Major International Media

Last year Taiwan's able President Ma Ying-jeou... -- Jerome Cohen, Ma's mentor, in Asian Wall Street journal two weeks ago.

What a difference a flood makes. From able to flounder faster than you can say "flood relief." The foreign media is actually reporting negative things about President Ma, darling of the US Establishment. It is only about 18 months behind our local media.

The NYTimes had two pieces on the typhoon and President this week. The first one focused directly on public anger and consists almost entirely of negative commentary from the local public on Ma. Stunning.

The second piece contains some more positive comments -- "Harvard educated" is in there, safeguarding Ma's class status. An excerpt:
The early criticism, expressed by anguished family members and broadcast on national television, has emboldened members of Taiwan’s vocal political opposition, who have dispensed with any reluctance to exploit the challenges facing Mr. Ma.

Sisy Wen-hsien Chen, a politician who is also a television commentator, lobbed the ultimate insult by suggesting that Mr. Ma’s post-disaster performance had paled in comparison with that of Prime Minister Wen Jiabao of Taiwan’s rival, China, during the Sichuan earthquake last year.

....

Harvard-educated, debonair and prone to wonkish utterances, Mr. Ma is not exactly known as a great communicator. His wooden qualities have been thrown into stark relief in recent days as he has tried to console storm victims.
A key point not made here: Sisy Chen, the TV commentator, is a KMT supporter; she switched sides almost a decade ago. The juxtaposition of her comments after the paragraph about the opposition giving up all restraint in going after Ma makes it appear she belongs to the Greens. She does not.

Note also that the explanation for the problems offered by the NYT is that Ma is a "poor communicator" (who somehow manages to be "debonair" even though he is "wooden" UPDATE: "debonair" has now been removed from this article). Anyone looking at the mess of the Makong Gondola, the Neihu Subway line mess, the lack of significant progress in Taipei during eight years of Ma's tenure, the threats to the bureaucracy when he was running for the presidency, the lawsuit against the prosecutor in his corruption case, the undisputed fact that he had downloaded government funds into his own accounts in ways widely considered illegal until he did them, the accusations that Taiwanese are brainwashed by the Japanese, his acting like an emperor in the incident at the Confucius Temple last year, and many other things, might well posit some other reason for his distance from his people.

This paragraph of the NYTimes piece, though, is wonderful:
On Thursday, the Taiwanese cabinet reversed an earlier decision and said it would accept foreign aid, including the heavy-lift helicopters needed to bring bulldozers deep into the mountains. Compounding critics’ cynicism, the Foreign Ministry asserted that the decision to turn down foreign help was actually a typographical error in documents it had sent abroad.
Gotta love the Administration. A "typo." In fact, as I heard more than 32 countries had offered aid to Taiwan. The change of heart was probably due to the fact that China had offered aid and the government had responded positively, as reported by Taiwan News on Thursday. Couldn't turn down the US but accept China. That would be a little too obvious.

WSJ also chimed in with an article on public anger at the Ma Administration. It notes at the end:
Separately, Taiwan's Chunghwa Telecom Co. said three of its undersea cables were damaged by undersea landslides caused by the typhoon, disrupting connections throughout Asia. It estimated companies would have 50% of their voice service and 60% of their Internet service restored by the end of Wednesday.
Couple of observations. First, recall that as soon as Ma entered office, the stock market tanked, and a couple of months later, the economic crisis hit. And what has been the major criticism of the Ma Administration throughout the long economic crisis? He hasn't done anything and the government is floundering. This isn't a new behavior; the major difference is that this crisis isn't unfolding over six months, but over six days, so the floundering and indifference is rather more noticeable. But we are not witnessing something new here, folks.

Also, did anyone catch the hidden ethnic card the KMT played in its criticism of the Pingtung County government, saying it hadn't warned Chiadong and Linbian in Pingtung before the typhoon hit? As the Taipei Times reported, first the Administration directed anger at Pingtung but oh-so-coyly declined to name the neglected townships, then the pro-KMT China Times reported that they were Chiadong and Linbian. Those areas are both famous for their Hakka populations -- Chiadong has the last extant five-hall Hakka house in Taiwan. In other words, the hidden ethnic subtext of that little playlet was: Look, Hakkas, the DPP (Hoklo) government of Pingtung has screwed you again -- vote KMT to avoid that!

Many comparisons to Bush after Katrina wiped out New Orleans. It remains to be seen whether Ma's party will take a hit in the polls after this mess, though.

UPDATE: AP has an excellent article on the beating Ma is taking from within his own party and from the pro-KMT media. Ma's comments to a UK news outlet in which he appeared to say that it was the victims own fault were mentioned:

"They were not fully prepared. If they were, they should have been evacuated much earlier," Ma told an ITN reporter. "They didn't realize how serious the disaster was."

Taiwan's normally pro-Ma China Times newspaper lambasted the president for the remarks, saying they were badly out of place.

"It is not presidential to tell international media that the blame falls on people who would not evacuate in order to safeguard their own homes," the newspaper said.

UPDATE 2: Meanwhile AFP -- shock, shock -- plays down the idea that Ma is being criticized for poor leadership, restricting its remarks to:
Ma's administration has been criticised for being too slow to recognise the magnitude of the crisis in which mudslides cut off hundreds of villages, leaving them only accessible by air.
Note that Ma himself is not portrayed as an incompetent, as the other pieces zoom in on his behavior in fine detail. AFP leaves out any of the details, while referring to criticism of the "Ma administration."
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Pingtung Relief Efforts

First, updates. Numbers to call in Pingtung: 08 7365600, 08 7365012, or 08-7378821x501/x506. In Pingtung today I learned that the volunteers are being shuttled out to work sites along the coast. Pick up is at the Pingtung County Bureau of Cultural Affairs on Dalien Road in the northeast part of the city twice a day, 8:30 am and 1:30 pm. However, the Cultural Affairs Bureau building has no signs or other indicators that it is somehow involved in typhoon relief. Go inside and ask to find out what is going on.

Today Michael Cannon and I decided to go out to Pingtung to see if we could sling mud in affected areas, because if there is one thing I know, it is mudslinging. People had put money into my account, so we loaded up the van with more boots, saws, brooms, buckets, gloves, masks, garbage bags, and other goodies needed for cleaning and took them over to Pingtung Stadium where they were coordinating drop offs. Most of that stuff went out right away.

I can't thank everyone enough. With all the money that came in, we put more than $30,000 NT worth of stuff into the hands of people who needed it. You guys are awesome.

At the stadium, goods were flowing in and out pretty regularly. Lots of student volunteers again. We moved boxes here for a while, then broke for an early lunch so we could head over to the Cultural Bureau for the 1:30 pick-up.

Karoke by the river in Shuimen in Neipu. Unfortunately the 1:30 pm shuttle taking volunteers out to work sites had been canceled. We judged that we were too far from the areas on the coast, but one of the people at the Cultural Affairs building suggested that we go to Neipu, where there was cleaning work going on. If you do go directly to Linbian, Chiadong, or Donggang, go to the township offices where work is being coordinated.

Refugees in the background, the media interviews a government employee at Neipu Agricultural Vocational Technical High School.

Shuimen in Neipu township where the school was. Unfortunately there was no cleaning work to do in Neipu, we were told.

Flooded areas near Shuimen. The refugees were largely Rukai from the mountains above the area. Their villages were completely cut off by broken bridges and roads. Hence, no cleaning could be done, because no one could get into the area save by helicopter. So we were told.

We moved boxes for a while, then returned home to Taichung since we had commitments on Saturday.

Crossing Taiwan's most beautiful bridge, on Hwy 3 between Pingtung and Kaohsiung.

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The typhoon aid distribution center in Sinying, Tainan

My friend Michael Cannon suggested that instead of getting together to do some biking, we head down to Tainan and Pingtung to volunteer in the affected areas. So on Wednesday night a bunch of us chipped in, I filled the van with stuff that was in demand -- cleaning supplies -- and headed down south. We also got a boost from Basic Aid, a local aid group. By the time I got out on the highway, I was carrying so many chemicals that I would have been arrested for being a bombmaker in the US. Many thanks to everyone who chipped in. People I don't even know put money in my account to buy stuff. Simply incredible.

Here they unload the stuff we brought. We were instantly surrounded by unloaders, and they carefully inventoried everything. I don't think the brooms actually ever touched the ground -- they just went right in and right out.

The aid distribution center was in Sinying, the county seat of Tainan county, at the local county government office. As can be seen, everything was organized -- water here, instant noodles there. The whole operation was run by females, and not a box went in or out but three femmes counted it. I won't say it ran like clockwork, because clockwork rarely runs at 100 decibels, but it ran as well as it could, considering.

I put my name on the list for the vehicle pool. We got a small load of stuff to carry over to another government office in a nearby town. Michael waits for boxes to load in this picture.


The town of Siaying not far from Sinying.

The peaceful view belies the massive flooding of a few days ago.

Local countryside.

Back at the distribution center, people were busy loading boxes. Who would have thought there were so many boxes of instant noodles in the world?

A halt in the flow of goods. Young people came by the thousands to help.

Mountains of supplies flowed in, everything you could possibly name and things you'd never think of.

Michael waits for a pass.

The flow of goods.

Organized chaos.

A hard day of movin' things needed some real Taiwan food therapy.

Sinying is overwhelmed with labor and there are plenty of vehicles flowing in and out. So today we are heading out to Pingtung to volunteer in the affected areas. A local friend told me:

"Got an email from Council for Hakka Affairs saying Pingtung needs a lot volunteers to help down there. They're meeting at the Pingtung County Bureau of Culture every day and transporting people to disaster areas to help out. Call 08 7365600 or 08 7365012 for more info."

and this adding new phone lines and extensions since the response has been overwhelming.

"Just got another email from 客委會: 屏東縣府文化處救災志工諮詢電話08-7365600 08-7365012,有熱心朋友想去幫忙 但反應電話一直都打不通 後來我經其他方式問到的結果
煩請改撥 [number no good] 或 08-7378821*501 或 *506"

Please donate money, above all, it is what is most needed to keep things going. Unfortunately I am out of touch and so can't tell you where.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Political Winds Blow


Roaring water in the Dachia River the day after the typhoon left.

In addition to leaving death and destruction in its wake, the typhoon appears to have left a trail of ugly politics as well.

To date, the big loser appears to be President Ma. The President, whose origins in the KMT security state and whose apparent indecision, short temper, self-centeredness, and indifference to the fate of his own people is never seen in foreign press depictions, took a beating this time so bad that even the South China Morning Post, usually a KMT cheerleader, was moved to write about it today:
The worst flooding to hit Taiwan in half a century has put the government of Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou to the test - and so far it is struggling badly.

Television footage of complaints from bereaved families and an embarrassed Mr Ma trying to comfort the son of a flood victim were broadcast almost continuously yesterday, reflecting public disappointment over the performance of the Ma administration.

A man, who won a promise from Mr Ma to help him locate his missing father, yesterday had to hire a bulldozer with his own money to try to see if his father had been buried by a mudslide in the eastern county of Taitung.

"We found my father's car buried by thick mud and rocks and we asked the neighbourhood chief to help dig, but he simply told us it was out of his power to command the public works department to do the job. What kind of help was that?" Lee Yu-ying said.

Mr Lee and his mother broke through a police cordon to demand Mr Ma's help during his inspection tour of the hard-hit county on Monday.

A number of areas, including a hot spring resort, were damaged by flash floods and mudslides. Television footage showed an embarrassed Mr Ma telling Mr Lee: "Now you can see me", after Mr Lee said it taken a huge effort to get close to him.

The daughter of a flood victim in the southern county of Kaohsiung said: "My father is still trapped there. They told us they would send a helicopter to save him, but there is nothing. My father is still waiting."

An apparent lack of concern from Mr Ma sparked online anger.

Netizen Huang Shu-tsun asked if Mr Ma realised that the government was responsible for the grief families were experiencing.

The media also reported that Mr Ma went to a wedding when the typhoon was tipped to hit Taiwan. The media also said a local leader of Mr Ma's Kuomintang hosted a banquet in Kaohsiung on Monday evening to drum up support for the KMT election of central committee members on August 22 as Hsiaolin village was reported to have been buried by landslides.
In the exchange between Ma and the local villager Ma was nastier than the SCMP indicates here. The man in question had implored Ma, saying that they had all voted for him (Aargh! What did they expect would happen when he was elected?) and that it was difficult to see him. Ma answered both sarcastically and testily: "You're seeing me now, aren't you?" This incident sparked angry letters and editorials in the local Chinese and English media, as well as an excellent post yesterday from J Michael Cole, who observed, along with many others, that Ma had simply echoed the unseemly, arrogant behavior of KMT bigwig Lien Chan after the 9/21 earthquake, as if the KMT had learned nothing.

Ma also had a bout of foot-in-mouth disease visiting Taimali on the east coast the day before, where he a told man whose father was missing that Ma empathized, because he'd lost his dad too -- as if Ma's father dying at a comfortable old age was the same as waking up one morning and finding out that Dad has disappeared in a flash flood. I do give Ma credit for a clumsy attempt to empathize with hoi polloi.


Water pours through the sluice gates of the Shihgang Dam in Taichung county.

The Taipei Times editorially observed:
Ma’s visit to areas ravaged by the storm was intended to instill confidence that the government is aware of the extent of the devastation and will not abandon communities to their fate. But Ma was visibly irritated and impatient with villagers who spoke to him. Grief-stricken residents were likely left feeling the president was as distant as ever, even when at arm’s length. Rather than consolation, Ma communicated aloofness.

Nor were his comments on the roles of central and local governments appropriate or helpful. Ma said on Monday that local governments bore full responsibility for the relief effort, while the central government would help only if local authorities could not handle the situation. In this way, the government would ensure that it used funds “reasonably and efficiently,” he said.

While excessive government spending has been a hot topic in past weeks, a disaster in which hundreds of people are feared missing is hardly the occasion to talk about governmental division of labor.

If Ma learned any lessons from the extensive flooding in the south last year, he did not learn them well. The president came under fire last summer for not visiting areas devastated by torrential rains in June. At the time, the Presidential Office brushed off the criticism, saying Ma would not visit “out of respect for the Constitution” because “disaster relief and visits fall under the authority of the Executive Yuan.”

This time there was no mention of “honoring” the Constitution. Ma was quick to head to the front lines of the disaster, but did such a poor job of displaying sympathy that he made Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (???) look like a man of the people for his cameo performance after the Sichuan quake.
What Ma really communicated, in refusing to declare a state of emergency, and in putting the blame and the onus on local governments, was he does not consider the people of Taiwan his own people. Local commentators were quick to point out that after the great quake in Szechuan, Ma had organized 50 phone hotlines for donations (and a good thing too). For Taiwan's disaster? "Apply to your local government."This is the same mind that considers an extended political campaign in the south a "long stay" and quotes Tang poetry when visiting farmers there. Aloof is a word that fails to properly represent the gulf between the island's President, born in Shenzhen, and its people, especially those in the south.

In addition to Ma's attitude, he also sparked criticism by bringing with him local political candidates when he toured the affected areas, a markedly cynical move. The KMT, to its credit, instituted an immediate ban on political rallies, and expelled a politician from Jiaxian, a hard hit area, for holding a campaign activity in Kaohsiung.


Landslides and washouts knock out a road north of Shihgang.

The blame game actually started right away as the Taipei Times reported two days ago. The Ma Administration immediately said that Pingtung County had been notified but potentially affected areas were not evacuated, and further criticized the Weather Bureau for its inaccurate forecasts -- thus sending the message that everyone was to blame but Ma's central government.

The cruel politics of putting the blame on local governments should not be overlooked. As I noted a while back, the county governments in the south are broke, in particular Chiayi, Tainan, and Pingtung. They cannot afford typhoon relief, and might very well fail. If so, Ma will blame them -- if they succeed, you know that the Administration will claim it was because of the strong central government support. Note that the Ma Administration has also turned down aid from Japan and the US.

The reason for the cynical politics is probably that the KMT took a hit for the arrogance and indifference of its leaders, and the perceived incompetence of its response, after the 1999 quake, that cost it in the 2000 elections six months later. It seems that rather than get all proactive and get out there and make things go, Ma is attempting to insulate the Administration from the (probably inevitable) fallout from when the relief efforts are perceived to be inadequate, while hurting the (DPP-run) county governments. The public is quite likely to see through this; it tends to hold its central government leaders responsible for big messes like this one.


Meanwhile the volunteer response has been overwhelming, as have donations. We are privileged to live on a great island full of warm friendly people, who are ever so much bigger than their leaders.
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China voice says break up India

The typhoon may have cut a swath of destruction across southern Taiwan, but the geopolitics goes on. Up today is this interesting article showing how some thinkers in China regard India:
Almost coinciding with the 13th round of Sino-Indian border talks (New Delhi [ Images ], August 7-8, 2009), an article (in the Chinese language) has appeared in China captioned 'If China takes a little action, the so-called Great Indian Federation can be broken up' (Zhong Guo Zhan Lue Gang, www.iiss.cn, Chinese, August 8, 2009).

Interestingly, it has been reproduced in several other strategic and military Web sites of the country and by all means, targets the domestic audience. The authoritative host site is located in Beijing [ Images ] and is the new edition of one, which so far represented the China International Institute for Strategic Studies (www.chinaiiss.org).

Claiming that Beijing's 'China-Centric' Asian strategy, provides for splitting India, the writer of the article, Zhan Lue (strategy), has found that New Delhi's corresponding 'India-Centric' policy in Asia, is in reality a 'Hindustan centric' one. Stating that on the other hand 'local centres' exist in several of the country's provinces (excepting for the UP and certain northern regions), Zhan Lue has felt that in the face of such local characteristics, the 'so-called' Indian nation cannot be considered as one having existed in history.

According to the article, if India today relies on any thing for unity, it is the Hindu religion. The partition of the country was based on religion. Stating that today nation states are the main current in the world, it has said that India could only be termed now as a 'Hindu religious state'. Adding that Hinduism is a decadent religion as it allows caste exploitation and is unhelpful to the country's modernisation, it described the Indian government as one in a dilemma with regard to eradication of the caste system as it realises that the process to do away with castes may shake the foundation of the consciousness of the Indian nation.

The writer has argued that in view of the above, China in its own interest and the progress of Asia, should join forces with different nationalities like the Assamese, Tamils, and Kashmiris and support the latter in establishing independent nation-States of their own, out of India. In particular, the ULFA (United Liberation Front of Asom) in Assam, a territory neighboring China, can be helped by China so that Assam realises its national independence.
There's more in that vein. The article gives a sort of mirror-image insight into how Beijing views its own ethnic nationalists -- as a source of potential dismemberment of the nation. You'd never catch any Chinese claiming that regional prosperity would advance if China were broken up into many states, but apparently it is ok to make such claims about other multiethnic states. The analysis of India is shallow and not very intelligent, but it does show how many in China think -- and how deeply concerned China is with India.

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