Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Econ Round Up

The Ministry of Economic Affairs put out the numbers on FDI. From Digitimes:
Taiwan's Ministry of Economic Affairs (MOEA) approved 2,308 foreign direct investment projects (except from China) totaling US$3.596 billion in January-September 2013, respectively increasing 20.40% and decreasing 8.59% on year.
In January-September, MOEA approved 103 investment projects proposed by China-based firms with total value of US$331.28 million. There were 310 approved projects of direct investment in China proposed by Taiwan-based companies or individuals with a total amount of US$6.354 billion, decreasing 8.28% and 21.02% respectively on year.
Looking at the numbers above, note how much "foreign" direct investment is coming from Caribbean islands. I bet a lot of that is recycling Taiwanese or Chinese money, not foreign at all, taking advantage of tax breaks and other incentives. Ditto for Samoa which comes in at number 5.

Also note that the number one foreign destination is Vietnam. Even as Ma pushes China Taiwanese are slowly shifting elsewhere. Investment in China from Taiwan declined according to the piece. Moreover, note how investment in China still dwarfs investment from China: $6.3 billion versus $0.33 billion. Remember how China was going to save Taiwan's economy and we had to have ECFA right now!!! It would be a colossal joke, if so many jobs had not been lost... ECFA was also supposed to boost FDI, but the last few years Taiwan's FDI performance has been grim...

The legislature is set to pass the NZ-Taiwan trade pact. Perhaps it will stimulate the permanently faltering economy...
Neither Taiwan's top economic planner, stung by a projection made in February that went badly wrong, or the chief of the country's statistics bureau were able to say on Monday if Taiwan's economy will grow by at least 2 percent this year.


She said more time was needed to assess whether the economy will be able to grow 2 percent this year given the weakness in the country's exports in the third quarter, which totaled US$76.20 billion, short of the DGBAS's projection of US$78.04 billion.

The Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research (CIER) on Oct.15 cut its forecast for Taiwan's economic growth this year to 2.01 percent, from the 2.28 percent it estimated in July, citing lower-than-expected economic momentum in the second half of the year.

At his hearing, Kuan was given a hard time for his confident projection in February that Taiwan would see a "golden cross," with growth exceeding 4 percent and the jobless rate falling below 4 percent.
The Golden Cross comment was roasted in the Taipei Times this week as well:
During the January-to-last month period, the unemployment rate only went down 0.05 percentage points to 4.18 percent. That makes Taiwan’s job market the weakest among its Asian counterparts including Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea. Hong Kong’s jobless rate held pat in June and has stayed at 3.3 percent for four months, according to statistics provided by DGBAS. Japan and South Korea’s unemployment rates stood at 4.1 percent and 3.1 percent respectively in August, latest figures showed.
Kuan said that the remarks were a goal and indeed, that is what he actually said. The opening forecast of the year pegged growth at 3.5%, a figure which has fallen steadily over time.
Daily Links:
Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!

1 comment:

Thirsty Ghosts said...

That none of the big-name corporate investigations companies -- Control Risks, Kroll, FTI -- have offices in Taiwan, nor do any of these companies have much business in Taiwan, are indications of how little genuine FDI flows into Taiwan. There're no corporate investigations in Taiwan because there's no vetting of deals because there are no deals to be vetted (locals don't vet deals on a par with the due diligence often conducted by Western investors). -max