Monday, December 07, 2009
Some Numbers on 2009 Local Elections
Ok, just for what little they are worth, a comparison. The first column lists the location, the second gives Frank Hsieh's percentage in the 2008 election. The third column gives the DPP percentage in the county or in the city mayoral election. The fourth column gives the difference in percent between 2009 and 2008, rounded down because I was too lazy to get out the calculator.
Matsu, Kinmen, and Hualien had no DPP candidate, so no comparison is possible. Speculate to your heart's content, but note that the DPP is up in almost every case. Could be general dissatisfaction for reasons noted in the post below, could be because KMTers felt less inclined to come out, while DPPers were more fired up about the election. Note that Hsinchu had a third credible candidate, hence the KMT got 38%, the DPP ~30% and the third guy, also ~30%. The different structure of this election, without the major urban areas, made it difficult to compare with previous local elections.
Looking forward to those municipal elections next year!
UPDATE: Corrected some math errors. Should have gotten out the calculator....
UPDATE II: This graph in the Taipei Times has the local election data laid out.
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