Legislative By-Election Polls

First, the TVBS poll (KNN):

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1. Hualien County

Which of the following candidates would you vote for if the legislative by-election in Hualien County were to be held tomorrow?

KMT Wang Ting-son 46%
DPP Hsiao Bi-khim 27%
Independent Shih Sheng-lang 8%
Undecided 19%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from January 13 to 14 with 986 people surveyed in Hualien County while 172 declined to be surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.4 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

Source: TVBS Poll Center

2. Taoyuan County (Third District)
For the legislative by-election in the Third District of Taoyuan County, the KMT has nominated Chen Hsueh-sheng, former KMT legislator while the DPP has nominated Huang Jen-chu, former councilman. In addition, former councilman Wu Yu-dong and the Chungli deputy mayor Lin Hsiang-mei will also run in the by-election as independents. Which of the candidate would you vote for?

KMT Chen Hsueh-sheng 34%
DPP Huang Jen-chu 31%
Independent Wu Yu-dong 13%
Independent Lin Hsiang-mei 6%
Undecided 16%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from January 14 to 15 with 844 people surveyed in Taoyuan County while 227 declined to be surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.4 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

Source: TVBS Poll Center

3. Hsinchu County
In the Hisnchu County legislative by-election, the KMT has nominated Cheng Yung-tan, the brother of former Hsinchu County Executive Chen Yung-chin, while the DPP has nominated Peng Shao-jin. If you were to vote tomorrow, for whom would you vote?

DPP Peng Shao-jin 44%
KMT Cheng Yung-tan 34%
Undecided 22%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from January 11 to 12 with 827 people surveyed in Hsinchu County while 107 declined to be surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.4 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

Source: TVBS Poll Center

4. Chiayi County (Second District)
For the legislative by-election for the Second District in Chiayi County, the KMT has nominated Lin De-rui, a professor in National Chung Cheng University, while the DPP has nominated Chen Ming-wen, former Chiayi County Executive. If you were to vote tomorrow, for whom would you vote?

DPP Chen Ming-wen 53%
KMT Lin De-rui 22%
Undecided 25%

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Next is this poll from the China Times, which looks at the chance of winning. It basically reflects the above numbers. The numbers out of Hsinchu are quite pretty to look at, and the DPP has an outside shot at Taoyuan. Hsiao Bi-khim is an outsider to Hualien and is not a strong candidate for that area. Not too shabby.
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