Paper on Parade: Declassified State/NSC Paper on Taiwan's Status and Future, 1949

It's time once again for our regular irregular feature, Paper on Parade. This piece is the Jan 1949 State Department memorandum to the NSC on the status and future of Formosa. An interesting, sometimes prescient document that navigates between many different poles, it offer a glimpse of what US policymakers knew even before the Chiang regime retreated to Taiwan. It also shows how similar the Taiwan problem of 1949 was to the Taiwan problem of 2009. The more things change....

Note first that US policy then and now is unchanged: China does not have de jure control over Formosa, balanced by the need to recognize de facto control so that Chiang Kai-shek can still be used as a weapon against Chinese communism. The document also recognizes that the Formosans -- a much better term than "Taiwanese" -- have their own identity....

...dating back to the 19th century at least. I suspect the reference to "independence" herein is to the Republic of 1895. As the page above shows, the document also differentiates between Formosans and Chinese, knows that Chiang totally misgoverned Formosa, and knows that locals want independence.

Check out the prescient statement at the top, where the memo notes that the PRC can gain control of Formosa either by attacking it or by making a deal with the local Chinese rulers. Not much has changed in the ensuing sixty years....

Nice discussion of the politics of basing -- one that applies to our misguided invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan.

An alternative that the US was unable to take hold of and use: the building up of local anti-Communist forces. That failure too, with the US turn to the KMT instead of the DPP, is another theme that has traveled down through the years.

The last paragraph before the conclusion recognizes, again, the desire of the Formosans to rule themselves. The conclusion is interesting.

Note that at least twice the US speaks of curbing the influx of Chinese into Formosa.

The last sentence: a sad epitaph to four decades of martial law.
_______________________
[Taiwan] Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!