Kinda comical to watch the web suddenly come alive with the realization that Hong Kong's fate will influence Taiwan's response to Beijing's annexation drive. Oxford Analytica says Hong Kong's fate will drive Taiwanese to resist China. Even Fox News notices. What do they think we've been doing over here? All of us watching Hong Kong from here have been saying this for years. On this blog, for example, post of October 28, 2012:
Taiwan's future?: Hong Kongers fed up with Chinese, lack of control over their own fate, identifying more strongly as Hong Kongers than ever before. Still look down on Taiwanese, though. Unfortunately the snobbishness of HKKers prevents them from forming solidarity with the pro-Taiwan side. But I suspect in a couple more years we may see some serious movement in that direction.Of course, Beijing's strategy is the same in both places, as I noted a while back -- the CEPA with Hong Kong, the ECFA with Taiwan. Both places were flooded with tourists. Most critically, Beijing has used pro-China billionaires to monopolize the media.
I suspect the ugliness has only begun. Beijing and the KMT are going to coordinate against pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong and Taiwan. Deployment of gangsters -- recall the attacks on media figures in Hong Kong, include Jimmy Lai himself. That hasn't started here, but I am very worried.
- J Michael at Thinking Taiwan: Synchronizing the Narratives: China, Taiwan, and the South China Sea
- Vietnamese police bust another of the Taiwanese scammer rings that are so prevalent across SE Asia.
- ROC = 11 dashed line. CCP = 9 dashed line. Get it right.
- The island-wide cycle network. Coming in 2015.
- Thinking Taiwan on a documentary about the Sunflowers.
- Store it away: You think the Senkakus are bad? You think China is coming for Okinawa? That is just the opening phase. Remember, the Mongols, the Ming, and the Qing all included Sakhalin in their respective empires. Just wait til the 50 centers remember that.
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