Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Polls and Links for Tuesday

FormosaNation passed these around Twitter today. Top poll is Apple Daily, bottom poll is Liberty Times. Both show that Tsai crushes all comers. On Twitter several were remarking that the Apple Daily poll includes more Blues. However, note the Taiwan thinktank poll below, which has Tsai up only a few points on Chu. Best Chu speculation so far, from a friend: Chu doesn't want to run for president because... he might win.
EVENT: Next Jerome Keating meet up: Jerome Keating (jkeating@ms67.hinet.net) writes: We are back on track for our next meeting... (READ MORE)


Time and Date-- Sunday May 24th, 10 am
Speaker: Bo Tedards, Director of Amnesty International Taiwan
Topic: Amnesty International, how it helped Taiwan in the past; and how it now works from Taiwan to help Asian countries.
Venue: We are trying out a new venue-- it is right near the Liuchangli MRT Station at HePing East Rd. and Keelung Rd.
The name of the place is Vinyl Decision
Address No. 6, Lane 38 Chongde St. Xinyi Dist.
Website has a map. www.vinyldecision.com
It is a cool place that you will want to know about to listen to oldies on LP.
Phone if lost, 02 8732-9969
From the MRT station, stay on the east side of Keelung; and cross HePing to its north side, Chongde Rd. is right there off the circle.
Breakfast will be NT$125. Free flowing coffee and egg sandwiches etc.
You have no doubt heard of Amnesty International, this is a good chance to find out all that it is involved in.
And if you want to work with them on projects.
Give me (Jerome) a heads up if you are coming.
_______________________
Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums!

9 comments:

d said...

New theory: Eric Chu is a latter day Lee Teng-Hui (re: your "saw the light" point in an earlier post). He's a self-discovered, self-appointed Taiwanese nationalist Trojan horse within the KMT, and doing everything he can to scupper their chances for a generation.

Not realistic, but I imagine this is a belief taking shape in some Deep Blue pockets. And currently indistinguishable outcome-wise from whatever he's really up to.

Anonymous said...

Shih Ming-Te will split the DPP vote. I'm scared.

Anonymous said...

I had no idea Wu Den-yi was so unpopular.

Michael Turton said...

Shih Ming-teh will have little effect. He will collect donations however.

Michael Turton said...

Not realistic, but I imagine this is a belief taking shape in some Deep Blue pockets. And currently indistinguishable outcome-wise from whatever he's really up to.

I agree. The deep blues are totally out of touch with reality, and even earnest reformers like Chu are trapped by the assumptions of their Blue identities...

Michael

Anonymous said...

As a recent article in the Taipei Times pointed out,

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2015/05/20/2003618719

the KMT is a culture of "Yes-men".

The KMT party culture, with its emphasis on patronage and access to spoils, rewards cadres, not for dispensing useful advice, but for massaging the ego of their infallible boss.

Why should Ma actually listen to the public, when he, as an enlightened Han and a descendent of the dragon, need only that his own wishes be validated by the praise of underlings?

Is this not enough?

J said...

"New theory: Eric Chu is a latter day Lee Teng-Hui (re: your "saw the light" point in an earlier post). He's a self-discovered, self-appointed Taiwanese nationalist Trojan horse within the KMT, and doing everything he can to scupper their chances for a generation."

Love it!

For all of its positions and faults, to me, the most concerning thing about the KMT right now from a democratic process perspective is actually that no one believes the only two candidates registered for the primary are the ones that will actually be nominated for the real campaign! Everyone believes Ma Ying-jeou and Eric Chu will completely ignore process and make an independent choice.

This is extremely damaging for a competitive democracy. The DPP needs a healthy opponent that keeps it honest, not one that is a complete joke and even to this day, hesitates in its commitment to democracy. I wouldn't be so sure that these developments are great for the DPP.

A party realignment couldn't come soon enough. Whatever his faults, I see James Soong and the PFP destroying the KMT as the only way to keep democracy going strong. But the realignment most likely would be chaotic and create a lot of noise that will coverup real issues, and so it's hard to see it as a great path either...

Anonymous said...

"Shih Ming-Te will split the DPP vote. I'm scared."

I'm fairly certain most green voters despise him at this point.

les said...

And now the pundits are saying Matong would let Wang Jinping run as veep to Wu Denyi. Let the slaughter begin!