The Global Views Survey Research Center’s sudden announcement on Tuesday that it would no longer conduct polls on elections or political issues has triggered intense media coverage and allegations that it caved in to political pressure.If you look at the poll right below this one, you'll Ma has a huge lead. That's in the pro-KMT China Times. Other pro-KMT polls are similar. But GV constantly interrupted this narrative of inevitable DPP loss with the sad news that the race is neck and neck -- even the international media was reporting it as a neck and neck race. It's hard not to read this shutdown of the one semi-reliable poll as an act of political pressure.
The surveys the center had been conducting on January’s presidential election, as well as its monthly public support trend investigation and political party inclination investigation will all be halted.
The center’s last survey was conducted on Sept. 21 and found that if President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) ran just against Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), support for Ma was 39.2 percent to Tsai’s 38.3. percent.
If People First Party Chairman James Soong (宋楚瑜) joined the race, Soong would garner 10 percent of the votes, and Tsai would lead Ma with 36 percent to his 35.8 percent, the survey found.
Remember too that if the KMT loses they have now prepared the ground for the claiming that the vote was rigged: "Look, the polls had Ma up by 10 or more, but he lost by 2. How is this possible? There must have been cheating!!"
UPDATE: SY in the comments says:
The owners and the head of the GV group are close to KMT, most are members of KMT.Thanks also to the commenter who pointed to the Lib Times piece: GV currently has Tsai up over Ma 4-6%. The head of GV resigned in the wake of this mess.
I was told:
The above-mentioned geo-demo-adjusted projections ("analysis") have been showing Tsai leading for the last two months (the Oct data is said to be of the same trend.) The "bad news" has been spreading from ear to ear.
I believe this was the reason why the Ma regime decided to kill it. Personally, I still believe Ma will win the election. Money does talk.
UPDATE II: Read Taiwan Echo's post
UPDATE III: Global Views polling center director interview summary in the TT
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