Sunday, April 09, 2006

Sunday, April 9, 2006, Taiwan Blog Round Up

Several months ago Asiapundit argued via Curzon's Coming Anarchy that Bush was probably not a sociopath, as crazed individuals can't get elected as heads of major nations. I was reminded of this post when I read the other day that Seymour Hersch, the well-known investigative reporter, is going to warn in an upcoming article that our sociopathic President is planning to use nuclear weapons against Iran, unprovoked, in time of peace, and that he will do so over the advice and objections of saner minds in his military (a review of the physics issues). Just when I thought the pain of watching Bush destroy the United States couldn't get any worse, it did......

The news this week on the Beautiful Isle, where we survive in the uneasy tension generated by our dual role of pawn and troublemaker, fortunately offers us nothing as grim as that. Plenty of good blogging this week, and some interesting political and social happenings on our island.

Local anthropologist Jeff Martin's presentation on the police at the Swenson's meetup on April 1 offers a wealth of useful information on the police in Taiwan:

The highlight of the morning was Jeff Martin, a newly-minted PHD fresh from the University of Chicago's Department of Anthropology, who gave a talk on Taiwan's police. Jeff's talk was sympathetic, informative, detailed, funny, and useful, setting a standard for any future presentations that will be difficult to match.

One of the great things about the presentation wasn't just the high quality of Jeff's work and the accessible way he presented it, but also the fact that audience consisted of people who all knew quite a bit about Taiwan. It was a privilege to sit in with so many well-informed and experienced Taiwan expats, all talking to each other about topics of vital importance to our experience of
the Beautiful Isle.

Jeff was introduced by Linda Arrigo. She observed that he had done fieldwork on how the police function in Taiwan by "spending three years drinking with them," coming back from the torturous and ever-changing world out there with a shipload of information that no one else understood. The police have two systems, Linda said -- the official system, and "the other one." It was our happy lot to listen to Jeff clarify both for us.

Jeff began with two simple questions: what do the police do? And why do they do it? It turned out that Jeff had to answer a third question: just who are the police?

A very important talk from a very insightful presenter. Jeff is currently looking for work in a sociology or anthropology department here.

The Former Native Speaker gets revenge for the way our English has been impacted from years of living in Taiwan:

The former native Chinese speaker has complained recently that my mispronunciation of several tones in Mandarin is beginning to affect her pronunciation. Most egregious of my mistakes is my frequent reference to the "kitchen waste container" (廚餘桶 chu2 yu2 tong3) as the chu3 yu2 tong3 (楚瑜桶, perhaps named in honor of James Soong?).

I especially like the snarky political reference there, Jon.

Taipei Nights offers humorous insights into cartography in the Age of the KMT:

I look upon Shi Da's Chinese Language and Culture Program partially as a tool of Taiwanese aggrandisement. The most popularly used text is quite overtly patriotic. Moreover, the sheer number of scholarship students, such as myself, suggests an attempt to build an army of people who's perception of Taiwan has been heavily influenced by the free money, and relaxed life style. My favourite aspect of this exercise is the maps placed in every single classroom at the Language Center. Every room has one map of Taiwan, and one map of the World. They are identical in every room. The Map of Taiwan (R.O.C.) is quite unremarkable, with little worth commenting upon. The World map at first glance appears to be the same, unremarkable in every way.

That is until one takes a closer inspection. The first thing you're likely to notice is that Taiwan is part of China on this particular map. This isn't particularly noteworthy as this was the official government stance for decades and of course is an opinion still held by a not insignificant minority. Beijing is referred to as Beiping, ffectively changing the meaning from Northern Capital to Northern Peace. Fair enough, we wouldn't want the illigetimate commie/fascist government center to be considered the capital. This too is unsurprising, the GMD [KMT] tried for years to get people to call Beijing, Beiping, and some do.....

Don't miss the dialogue between a cartographer and a publisher....

Hinet and Blogspot had a disgreement this week, with the resuly that many bloggers lost the ability to see their blogs for two days. So not many people posted on the Chen-Ma meeting. That was one reason, anyway. The other was probably the fact that none of us anticipated anything from it, which made discussion of it more an act of theatre criticism than political reflection. Tim at Indiac had a review in his usual slashing style:

Thursday's Taipei Times reports that according to Taiwan's representative to the US, David Lee, the US is "happy" with the April 3, 2006 meeting between President Chen Shui-bian and KMT chairman and Taipei mayor Ma Ying-jeou. I, too, am happy about it -- mostly about the clarity that resulted from what each side said.

Ma brought up Chen's "five noes" several times, giving Chen the chance to finally say out loud that which I have been reminding readers of on many occasions recently: that the promises within his "five noes" were based on the condition that China not militarily threaten Taiwan. Chen reminded Ma of the increasing number of missiles and of the "anti-secession" law (which "legislates" the arbitrary use of "non-peaceful means" against Taiwan).

Ma, on the other hand, unwittingly made it clear that his and the KMT's position is based on lies, lies, and more lies. By continuing to use a long-dried-out, recently-detached dingleberry (the so-called "1992 consensus") which was barehandedly retrieved from a 5-ton pile of horseshit as a basis for treating the DPP as a "major enemy" and China as a "minor enemy," he demonstrated a clear disregard for the simple truth.

KMT con artist Su Chi admitted just this February that he made up the term "1992 consensus."

The meeting was clear Chen victory over Ma. Chen is a wily political operator with real experience riding herd on a major democratic party, and his experience, brains, and dedication far outshone Ma's. Polls gave the nod to Chen in that one. It is interesting to read Robert Ross' slanted article in Foreign Affairs (Taiwan's Fading Independence Movement? Or Robert Ross' Fading Understanding?) against Chen's superb performance. No matter how much wishful thinking US policymakers indulge in, Taiwan independence isn't going to go away.

Jerome Keating defines three key phrases in the cross-strait lexicon:

Three key phrases that every member of the world community should know and be able to explain as regards Taiwan/China Cross-Strait Affairs are the following: status quo, the Consensus of 1992, and the National Unification Guidelines. To facilitate this, the following excerpts from the Dummies Guide to Understanding Taiwan/China Cross-Strait Phraseology are provided below.

It's incredible that Ma could still refer to the "1992 Consensus" when there is no such thing.

Big Ell's Taiwaner of the Week is none other than the lovebirds of Taitung County Chief fame:

Wu Chun-li (吳俊立) won an election last December 3 to gain the county commissioner post. He was suspended on December 20 after being sworn-in because of profiteering charges stemming from his days as Taitung County councilor. He then divorced his wife Kuang Li-chen (鄺麗貞) and named her deputy magistrate. This slick move allowed Wu to circumvent laws that prohibit naming
close relatives as deputies.

Facing profiteering and vote-buying charges Wu formally resigned on January 23. He is appealing the case. This led to a Taitung County Commissioner by-election. This also led to Ms. Kuang's decision to run for the Taitung County Commissioner position. On April 1st, Kuang Li-chen is elected in a landslide to become the first female magistrate in Taitung's history. The quote of the week goes to Ms. Kuang when she yelled "We won it back!" upon hearing the election results.

Read the post, it's a great overview of the whole sick affair.

Taiwan Today posts statistics to combat the horrible propaganda that the KMT-dominated media put out about Taiwan's economic "recession." Apparently our exports grew 14% in March. The economy is growing stably at 4%. But you'd never know that from the steady drumbeat of complaints from the pro-China camp.

Taiwan's exports, which drove a pickup in the economy in the most recent quarter, probably showed little signs of cooling in March, economists said.

Overseas sales probably rose 14 percent from a year earlier, the same pace as in the first two months, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 20 economists. The figures will be released today at 4 p.m. in Taipei.Booming sales of semiconductors and notebook computers to China and the U.S., Taiwan's biggest markets, has kept the economy humming and the government in February raised its growth forecast for 2006. Exports powered the quickest economic expansion in 18 months in the fourth quarter.
I usually take great pains to refute the "Taiwan's economy is in recession" nonsense wherever it crops up.

Daniel at Suitcasing is on a tear. There's no way I can round up all his great posts, so have at them yourself....but this one on troublemakers is a good representative....

Something that seems very tempting to foreign teachers in Taiwan is the urge to inform everyone how things should be done. You don't agree with how your school teaches children, how your boss treats you, nor with your colleagues' working practices. I was like this, when I arrived; I've come to believe it's not a good idea.

In other words: keep your big mouth shut.

Quite true. The Taiwanese are neither stupid nor illogical, and they usually have good reasons for the way they do things.

One regrettable incident this week was the resignation of 69 year old Grand Justice Cheng Chung-mo over an alleged affair with woman three decades younger than himself. The paper that revealed this nothing event was none other than Apple Daily, well known around these parts for simply making up news. Jason at Wandering to Tamshui posted on the event:

"Ah, Spring, when a middle-aged Judicial Yuan official's fancy turns to lust."

For those of you suffering through Taiwan scandal withdrawal, your delivery is at hand: Judicial Yuan Vice President and Grand Justice Cheng Chung-mou (城仲模) has resigned from his posts this week amid reports of an illicit and poorly-explained affair with an assistant professor.

Making a rare foray into trash journalism, the Apple Daily reported that Judge Cheng was seen entering a motel in Taipei County with A Woman Who Is Not His Wife, where they stayed for an all-too-brief 70 minutes. Chastened by the attention, but not broken, the allegedly randy jurist did his best to put an innocent spin on the relationship:

As several of us noted in the comments, it stinks of a set up. Maddog had it down perfectly:

Points of suspicion:

*The photographer from the wormy Apple Daily checked into a nearby room just over 10 minutes after Cheng and Wang arrived at the motel.

* The wormy photographer was seen scouting the location by a motel worker two days prior to the incident.

* The judge admitted going to the motel, but the woman denied everything (being with the judge, having a "stomachache," going to the motel, etc.).

* The woman in the photos is wearing the standard "victim" disguise (big hat and sunglasses).

* The wormy Apple Daily claimed to have records of phone calls between the woman and the judge. Unless they are the police, how is it possible that they have these records? Did the woman provide them? If not her, who?

* Contra what the Liberty Times said about an untouched room, my wife tells me he wormy Apple Daily had photos of a room with its bed messed up. I asked how they were able to get into the room to take such photos. She suspects that the wormy photographer photographed his own room. The people at the wormy paper do love "reenacting" stuff -- even if it didn't happen.

In an FTV interview, the judge said that the reason he stepped down ws that because he had been duped, the public would tend to doubt his ability to do his job.

Having said all that, I'll believe there was an "affair" when there's evidence. For now, it's part of the same story as the "backwards" flag: an attempt to distract the public from Ma Ying-jeou's slip'n'slide into the political abyss.

Lest we forget Diane Lee and Twu Shiing-jer!

I admit that I laughed my head off at Jason's tongue-in-cheek remark that Apple made a "rare" foray into trash journalism.

The Foreigner on Formosa has also been on a roll. This week he points out that Ma actually encouraged the EU to drop its ban on weapons sales to China while at the same time opposing US weapons sales to Taiwan:

Saturday's Taiwan News reported on a ceremony marking the 17th anniversary of the death of Deng Nan-jung, a Taiwanese democracy advocate. Deng was apparently the editor of a weekly magazine, "Era of Liberty", when it published a hypothetical constitution for a Taiwanese republic. For this, the KMT shut the magazine down, and issued a subpoena for him to answer charges of sedition. Rather than comply, Deng committed suicide by lighting three barrels of gasoline in his office. Sedition charges. For PROPOSING a new constitution. And only 17 years ago. It's easy for the world to forget how recently stuff like that was happening here.

Speaking of sedition, the March 22nd edition of the Taipei Times had a letter to the editor with a couple of intriguing paragraphs in it:

The post is a wonderful juxtaposition of past and present. Few, if any of my students even know this case.

Hanjie wonders whether Taiwanese are Xenophilic or Xenophobic:

Basically, Canadian, American, British, Thai, Philippino, Vietnamese and Japanese, they all share a common ground: "the outsider". But what makes Taiwanese treat them differently? Is there racial discrimination in Taiwan? Of course there is racial discrimination in Taiwan, actually, it exists inevitably in all kind of forms. A big part of the foundations of racial discrimination in Taiwan is based on how wealthy the country is then skin color. And the stereotype Taiwanese possess is Caucasian are from wealthy western developed countries, whereas Thais and Philippinos are from poor developing countries. Thus, in general, Taiwanese are xenophilic to Caucasian but xenophobic to other Asians. This is a very interesting phenomenon in Taiwan, and it has expanded the ego of some of the Caucasian outrageously and some of the Taiwanese just can't do enough for them. Therefore, it's not surprising to see a Taiwanese flatter a Caucasian but look down on other Asians. Of course, there are always exceptions and exceptions reflect the selfishness of human nature honestly. We show great generosity to countries we can't even pronounce to seek diplomatic breakthrough. We help Vietnamese to set up a lab for clinical diagnosis in turn we get access to samples collection which can't be done in Taiwan.
This is a Taiwanese writing. It is great to see a Taiwanese frankly discussing local racism and thinking about what it might mean. [This sentence is followed by an unvoiced But...]

Tea Masters tells us how to taste teas in the professional way: Tea tasting DYI
Above is the professional tea tasting set used during Taiwan's various tea competitions. The soup spoon is usually not included. Each taster has one that he rinses before trying a new tea. How do they use the spoon? First, the taster plunges the spoon in the tea and then smell its back. Second, the spoon also serves to fill a cup to drink the tea. (Like for wine, professionnal tasters will spit the tea, especially if they are tasting over 20 teas at a time.)

This competition tea ware is not often sold in Western tea shops. So, how can you perform a professional tasting to compare several teas without investing in this equipement? Imagine, for instance, that you want to compare 3 teas in a standardized way.


SHORTS: Scott Sommers and I are participating in a Blogging Roundtable at NCKU on April 22. Come one, come all! David does Tomb Sweeping Day and Spinning around above Taipei. Ryan Whelan turns me on to The Edge. Who are the modern masters of deconstruction? Kerim Friedman points to a great essay. Brian is conducting a Taipei Hypnosis Workshop on April 23. Todd Alperovitz blogs on the Lin Family Home in Taipei, with plenty of great pics. El Spencer rocks to Wu Bai in Taichung. Freeflying Taiwan has great pics of hang gliding and flying here. TaiwanHo! serves notice on the Swenson's Breakfast Club: they'll have a site dedicated to it. Don't miss the podcasting at Getting a Leg Up, The Bluesman's Killing Floor, Misadventures in Taiwan, Ugly Expat, The Formosa Diaries, and What's Up in Taiwan. As always, great photos at 35togo, Unplugged, the forgetful's photo gallery, the forgetful's photo gallery, amateur commune, andres, Clarke vs Matt, Cat Piano, T_C at Fotolog, battphotos, Fotologging Taiwan, Photoactionboy, leftmind, MaMaHuHu, Everything Visible is Empty, Roger in Taiwan, Love Songs (Are for Losers), Photoblogging Taiwan, Eight Diagrams, Tagging Taichung, Finding the Rabbit, and The New Hampshire Bushman in Taiwan and The World. Also, Waiguoren Project wants your stories.

New blogs on the roll:

Fred's Space
.Rosa's Random Stuff
..mtdu20000
...BeingBlackinAsia
....New to Taiwan
.....Devon
......Christine
.......Living.....Canadian in Taiwan
........isaiahpan
.........Quincy's Liberty
..........Hsinchu Divers Club
...........kiwintaiwan
...........Hanjie's Blog
............Beyond the land of spare room



UPDATE: Added missing links

Part Time Posts at Nat. Chengchi U

Ken Dickson alerts on:

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Teaching Positions Available
Foreign Language Center, National Chengchi University
The College English Section of Foreign Language Center atNational Chengchi University in Taipei, Taiwan (R.O.C) invites applications for several part-time faculty positions teaching College English Courses and English Lab Courses.

The successful applicants would be expected to begin employment on August 1, 2006.  

Qualifications: 1. MA or PH. D. degree holders. 2. For College English Courses, English teaching experiencepreferred. 3. For English Lab Courses, English Lab teaching experience preferred. Application Documents: 1. Curriculum vitae. 2. Copy of diploma. 3. Proof of previous academic employment. 4. Graduate transcripts. 5. Academic essays and publications. 6. Two letters of recommendation written within the last two years.

Deadline: All application materials must be post-marked no laterthan April 28, 2006. Application should be sent to: Search Committee Foreign Language Center National Chengchi University Taipei, Taiwan 11605 R.O.C We welcome applicants of all nationalities. For further information please contact us at 886-2-29393091 Ext.62396, send an e-mail to flcenter@nccu.edu.tw, or visit our website athttp://flc.nccu.edu.tw./

*Applicants who pass the first screening will be notified regarding presentation and interview on May 6, 2006.

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Saturday, April 08, 2006

Correct English in Taipei -- and Get a Free Hat!

The Taipei Times announced a new policy to improve the Anglais in the capital. Get yourself a free cap!

Taipei invites public to join war on bad English

The Taipei City Transportation Department is declaring war on bad English.

In an effort to create an "English-friendly" environment in Taipei, the department is inviting people to correct mistakes or poor use of English on the city's street signs and in official publications.

The English error-finding activity is the latest in a series of events designed to promote public participation in the city government's English program.

The department said that the activity was directed primarily at the English content of bilingual signs, including street signs and the various information plaques at the city's major attractions.

Residents are encouraged to find spelling mistakes, incorrect word choices, errors in word order, incorrect translations or grammatical blunders in the signs.

submission

Participants can submit their findings by filling out a form on the department's Web site and sending their findings by e-mail, fax or post to the department.

The form, dubbed "Identifying Errors in English of Traffic Engineering Office Publications," is available at the department's Web site (here). The Web site contains detailed instructions in Chinese and English.

People who spot three or more English errors between now and June 30 will receive awards from the department, ranging from knapsacks to official Traffic Engineering Office hats.

Here is a definite never-ending struggle. Just imagine the UK speakers (speaking the Beta version of English) and US speakers (speaking the successful commercial version) correcting each other -- "Hey!, there's no 'u' in labor." "Damned colonial!" "The sign says 'the government is not aware....'" "No, that should say 'the government dinna ken....'" How will the Taipei government handle that? Who will make the judgments?

Maybe we should import some speakers of Indian English to be the judges. We can air-dash them here....

It's Crime Day!

I couldn't help noticing as I took a break from editing to read the news, that today's news slate is led off by crimes. Taiwan News has.....

Chen Che-nan held in Taipei after testimony
Former Presidential Office deputy secretary-general Chen Che-nan (陳哲男) was taken into custody yesterday after Taipei District Court prosecutors requested he be detained.They are charging him with corruption and perjury in a financial embezzlement scheme with notorious fugitive businessman Liang Po-hsun (梁柏薰).The prosecution asked that Chen be taken into custody after interrogating him yesterday afternoon about his relationship with Liang.Liang was arrested last Sunday after.... [Full story]

Reports say dead wife of railway worker had poison in blood
The railway saboteur mystery seemed to take another dramatic turn yesterday when a Chinese language media said that traces of a rare poison were found in the body of Chen... [Full story]

I thought it was neat that the front page juxtaposed these two crimes, one a prosaic corruption case, the other a fascinating murder-for-money saga, with a reference to one of history's more well-known crimes, with the world-wide release of a translation of the Gospel of Judas. I also think it is neat when two of my passions, Taiwan and New Testament studies, intersect:

Gospel of Judas unveiled in U.S.
For 2,000 years Judas has been reviled for betraying Jesus. Now a newly translated ancient document seeks to tell his side of the story.The "Gospel of Judas" tells a far different tale from the four gospels in the New Testament. It portrays Judas as a favored disciple who was given special knowledge by Jesus - and who turned him in at Jesus' request."You will be cursed by the other generations [Fullstory]

The Gospel of Judas is a late text of no historical importance for the Jesus story, though it does shed light on second-century Christianity. As far as Judas is concerned, Shelby Spong demonstrated years ago in a presentation to the Jesus Seminar that the writer of Mark had invented Judas, and the position that Judas is an invented character is also held by Ted Weeden, probably the ranking Mark scholar (Go here to chapter 14 of my commentary and scroll down to the comments on verses 14:9-11 for more information on the arguments). Early Christianity was a great diversity that can be broadly split into four major groups -- the proto-Orthodox faction, the Marcionites, the Gnostics, and Adoptionists. The Gospel itself presumes the tale in the canonical gospels, but like many of the Gnostic gospels, goes off in its own direction. The Gnostics and the other branches of Christianity were eventually defeated and suppressed as heretical by the proto-orthodox faction, which evolved into the Christian Church of today.

Friday, April 07, 2006

Reading Ma in the US: Nelson Report on Arms Purchase

Surprise! Surprise! It is slowly dawning on the US that Ma Ying-jeou treated the US exactly like he treats the locals: as dupes to be patronized rather than as partners to be respected. The result? It's business as usual in the legislature as the arms package failed to make it out of Committee for the 50th time.

Judging from subsequent events, Ma apparently thought that he could say whatever he wanted to the US and then go home and do whatever he pleased. A sociologist of Chinese/US cross-cultural meetings would read this as Ma, behaving like the typical high-status Chinese, tells his listener what will make them happy, and then does what he wants -- because the listeners, being of lower status (Big Nose Barbarians from across the water, upstarts of a mere 200 years pedigree), have to politely accept it. That's what would happen in local society -- you're not supposed to point out that your boss is a liar and a hypocrite. But -- and one feels like Christopher Reeve in The Remains of the Day toasting the dinner party with the declaration that "this is the age of realpolitik" -- this is the realm of international relations and Ma doesn't get, in his gut, that he is His Majesty's Dog at Kew, and not the Qing Emperor receiving the Macartney Embassy with a politely contemptuous dismissal of British goods and British friendship. Ma thinks like a Chinese, not a Taiwanese, and his consciousness of his own stature is not that of a colonized islander struggling to survive in a vicious and uncertain world, but the consciousness of a son of the Middle Kingdom who is at the apex of the world. Chen knows what he is -- and has five years of experience manipulating Washington that Ma doesn't have. I suspect, from interacting with other mainlanders, that Ma actually believes the three letters "ROC" really mean something Out There.

The trip and subsequent meeting with Chen Shui-bian this week exposed several of Ma's weaknesses: No international experience. Overweening arrogance. No real intellectual depth (the bar exam that Ma failed Chen passed in his second year of college). No understanding of his place and Taiwan's place in the world. Some prisons are made of feather beds, as one of my favorite books says -- and Ma has been privileged and coddled his whole life. Now that it is time to step up, he appears to lack what it takes. My prediction: Ma is going to bring the US closer to the DPP in the long run, and the searing heat of local politics may well prove too hot for the KMT's Golden Boy to handle. For gold has a beautiful luster, but it has a low melting point....

A friend of mine tossed me some tidbits from the recent Nelson Report, a consulting report that supposedly has inside information into affairs in Washington. Some highlights:

First, the report, which spoke quite disparagingly about Chen Shui-bian two iterations ago, has suddenly discovered what we here have known all along: that Chen is a wily and pragmatic politician and a force to be reckoned with:

Yesterday, President Chen Shui-bian showed, once again, why he is a politician to be reckoned with, and that despite falling polls, and public criticism from the Bush Administration, he can't be written off as a serious player, and (as China seems determined to do) ignored for the remaining 2 years of his term. During the love-in here between Mayor Ma and Deputy Secretary of State Zoellick, et al, Ma was asked to please seek a rapproachment with Chen and the DPP, and to better cooperate on not just the arms sales package.

Ma said he would, but Chen has not only beaten him to the political punch, he's exposed a real weakness in the KMT's positions. Chen yesterday in effect called Ma's bluff by inviting him to a televised meeting, and saying IF it is true, as Ma argued here, that the KMT can bring back the "1992 Consensus" which, the KMT claims, would have the PRC accepting the ROC (Republic of China) as an equal participant in discussions about "one China"..why he, Chen, would be happy to participate!

Of course, the Chinese leadership then, as now, would not engage in any such meeting of equals...and Chen certainly knows that. Our sources on Taiwan say Chen and his supporters consider the TV "debate" a big victory for them, in that it has exposed what they see as Ma's novice status in international affairs, especially vis a vis dealings with China.

The meeting was great for Chen, as he displayed for all to see the ineluctable fact that he is smarter than Ma. Polls out today said Ma performed dismally whilst Chen made gains. The report then goes on to describe a meeting at American Enterprise Institute, long a KMT friend in Washington, at which Ma and the KMT got a spanking for their continued obstructionism on the arms package.

Simmons then threw down the gauntlet to Ma and the KMT with a deceptively simple suggestion: surely no reasonable person interested in Taiwan's defense could oppose a mere $200-million to do a design study on the subs? Only then could a rational business decision be made on proceeding. And if by chance the KMT and Ma wouldn't even get behind that compromise...well, that would certainly seem to confirm charges that the KMT is into appeasement of Mainland China. Ouch!

"Simmons" is Congressman Ron Simmons, in whose district the subs will probably be built. He is very interested in getting the sub sale, naturally. But note the challenge: the KMT is opposed even to design work on the project. Simmons has neatly trapped them: fund the design work, or be exposed as Chinese servants. Which of course the KMT is. Simmons also suggested a Taiwan Foundation for Democracy. There already is one, Ron! However, I have to admit that I thoroughly enjoyed the irony of proposing the Taiwan Foundation for Democracy, which is filled with veteran anti-KMT types, at AEI, long in the KMT's pocket. Kudos to Simmons.

Under his "proposals," Stokes strongly endorsed the Simmons democracy idea, saying that Taiwan should be the host for the US-sponsored "Asia Regional Democracy Headquarters" which would "serve as a base for expanding democracy" on the Mainland, and elsewhere. Most especially, Stokes argued, Taiwan, as a democracy, should be embraced by the US as an active & strategic partner on a par with South Korea and Japan.

That's Mark Stokes, formerly of AIT fame. Heady ideas. Won't bear fruit, but nice to see.

All in all, with the exception of the supine questioners at the Council on Foreign Relations, who refused to give Ma even the slightest difficulty during their questioning of him, the US seems to be equivocal on Chairman Ma and the KMT (okay, so I veer from pessimism to cautious optimism. So sue me.). It's time it dawned on the Beltway Insiders that it is not in US interests to have a pro-China, Japan-hating mainlander who wants to annex Taiwan to China, as the leader of a nation that will be an important link in the US regional security network aimed at China. The DPP is an opportunity to be grasped, not a problem to be solved. Extend a hand us, guys.

I'm at a Roundtable on Blogging at NCKU



Clyde Warden, a full professor at Chung Hsing who publishes regularly in top journals, and one of the most informed and perceptive observers of Taiwan, has organized a roundtable on blogging on The Beautiful Isle at NCKU in Tainan on April 22. I'll be one of the discussants, along with Scott Sommers, who blogs regularly on the universities here, and Gordon Graham, who blogs on innovation, and popular local blogger Schee, who does not blog in English, and is thus not listed on my Taiwan blogroll. Looking forward to seeing some of you there!


UPDATE: Clyde posted in the comments below:

A map to the event can be downloaded here: http://qbl.idv.tw/james/NCKU_Map.pdf
The train station is RIGHT next to the university, so it is very easy to get there. Just go out the BACK exit of the station, about one block down University RD and turn left into the campus through the main gate. Down about a block and on the right is the management building. We have some very nice facilities there, and the round table will emphasize interaction with our guests and the audience. There is no charge and the event is sponsored by the International MBA program at NCKU where we have a very diverse student body from many countries.

Taiwan: Broke

One bit of fallout from the government's failure to tax the nation is the fragile state of the island's finances. The Taipei Times noted today:

Deputy Finance Minister Chen Shuh (陳樹) promised yesterday that the central government would ensure local governments received their subsidies on time, in the wake of a media report that 17 localities were so hard up that they were battling to pay their staff.

Chen told the Legislative Yuan's Budget and Financial Accounts Committee that although the central government was just as cash-strapped, the Ministry of Finance would disburse all funds due to the local governments as scheduled.

Chen said that Tainan and Taipei counties were experiencing the most serious financial problems and that the ministry was planning to revise the relevant laws to allow the local governments to run larger deficits.

........

The five localities experiencing the most serious problems were Changhua County, which posted a deficit of NT$7.65 billion; Taichung County, with a deficit of NT$7.01 billion; Tainan County, registering a deficit of NT$5.61 billion; Nantou County, with a deficit of NT$5.11 billion; and Pingtung County, which posted a deficit of NT$4.77 billion, the report said.

Taipei Hypnosis Workshop

Local hynosis expert Brian David Philips lets the world know about the Taipei Experimental Hypnosis Workshop:

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On 23 April 2006, the Taipei Experimental Hypnosis Workshop will have a meeting. This month's topic is SPEED TRANCE TECHNIQUES (Creative Approaches to Instant and Rapid Hypnosis Inductions). If you live in these parts and would like to join us, contact me.

The Taipei Experimental Hypnosis and Trancework Workshop is the largest English-language hypnosis practice group in Taiwan.

We will meet for the hypnosis study group (English) on Sunday, April 23, from 2:30 to 6ish in the afternoon) for a workshop in Speed Trance Techniques (Creative Approaches to Instant and Rapid Hypnosis Inductions).

For this session, we will be exploring Speed Trance Techniques, or Creative Approaches to Instant and Rapid Hypnosis Inductions. We will review Rapid and Instant Induction sets (including standard Elman and Modified Phillips Variation Elman inductions as well as a number of instant and rapid techniques) and then move into Creative Instant and Rapid Hypnosis Induction techniques. This session is appropriate as a review for experienced hypnotists as well as for those with less experience who wish to get a strong handle on creative approaches to trance induction. We will be doing the challenge line exercise of call outs for improvised trance inductions that are created on the spot. We are looking forward to your participation in the SPEED TRANCE TECHNIQUES session.

Taiwan Traditional Character Petition

Found this in a comment the other day:

hi, i read your blog from time to time (i'm in the U.S.) and thought you might be able to spread the word on this petition:

UN Petition

the UN wants to only use simplified chinese by 2008, instead of using both. the petition has more info, but please sign it and keep traditional characters alive!

IMHO the petition is unprofessional and contains English errors and offensive politically-charged statements (such as claiming that the other Chinese languages are "dialects"). They are languages. I personally will not sign any statement that claims the other Chinese languages are "dialects." Also, Mandarin has not always been the official language, and the spoken language has little to do with the character set anyway, since Mandarin can be read intelligibly with either traditional or simplified characters. Rewrite it, folks.

Hsinchu Divers Club blog

For those of you into diving, I thought I'd call attention to this blog of the Hsinchu Divers Club I found the other day.

We're off to Xiao Liu Qiu for a double header. Two weekends of fun in the sun and great 25+ meter viz ( not guaranteed but likely ) First 4 divers that sign up are guaranteed spots in the Zace-mobile leaving Hsinchu-Jubei on the 28th of April and the 5th of May.(Fridy night @1:30am) The first weekend we'll be joining Roland's Northern Taiwan Crew ( NTC ) and the second we'll be diving with John Boo's Southern Crew ( JBSC ) Prices are available via e-mail or telephoning Paul Oliver 0922209302 ( Special rates avail, for double occupancy! )

GET ON BOARD TODAY!

( Deposit of 1000NT required )

Xiao Liu Qiu is just a 40 minute boat ride off the port of Donggang ( Just South of Kaosiung ) and trip costs incl. 4 BOAT DIVES, FERRY TICKET 2 and FROM Liu Qiu, and Accommodations for the WEEKEND ( personal rentals, scooter, and night dive optional at your own cost)

Looks like great fun. I can't wait to learn scuba diving one of these days.

Thursday, April 06, 2006

Hinet has Blogspot Problem

Hinet apparently is having problems with the BLOGSPOT.COM address. Several of us here in Taiwan have emailed me to report that they can't see their blogs. I just got off with the technician at HINET and he told me he cannot access blogspot sites either. However, the blogger URL is different -- blogger.com, so you can still get to your dashboard and post, edit, change settings, etc. You just can't see your blog, is all.

UPDATE: Hinet actually called me back but I wasn't home. They said they would call me tomorrow. But it seems the problem is now resolved. Hooray! I had to eat a lot of chocolate to get through today.

Betel Nut Blues Again

This article on betel nuts here has been making the rounds....

It tastes bitter, turns your teeth black and causes cancer, but it also gives you a buzz and is served by scantily clad young women.

And that is why it is proving hard for Taiwan's government to get its heavy betel nut chewers, mostly blue-collar workers, to kick the habit despite the widely known health risks and the red stains left on the sidewalks where users spit out the juice.

Truck drivers in Taiwan, like their counterparts in China, India, Indonesia and elsewhere, chew the nut, which looks like a green olive, for the warming buzz and lightheadedness it gives them, helping them stay awake through long-night journeys.

"I just can't get enough of betel nuts because eating them is like making love to my wife on our wedding night," said Lin Shuei-wang, 58, as he popped into his mouth a betel nut freshly wrapped in a leaf coated with spices.....
And don't miss my picture page on Betel Nut Girls!

Off the press: Taiwan Communique 108

Gerrit van der Wees passed this around:

++++++++++

We hereby let you know that the next issue of Taiwan Communique -- no. 108 -- is off the press.

Below is the table of contents. You can find the full issue in PDF format on our website at www.taiwandc.org/twcom

Happy reading, and don't forget to look at the excellent cartoons, courtesy the Taipei Times.

Comments and suggestions are welcome.

Best regards,

Gerrit van der Wees
Editor, Taiwan Communique



CONTENTS Taiwan Communique no. 108

April 2006

National Unification Council RIP

President Chen axes a dysfunctional relic ........... 1

Letter to President Bush by FAPA President Lee ...... 2

Is the US asleep at the wheel? by the Taipei Times .. 4

Where does Mr. Ma Ying-jeou's loyalty lie? ............ 6

What "status quo" is the US preserving? by Iris Ho .... 8

The Taiwan arms budget stalemate drags on

The KMT fails to move .............................. 12

Ma Ying-jeou characteristically vague .............. 12

The submarine issue surfaces again ................. 13

China in the Quadrennial Defense Review ............ 14

Mr. Hu Jintao comes to Washington

Let history not repeat itself by Kin-ming Liu ...... 16

Report from Washington

Towards a US-Taiwan Free Trade Agreement ........... 18

Congress pushes for high-level visits .............. 20

Book review

Forbidden Nation by Jonathan Manthorpe ............. 21

Taiwan's Fading Independence Movement? Or Robert Ross' Fading Understanding?

Taiwan's Fading Independence Movement
Foreign Affairs, March-April 2006
Robert S. Ross

This article appeared in the most recent issue of Foreign Affairs, the prestigious Establishment foreign policy magazine. It is both amazing and alarming that a piece of writing this poor found its way into a journal as important as Foreign Affairs. One-sided, it contains factual errors, significant omissions, and serious misconceptions.


Ross begins by asserting his case.

HISTORY OF A CAMPAIGN THAT FAILED
Political developments in Taiwan over the past year have effectively ended the independence movement there. What had been a major source of regional instability -- and the most likely source of a great-power war anywhere in the world -- has become increasingly irrelevant. The peaceful transformation of relations between China and Taiwan will help stabilize eastern Asia, reduce the likelihood of conflict between China and the United States, and present an opportunity for Beijing, Taipei, and Washington to adjust their defense postures -- all without hurting Taiwan's security or threatening U.S. interests.

Summarized, they are (1) Taiwan's political developments have ended the independence movement; (2) Taiwan is a source of regional instability now nuetered; (3) Bringing Taiwan into China's orbit will not harm Taiwan's security nor Washington's interests.

Let's get right to the alarming part: on his recent trip to the US Ma Ying-jeou revived an old proposal of James Soong's (from the campaign of 2000) for a 30-50 year peace treaty between Taiwan and China. US conservatives rightly recognized this as bringing Taiwan into China's orbit. Here is Robert Ross pushing from the US end for essentially the same outcome. A very alarming coincidence.

As we shall see, the first of Ross' claim is clearly wrong, the second is a blatant ethical and analytical error, while the third manifests either an astounding naivete or an astounding ignorance. The reader will have to choose; I am unable to.

Ross begins his case with a number of historical errors:

Taiwan's independence movement gained momentum in 1995 when Washington allowed Taiwan's then president, Lee Teng-hui, to visit the United States. During his stay, Lee gave a speech at Cornell University that signaled his impatience for independence. Before that trip, the United States had long banned visits by Taiwan's leaders in deference to Beijing's insistence that Taiwan is a Chinese province. By suddenly allowing Lee to visit, Washington seemed to Beijing to be encouraging independence.

China reacted by deploying short-range missiles across the strait from Taiwan and accelerating its purchase of Russian submarines and advanced aircraft. In March 1996, it conducted provocative missile tests near the island, interfering with shipping to Taiwan and provoking the United States to deploy two aircraft carrier battle groups to the vicinity of Taiwan. Following the face-off, the Pentagon began actively planning for hostilities with China and expedited U.S. deployments to eastern Asia and its acquisition of new weaponry. Washington also pressed for closer defense ties with Taipei, which it urged to buy costly, high-profile weapons such as submarines and Patriot missile defense systems. Beijing, viewing these measures as further evidence of the United States' encouragement of Taiwan's independence, became increasingly suspicious of U.S. intentions.

Johnny Neihu, who watches the media from his perch atop the Taipei Times, has the call:

"China reacted" to Lee's visit by deploying missiles in 1995? As if innocent China was forced to deploy hundreds of ballistic missiles, capable of killing tens of thousands of Taiwanese, to defend itself from the depredations of that evil Taiwanese independence mastermind. I can hear the voice of Taiwan-born action master John Liu (劉忠良) in a 1970s kung fu flick: "I do not wish to fight you, but you leave me no choice."

Fine. Except China was deploying missiles targeting Taiwan as early as 1993, two years before Lee went to the US.
Oops! A clear historical error. As Johnny Neihu notes, Ross' ethics are upside down, making China the aggrieved party when in fact it is the perpetrator here.

Pay close attention too to Ross' rhetorical manuevers. Ross mentions the provocative missile tests of China in 1996, but does not say that they came in the midst of a Presidential election in which a pro-independence candidate, Lee Teng-hui, won overwhelmingly. To mention that would call into question his assertion that independence is dead. The cold hard fact is, that once you strip away the party hype, all three democratically elected Presidents of Taiwan have been pro-independence. We'll return to this in a moment.

One of Ross' rhetorical moves is to makes the complexities of history vanish with a wave of "1995". The real momentum giver to independence was not when Washington allowed Lee Teng-hui to come to Cornell but when Washington became angered in the early 1980s over KMT misbehavior, including committing murders on its own soil, and when the burgeoning democracy movement forced the KMT to legalize opposition parties in 1986. After that, with the ending of martial law in 1987, the only direction things could move was up. By stripping out the previous history of both Lee's activities, China's violent threats and desire to annex Taiwan, and the independence and democracy movements in Taiwan, Ross manufactures the illusion that independence was somehow jolted by Lee's visit in 1995. Taiwan's profile in the US might have been raised, but independence was already rolling.

Another rhetorical move has to do with the way the two paragraphs are constructed. Watch the word "provoke." First, Lee comes to Cornell. This "provokes" China, which in turn launches missiles at Taiwan, which "provokes" the US. The real tale is too complex to discuss in full, but this CRS brief by my old teacher Robert Sutter on Lee's visit and the aftermath shows that in both nations complex politics, heavily shaded, led to a series of events. Ross is creating a false chain of causation that connects China's decision to fire missiles at Taiwan back to Lee's visit to Cornell. This heightens the sense that Taiwan is a source of regional instability. Ross removes agency from China, making it "provoked" -- the passive recipient of Taiwan's actions. In reality, there were many possible responses to Lee's move, including doing nothing at all. China was not "provoked" -- it decided on one option out of many.

It was Parris Chang who correctly identified the real source of the instability with regard to Lee's visit: President Clinton's flip-flopping on the issue of the visa for Lee Teng-hui, and then blame of Taipei. The US did not handle Lee's visit quietly, and misled PRC officials. Chang also notes that Lee began pushing for higher visibility for Taiwan back in 1993. His visit to Cornell in 1995 was a continuation of an existing policy, not a sudden shift in cross-strait relations (the Wiki page is based on another article by Ross)

Finally, Ross reverses reality in another important way. By placing the onus for regional instability on Lee and independence supporters, Ross effectively apologizes for Chinese expansion. China has no valid claim to Taiwan, and Ross nowhere recognizes that the problem is not Taiwan's desire to be independent, which threatens no one, but China's desire to annex it, in pursuit of which it has threatened to plunge the region into war. Ross writes as though China has no choice but to threaten to maim and murder Taiwanese.

After 1996, the situation remained tense, and the repeated steps toward independence taken by Chen Shui-bian, Taiwan's president since 2000, fanned the flames. Although the independence movement enjoyed a high profile internationally, it never won widespread domestic support. The increasingly unpopular Chen and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), the driving forces behind the independence movement in recent years, have suffered several electoral defeats, and advocates of greater cooperation with the mainland have gained ground. A new, calmer era in cross-strait relations seems to be dawning.

This article contains multiple and very common errors. Note first that it makes the elementary analytical error of confusing support for independence with support for the DPP. In 1996 Lee Teng-hui, who was known to be pro-independence, won overwhelmingly in the presidential election. Yet Lee was running as the KMT candidate. Chen Shui-bian gained 11 points between 2000 and 2004, being elected by a razor-thin majority of voters. Reality will not support Ross' case. The public is thoroughly pro-independence, as the widespread support for the status quo -- independence from Beijing -- and outright independence show. No one wants to become part of the PRC. The fascinating question here is whether Ross really believes that anything other than Chinese missiles keeps Taiwan from being independent. He continues:

Taiwan shares a culture, language, and heritage with mainland China. But after Taiwan's half century of autonomy, economic progress, and democratization, and the resulting contrast between Taiwan and authoritarian China, many on the island have developed a strong sense of "Taiwan identity," and they believe that Taiwan now merits international recognition as a sovereign country. By the mid-1990s, the "Taiwan identity" movement had become a major force in Taiwanese politics. But it has not resulted in widespread calls for a formal declaration of independence. Voters, reflecting Beijing's military and economic hold on the island, have preferred to accommodate China's opposition to Taiwan's independence. By 2000, thanks to its accelerated missile and aircraft deployments, Beijing had developed the capability to destroy Taiwan's prosperity before the United States would have time to intervene. Equally important, the rapid growth of China's economy has given Beijing leverage over Taiwan's economy. In 2001, the mainland became Taiwan's most important export market (in 2005, it bought approximately 40 percent of Taiwan's exports), and since 2002, more than half of Taiwan's foreign investment has gone there. Without firing a shot, therefore, China could cause chaos in Taiwan.

Observe the rhetorical move at the top -- Ross makes history disappear again. Taiwan has not been independent of China for half a century. It has been independent of China for the whole of its existence, and it has been independent of a government based in Beijing for 110 years now, with the exception of four years of KMT control from 1945-9. Fifty years of Japanese rule simply vanish into the ether! The fact is that "Taiwan identity" began to take form under the Japanese and continued to grow under the ROC. Ross' point of view is that of the KMT, which would like to forget that Taiwan was ever a Japanese colony. I especially love this one:

But it has not resulted in widespread calls for a formal declaration of independence. Voters, reflecting Beijing's military and economic hold on the island, have preferred to accommodate China's opposition to Taiwan's independence.

Ross here avoids mentioning China's desire to murder Taiwanese lest they have a democracy, preferring to reach for the euphemism of "accommodating to China's opposition." Yes, the way a rape victim "accommodates" to the weapon held to her head. The next paragraph contains another hint of a pro-KMT position. I split it into two:

As a result of such factors, Chen and other politicians who support independence do not command much support among Taiwan's voters. For a decade, opinion polls have consistently reported that approximately 90 percent of the electorate opposes immediately declaring independence. Indeed, Chen's political success reflects electoral aberrations rather than the popularity of his policy toward the mainland. He won the presidency in 2000 with 39 percent of the vote only because the opposition split between his two competitors. Although he won a majority in 2004, it was the only time his party has done so since the country began holding presidential elections in 1996. And in 2004, Chen won by only a 0.1 percent margin -- after an alleged assassination attempt on Chen and his running mate the day before the vote.

Note the pro-KMT position signal embedded in the last paragaph -- the "alleged" assassination attempt. There being no reason to believe that the DPP staged an assassination attempt and no evidence to suggest such a thing, either Ross is a complete fool, or Ross has spent too much time listening to pro-KMT types complain about Chen Shui-bian. The word "alleged" there is simply a strong signal of a pro-KMT source/bias. Ross portrays Chen's success as due to "aberrations." This is essentially a KMT position -- an apologetic for KMT losses in the last two elections. As usual, decontextualizing removes the realities. Chen's garnering of 50% of the vote reflected an 11% gain over the 2000 election. A gain that large cannot be dismissed as an aberration. As many analysts remarked, between 1996 and 2004 some 4 million voters switched parties. Ross's discussion is a disservice to his readers. Further, Ross's analysis of Chen's victory contains no remark about the corruption of the KMT, or the fact that it ran the most unpopular major politician on the island for the Presidency in 2004.

More importantly, by decontextualizing the information, Ross lies to the reader:

For a decade, opinion polls have consistently reported that approximately 90 percent of the electorate opposes immediately declaring independence.

That is quite true in the trivial sense. But in order to show the meaning of such polls, Ross would need to clarify it by mentioning that the same polls show even less support for unification, and overwhelming support for the status quo. And as I mentioned before, the status quo is independence. It is numblingly obvious that the people of Taiwan do not want to be part of China.

Despite the widespread belief that Taiwan has an identity separate from China's, voters have consistently backed the so-called mainlander parties, including the Kuomintang (KMT), which was long associated with violent repression of the democracy movement. The KMT attracted popular support even when it was led by a lackluster presidential candidate and was infamous for its corruption.

All true, but wrong. As noted above, it is an elementary error to confuse voting for the KMT with opposition to independence. I personally know many people who vote KMT yet support independence. They have a variety of reasons, all which go unmentioned and unanalyzed in Ross's piece -- they like the KMT's economic policies, they think voting for the DPP will cause a war, they have longstanding ties to the KMT, or they like particular candidates. Or they get paid. Ross is again decontextualizing to create a fictive story world in which he can say that people oppose independence so greatly that they are willing to vote KMT despite the corruption.

As I have frequently noted here, corruption is a structural feature, and in a system where access must be purchased, it is rational for people to vote for corrupt politicians. Ross mentions none of this -- the whole complex context of Taiwan's local politics is simply removed from the reader's sight, thus making it possible to claim that the people are so anti-independence they vote for the anti-independence party even thought it is corrupt. Ross continues.

Despite his shallow support and the mainland's growing ability to destabilize Taiwan, Chen has continued to risk war by pushing for independence. In the run-up to the legislative elections of December 2004, for example, he and his supporters repeatedly indicated that they might seek to adopt a new constitution that would reflect what he called Taiwan's "present realities," perhaps by changing the country's formal name from "the Republic of China" to "the Republic of Taiwan" or by renouncing Taipei's formal territorial claims to the mainland. Beijing has long maintained that it would consider such changes acts of war. But Chen and his supporters dismissed such threats as empty talk, arguing that China's domestic problems (such as high unemployment, rural instability, and the regime's declining legitimacy), combined with the U.S. commitment to defend Taiwan, had reduced China to a "paper tiger." Beijing responded to Chen's provocations by escalating its threats to use force, prompting the Bush administration to step in and discourage Taipei from such moves. President George W. Bush even publicly criticized Chen and affirmed his opposition to Taiwanese independence in a joint press conference with China's president, Hu Jintao, in November 2004. The DPP lost the elections, frustrating Chen's plan to amend the constitution.

Oops! The DPP didn't "lose" the elections! After the smoke cleared, the DPP was the largest party in the legislature. It failed to gain a majority, however. Once again the complexities of local politics are smeared away. By focusing on the international reaction, Ross can avoid mentioning the fact that Chen's approach was highly successful . As longtime Taiwan observer Cal Clark wrote in Issues & Studies last year, The Paradox of the National Identity Issue in Chen Shui-bian’s 2004 Presidential Campaign: Base Constituencies vs. the Moderate Middle*:

There appear to be three possible explanations for Chen Shui-bian’s victory. The first is that the outcome was determined by idiosyncratic factors, in particular the failed assassination attempt on President Chen and Vice-President Lu Hsiu-lien on the eve of the election. Second, there is at least some evidence that the growth of a Taiwanese identity has changed both the nature of public opinion on this issue and its political consequences. Finally, President Chen has been fairly skillful in creating strategic ambiguity about his pursuit of Taiwanese nationalism, a skillfulness which almost certainly has helped him at the polls. In combination, these three explanations suggest that appealing to the DPP “base” turned out to be an inspired strategy.

Ross' position is not merely hugely biased, it is also plain wrong. The salient lesson of the last three Presidential elections, all won by pro-independence candidates, is that the center of Taiwan's political spectrum is a pro-independence center. That is why Chairman Ma of the KMT has been making noises recently about recognizing independence as a viable democratic outcome for Taiwan -- he knows where the center of Taiwan politics lies on this issue, even if Ross doesn't. Ross continues:

Despite voters' apprehension over Chen's independence initiatives, the opposition had long been too cautious to challenge Chen's policies toward the mainland. In particular, the KMT, Taiwan's largest opposition party, feared that advocating closer relations with Beijing would hurt them at the polls. But the DPP's setback in the December 2004 legislative elections created an opportunity for Taiwan's opposition politicians -- and they grabbed it.

Again, the "setback" was not doing as well as they hoped. The DPP actually had more seats than any other party. Ross discusses the Anti-Succession Law and then the trip by the pro-China politicians to China.

Polls taken shortly after Lien's trip showed that 56 percent of Taiwan's electorate supported his visit and that 46 percent believed that the KMT was the party most capable of handling cross-strait relations. Only 9.4 percent believed that the DPP was most capable.

Again, we have the elementary analytical error of concluding that because the electorate thinks that the DPP can't handle China policy, the electorate must be anti-independence. Ross appears incapable of grasping the complex and contradictory nature of the Taiwan electorate. Ross is simply providing free advertizing for the KMT.

Since Lien's visit, other opposition politicians have gone to Beijing, bringing home commitments by Beijing to expand cross-strait trade and cultural ties. Going around the allegedly "obstructionist" Chen, the KMT has reached trade agreements with Beijing granting preferential access to the mainland's market for Taiwan's agricultural products. In addition, the KMT and the mainland's Taiwan Affairs Office have opened bureaus to facilitate communication and the resolution of business disputes on the mainland involving Taiwanese companies. Beijing, in effect, has begun campaigning for the KMT.

This paragraph is wonderful. First, it ignores the meetings between the KMT and Chinese officials that predate the 2004 election. Second, although it mentions the fruit tariff issue, it does not mention that the tariffs do not apply to any fruit that Taiwan actually exports. Finally it is not Beijing that is campaigning for the KMT, it is the KMT that has become a pro-Beijing party. Once the KMT indicated it was willing to sell out its anti-communism, the way was open.

The KMT's new strategy has paid off handsomely. The opposition dealt the DPP a major defeat in the December 2005 local and municipal elections; Chen's party won only 6 of the 23 open posts, while the KMT- led coalition carried the rest. Although corruption in the DPP was a major campaign issue, so too was the party's policy toward the mainland. Once again, voters opted for cross-strait stability and pragmatic diplomatic and economic policies. Since the election, support for Chen and the DPP has been in free fall. Only 10 percent of the electorate -- and 5 percent of the business community -- approved of Chen in December's polls; the DPP's approval rating was 18 percent. The DPP is riddled with growing divisions, as younger politicians trying to reorient the party toward more pragmatic policies vie for leadership with the party's "fundamentalist" pro-independence elders.

This analysis is completely comical. Ross ignores the fact that the KMT's share of local city and county council seats fell as the DPP increased its share of these by 41% (in fact it has fallen successively in the last three elections). Once again, anything that might complexify the issue goes by the board. The KMT's policies are described as "pragmatic" although Ross has already noted that they are essentially pro-Beijing (thus again betraying the clear pro-KMT bias of this piece). The idea that the DPP "elders" are fundamentalist on independence is absurd -- in fact some of the strongest and most consistent criticisms of Chen and his circle have been that they are too pragmatic, too willing to sell out independence for short-term political gains. Chen is a centrist at heart, which is how he was able to get elected as Taipei mayor originally. Similarly, the crisis in the DPP reflects the crisis of a revolutionary party that must rule in a system that is corrupt, against an opposition that is in leagure with the island's worst enemy, in a society whose political models do not emphasize flexibility and consensus. It is Chen's leadership style, not his independence stance, that is the issue. The faction fights Ross refers to, as Linda Arrigo pointed out in her excellent presentation on the independence movement, were present from the beginning of the DPP and from the independence movement. In other words, we are not looking at some short-term problem, but a long-term one. Ross is either unaware of this, or withholds it from the reader.

Two other things deserve to be mentioned. First, the KMT is in a generational and ethnic crisis too, discussion of which has been abated by Ma Ying-jeou's ascendancy. Yet it has spun off two major mainlander parties in the last 15 years. Second, the article has that focus on Chen that is a strong signal of a pro-KMT source, since the KMT and China both are obsessed with Chen.

Rather than adjusting to this new political reality, Chen has denounced the KMT's cross-strait activities, blocked visits to Taiwan by mainland negotiators, and rejected the unofficial agreements negotiated with Beijing by opposition politicians. In his 2006 New Year's Day speech, Chen reiterated his support for independence and a new constitution. He also called for tightening the constraints on cross-strait economic relations, despite the widespread defection of business leaders to the KMT and government polls reporting that over 75 percent of voters support trade liberalization. In January, the mainland publicly offered to send two pandas to Taiwan, but despite a public outcry in favor of accepting them, Chen's government resisted, charging that Beijing's "panda diplomacy" was intended to undermine Taiwan's vigilance against the threat from China.

This paragraph is a priceless illustration of a pro-China slant. Note that it is "Chen" taking all the action, and all negative. There is no mention of China's fixed policy of not speaking to the DPP -- it is all that bad, bad, bad, Chen doing bad, bad, bad things. Ross refers to the Constitutional issue again...

In his 2006 New Year's Day speech, Chen reiterated his support for independence and a new constitution.

...without mentioning that Constitutional reform is the goal of both parties, since Taiwan's Constitution was never meant to function as the foundation for a democratic state, but instead, was simply the exoskeleton for one-party rule. In fact Constitutional reform has been ongoing for the last 15 years, a reality that Ross withholds from the reader. This constant decontextualization of issues functions to make his position seem more rational than it is. Ross' piece is driven forward by rhetorical tricks, not powered by evidence and argument. Ross' piece even refers to the "public outcry" on the panda issue, which shows up in the early polls from the pro-China parties, a clue as to his sources.

The KMT's popularity, meanwhile, has continued to surge. Following the December 2005 elections, Taipei Mayor Ma Ying-jeou, likely to be the KMT's candidate in the 2008 presidential election, received an 80 percent approval rating in opinion polls. Like Lien, Ma publicly opposes independence and supports the 1992 consensus, which he helped negotiate. To promote Taiwan's economic growth, he advocates liberalizing trade with the mainland and allowing direct shipping and direct flights to the mainland (currently, cargo and passengers are required to go through Hong Kong).

Actually, Ma's approval rating in Taipei has plummeted 22 points in recent polls, the 1992 consensus was exposed as a fiction when the legislator who coined the term admitted he made it up -- there is no 1992 consensus. Note that again we have the elementary analytical error of confusing being pro-KMT with being anti-indepedendence. The KMT's rise in popularity has to do more with the public's disgust at the deadlock in the legislature, and the KMT's successful propaganda campaign to blame the DPP for its own obstructionism, as well as the strong KMT and Chinese control of the media. In fact two of the more popular media outlets, TVBS, and Apple Daily, are owned by Hong Kong Chinese who are anti-democracy and anti-DPP.

Ross then spends a paragraph on the glorious fantasy of the future, a Taiwan economically cowed, whose people flow to China in ever greater numbers. He then completely misinterprets East Asian politic realities. I'll take it line by line....

The demise of Taiwan's independence movement has removed the only conceivable source of war between the United States and China. The two countries will continue to improve their military capabilities and compete for influence in eastern Asia, but as the threat of war over Taiwan recedes, they may moderate their defense policies toward each other.

As Johnny Neihu pointed out in the piece I referred to earlier, this is simply wishful thinking. In fact, there are a range of issues that the US and China might go to war over, not the least of which is China's relationship with Japan. Taiwan is one flashpoint among many.

As Beijing gains greater confidence that Taipei seeks not independence but cooperation, it should be able to relax its military posture. Unilateral freezes on new missile deployments and redeployments of missiles away from the Taiwan Strait by Beijing would increase support among Taiwan's voters for the KMT's policy of engagement. Such actions would also promote good relations between China and other countries in the region, serving China's declared objective of a "peaceful rise."

More wishful thinking. Beijing knows perfectly well that the only reason Taiwan "accommodates its position" is because it maintains a threatening military posture directed at Taiwan. Without that, no Taiwanese would choose to be part of China. In other words, Ross argues that in the future the lion will lie down with the lamb. As those of us not intoxicated with visions of perfect KMT worlds know, in that situation, the lamb won't get much sleep.

Ross does make one good suggestion:

The United States will also be relieved of the imperative to prepare for war with China. The United States will be able to reduce its pressure on Taipei to buy costly U.S. weapons that are ill suited for Taiwan's defensive needs and politically controversial. In fact, Washington should develop a new defense package for Taiwan that is more sensitive to Taiwan's strategic and budget realities and that could promote more cooperative political ties between Taipei and Washington by removing a source of acrimony from their relationship.

We can only hope. Ross then instantly returns to fantasy.

Once freed from the immediate threat of war, Taiwan will be able to focus on promoting economic development and consolidating its still- young democracy.

Consolidate its democracy? With the KMT in power? Don't think so, Robert.

It's a shame that Foreign Policy fell flat on its face here, accepting a poorly-constructed and highly biased article that makes only a pretense of scholarly objectivity. Sad. I hope the journal gets plenty of letters deconstructing this terrible piece. I certainly plan to send one.

Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Taiwan popular music in China

ESWN took the time to translate a great blogpost on Taiwanese popular music in China.

This headline reportedly came from a telegraph from a prostitute sent to her hometown folks, in which she called for her hometown girls to rush over immediately. This is classic, because these six Chinese words (人傻、?多、速?) explained everything succinctly. We can imagine that the hometown girls received this frontline report and charged over immediately in waves of large numbers. If money is so easy to make, who is going to farm the land? So I will list this phenomenon as the "migrant worker wave" too.

In recent years, there is another wave of migrant workers. I have observed that this migrant worker has many similar characteristics as the prostitutes that I spoke about first, because "the people are dumb, there is lots of money and therefore they came quickly." The difference is that they do something else. Unlike the prostitutes, what they do can be allowed to see the light of day. Actually, it is very respectable, and they are famous and admired people within a certain circle. They did not come from rural farming villages. They came from the other side of the Taiwan strait -- they are the Taiwan music people.

This is not because I hold any prejudice against the people of Taiwan. After dealing with them for so many years, I cannot help but use the prostitute's telegraph message to describe the reason why they are in mainland China -- the people there are stupid, there is lots of money to be made and therefore they came quickly.

It says stuff that I have heard and seen here too....

So after year 2000, Taiwan musicians went for the great escape to China. Taiwan is such a small place. A huge amount of investment is required to produce a record, and even the most popular records will have a limited base. This was a shaky business. If there were any business downturn, many people would lose their jobs. Also, the Taiwan recording industry tends to be conservative and they tend to stick to the market that they are familiar with. In 2002, I interviewed several Taiwan musicians, and they all believed that their recording industry destroyed the Taiwan market. Therefore, they had no choice but to leave home and go west, go west, and then go west into the arms of the motherland.

Enjoy -- even though it is [ugh!] popular music.