Monday, January 03, 2011

DPP: Tsai Ing-wen's New Years Statement

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From the Chairman of the DPP, Dr. Tsai Ing-wen:

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The DPP in 2011: Building a party that believes in our land and its people

The DPP is back, make no mistake about it. The results of the past two years’ elections prove this beyond the shadow of a doubt. The DPP is once again trusted and is a serious competitor to the KMT.

The DPP is the first post WWII political party to spring from this land of ours. From our first day we proclaimed our intention to stand together with the people of Taiwan. Taiwan is a land which has suffered grievously but we are never without hope and the drive to be masters of our own land. We the people of this land have a common past and also a common mission for the future. The most important thing for the DPP in 2011 is to believe in our land, believe in our people and the values we hold dear.

The DPP has always believed that our country’s roots are its land and its people. With the KMT so enthusiastically celebrating the ROC’s Centennial, we are not being cynical but simply ask the people of Taiwan to sit down and reflect. Each Taiwanese should ponder their understanding of their own country. Instead of arguing over the meaning of the " ‘92 consensus,” or the terms “one China different interpretations”, ‘different interpretations one China”, let's ask people themselves what they, in their heart of hearts, think their country is. The answer will come without hesitation: either Taiwan or the Republic of China. But behind these two answers there is a clear meaning, namely our country is this specific land; our country is different from and not part of the People's Republic of China.

So I don't understand why President Ma is insistently asking questions as if he were unsure about the present or future of our country's position. The reality is that this is our land, we are 23 million strong, we have walked a long hard road and established a vibrant democracy. For a president, your country exists here with the people who voted for you.

The biggest difference we have with the KMT is that the KMT says, "Without the ROC there is no Taiwan." We believe, "Without Taiwan there is no ROC". They worship at the altar of power and rulers. In contrast, our faith is in this land and its people. The difference is that we make Taiwan our priority and we believe we stand on the side of the majority of the people.

In 1949 the Republic of China came to Taiwan and became one part of the history of this land. We respect this historical fact, but we also believe that in the future, it is only through a democratic system can we change the structure that has existed for sixty years. But what people now need is neither the constant struggle between blue and green over national consciousness nor spending lots of money to build a sense of identity that is out of touch with reality. What the people want to see from now on is our citizens working together beyond the distinctions of blue or green and without any political confines, to freely create and choose our future.

For the majority of the Taiwanese people, 2010 was a difficult year. Yes, the GDP resumed its growth and consumption was up, but at the same time prices rose and, most importantly of all, the salaries and income of the majority of people did not rise. This shows that our economic development has entered a new pattern, where there is unequal distribution of wealth and development. While some people are quite happily enjoying the fruits of recovery, other families have endured a harsh winter with tears in their eyes. If this pattern of development continues, the wealth gap will continue to grow and disparity between urban and rural areas will get even worse.

For 2011, another mission of the DPP is to present an economic approach that is different from that of the KMT, to resist the worsening wealth gap in our society. While the KMT is complacent with the GDP growth figures, we will concern ourselves with people's lives, their employment and income. How high the numbers look is irrelevant; they are mere empty figures if the average person does not feel the growth. The DPP must feel what the people are feeling, must provide a secure future for those without economic or social capital. The DPP exists for these people and each day we must remind ourselves that if there were no DPP, who would care for the future of these people? This was the original purpose of the founding of our party, and remains the value we hold firm today and for which we will continue to fight.

2010 is past. We walked through this year full of gratitude, with appreciation for the people for their support, encouragement, tolerance, and hope. The DPP cannot keep the Taiwanese people waiting too long. We must do what must be done, we must do what touches the hearts of the people, and we will do so by going all out in this new year.
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Daily Links, Jan 3, 2011

Before we get into the Daily Links, I'd like to post my favorites from 2010, as is my New Year wont. Not in order, here are my ten favorite, starting with the pic above of Drew Kerslake's wife Joyce climbing along the sea-cliffs in Kenting.


I love everything about this pic, the clouds, the horses, the romantic interplay of light, dark, and shadow. Taken in Kenting in August.

It's not much of a picture, and it's only a dung beetle. But this photograph touched my secret heart, which misses Africa passionately, where I first saw dung beetles in action. Finding it by the roadside above Taroko was like stumbling across an old friend.

I waited for a few minutes trying to get the waves crashing against the breakwater as if trying to grab this fisherman fishing unconcernedly next to them. This wonderful shot was the reward.

Took this one on 169 not far from Fenchihu above the tea farms near Alishan. Lovely.

I love this picture because of the way it suggests the endless, open road, pregnant with possibility. That's my friend Karl on the bike. Taken on the east coast in January.

On that same ride as the shot above, near Hualien harbor, I shot these men hanging around on the giant concrete jacks that protect both the harbor and concrete companies' bottom lines.

I usually ride past the lovely Liyu Reservoir in Miaoli two or three times a month on my way to points north. This is probably my favorite photo of it.


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The light broke, illuminating the road and all the infinite beauty of riding in that area. Taken from Rte 9 between Hsintien and Pinglin.

This photo was taken on 159A, one of the loveliest roads on the island, on our ride to Alishan last month. Make sure you put a ride on it on your own schedule.

Meanwhile, what's on the blogs this week?

Before you read anything else, first see this awesome piece from Paul Monk in Quadrant Online. Monk disputes that the rise of China will inevitably lead to war. In that I disagree with him; I think we are on course for a couple rounds of hegemonic warfare and there is little that can be done about it. But it is a far ranging, erudite, and historically informed response.
The corollary of this is that it is not the rational self-interest of states which drives them to engage in intense security competitions and fight wars, but often deeply flawed, ideologically coloured and seriously information-poor calculations of costs and benefits by a shifting combination of competing national elites and ignorant popular opinion. This is what Thucydides showed in his classic history of the Peloponnesian War. It is what history after history has shown regarding the First World War. It is what Winston Churchill demonstrated with regard to the origins of the Second World War. It is what we must bear in mind with regard to China, if we are to avoid a war with that great and complex empire as its wealth and power increase.
Yup. And because of that fundamental lack of rationality that colors states-as-actors, China is currently pursuing a path that will bring it into conflict with all its neighbors, when it need not. Nobody threatens China.

On to today's links:

BLOGS:
MEDIA:
EVENTS:
Jan 8, Jerome Keating is hosting another meet up at the usual venue. Frank Dikotter is the speaker. Jan 10 Heritage symposium in Taipei. See the left sidebar under HOT HOT HOT for links.
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Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums! Delenda est, baby.

Sunday, January 02, 2011

Ma's New Year Message: We are China Ver 2.0

Ma's New Year's message: China-centric to the max, full of ideological fantasy as history, and offering yet another iteration of Ma's ideological views. Below is text of speech.

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"Building up Taiwan, Invigorating Chinese Heritage"

Vice President Siew, Presidents of the Five Yuan, Senior Officials, Fellow Countrymen, and Overseas Compatriots: Good morning and greetings to all!

Today marks the first day of the Republic of China’s centennial year, a day worthy of celebration and thanksgiving.

Pledges from a Century Ago  

A century ago, as China was besieged by foreign powers and on the verge of collapse, Dr. Sun Yat-sen overthrew the Qing court and founded the Republic of China—the first republic in all of Asia. [MT -- the first republic in all of Asia! What a load! The 1895 Republic of Formosa simply disappears, though he is standing on the island of its birth. Then there is the 1898 Philippine Republic. And for you trivia buffs out there, try the Hakka Republic in Indonesia, the Lanfang Republic of 1777.] He made a pledge to the people to build a strong and prosperous nation. A century ago, Chinese history consisted only of the succession of dynasties, and the people had no say in the matter. The establishment of the Republic of China was a pledge to the people to bring about a democratic way of life. A century ago, Chinese society was plagued by a severe wealth gap and widespread illiteracy. The establishment of the Republic of China was a pledge to the people to bring about equitable distribution of wealth and education for everyone. These pledges embody the ideals of the Three Principles of the People. Passed down through generations, they have been enshrined in our Constitution and indelibly etched into our lives. Today, with gratitude in our hearts, we pay our utmost respect to the martyrs and heroes of the Republic. Were it not for people like Lin Jue-min, who left his beloved wife for the cause, or Qiu Jin, who was martyred for her revolutionary ideals, or the countless other heroes and heroines who laid down their lives, the ROC would not be here today.[MT -- Taiwan has no separate history worth noting. That the ROC is a democracy is entirely due to the tireless efforts of the Taiwanese opposition. What-if question: if the Chiang regime had won the civil war, would China be democratic today?]

A Century of Stirring Achievements  

The story of the ROC over the past century is the history of the struggle to build a nation, of course, but it is also more than that. It is a saga of the toil and tears of a revolt against imperialism. Even more, it is a stirring ode to the role our forefathers played in the restoration of order to a world of chaos. In the early years of the Republic, the country was fractured by warlord satrapies. The National Government organized the Northern Expedition against them and united China, ushering in a decade of national development. Thereafter, the ROC crushed Japan’s ambitions over China in an eight-year war of resistance, and abrogated unequal treaties that had been in place for almost a century.[MT -- "crushed Japan's ambitions in China." Bwahahahaha.] As a result, Taiwan was returned to the fold of the Republic of China. [MT -- Taiwan was never part of the Republic of China or any other ethnic Chinese gov't.] At the end of World War II, the ROC played a pivotal role in the restoration of world order. It was a founding member of the United Nations, and contributed to the drafting of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, infusing into it the spirit of Confucianism. In 1946, National Assembly delegates chosen in elections held throughout the nation gathered in Nanjing to formulate the most progressive democratic constitution in Asia. In the process of their deliberations, they succeeded in melding the essence of Chinese culture with the core features of Western democracy. Following defeat in the Civil War and the loss of the Chinese mainland to the communists in 1949, the government relocated to Taiwan. This was a major setback for the Republic of China, but it did not dishearten or discourage us. Instead, we drew lessons from these painful experiences, rebuilt the nation, and gradually realized the ideals of Dr. Sun Yat-sen in Taiwan. Over the past six decades, the ROC government has implemented in Taiwan a series of reforms, beginning with capping farmland rent at 37.5 percent of the harvest, and transferring land from landlords to farmers. Private enterprises were nurtured, the Ten Major Construction Projects were launched, and industries were upgraded. We abolished the abusive “foster daughter system,” set up a labor insurance scheme, established nine-year compulsory education, introduced the National Health Insurance program, and instituted the national pension system. We also implemented local self-government, lifted martial law, repealed the ban on political party formation, abolished the Temporary Provisions Effective During the Period of Communist Rebellion, and redressed the wrongs perpetrated in the February 28 Incident of 1947 and the period of “white terror.”We opened all parliamentary seats to election, held direct popular elections for the presidency, and realized the peaceful transfer of power between political parties. These reforms are more than just historical milestones; they have made the ROC a paragon of political and economic progress for developing nations around the world and have dispelled the myth that democracy is unsuitable for a Chinese society. Today, the ROC is universally respected in the international community. We send aid missions around the world, our high-technology products are sold globally, our passports allow visa-free entry to 96 nations and territories, our innovative ability has won international acclaim, and our young people dazzle on the world stage. We are brimming with confidence.

Our Collective Homeland  

My fellow countrymen, all of us in today’s Taiwan have together experienced the growth and transformation of this land. We possess collective memories and experiences. We all experienced the thrill as our baseball teams achieved international glory, we all felt the indignation as we lost our seat in the United Nations, and we have all shed tears of pride upon seeing our national flag hoisted at international events. Yes, that blue, white and red flag symbolizing Heaven, Sun and Earth unites us, inspires us, and moves us. It gave the Eight Hundred Heroes the strength to fight valiantly in defending the Sihang Warehouse in Shanghai back in 1937. That flag is a collective memory we have all had since we were young, and is a rallying point for our patriotism. As President, I bear the solemn responsibility of continuing the past while leading the way toward the future, adhering to the principle of“putting Taiwan first for the benefit of the people.”And I have always kept in mind what President Chiang Ching-kuo said when, as Premier, he was preparing to implement the Ten Major Construction Projects: “If we don’t act today, we’ll regret it tomorrow.” That is why my administration has plucked up its courage and started implementing major reforms that several past administrations could not carry out. These include streamlining the Executive Yuan, merging and upgrading certain cities and counties, passing the Rural Regeneration Act, and implementing the national pension scheme and second-generation National Health Insurance program. We have also promoted cross-strait rapprochement, which has transformed the Taiwan Strait from a flashpoint for conflict into an avenue of peace.

Foundation for a Century of Prosperity  

My fellow citizens, the coming decade is key to our nation’s continued development and progress. We must make it a “Golden Decade” that lays the foundation for a prosperous second century of the Republic of China. Let us make this Golden Decade one of peace, infrastructural development, and well-being. I harbor four hopes for the future:

First, I want educational reforms that provide a lasting solution -- Education is the cornerstone of national power, and children are our hope for the future. To create a sounder educational environment for our young people, I am announcing today that education in Taiwan will now enter upon a new era. Starting this year, we will begin a phased implementation of twelve-year compulsory education, starting with vocational high schools. The tentative plan is that, by 2014, attending high school and vocational high school will be tuition-free and in most cases require no entrance examination. We will also expand support for preschool education. Beginning this year, school tuition for five-year-olds will be waived. As fiscal resources permit, this will gradually be extended to three- and four-year-olds to further alleviate their parents’ financial burden. However, preschool education will not be made mandatory. We fully understand that a dearth of young people will severely affect our national power, so the government will work to boost the birth rate by simultaneously addressing each aspect of the problem: marriage, birth, childrearing, and education. 

Second, I want environmental stewardship that provides lasting viability -- the greatest challenge of this century is global climate change while the greatest opportunity is the digital technology revolution. We already have a comprehensive plan for reconfiguring national land use and our disaster preparedness systems, developing new energy industries, as well as implementing energy saving and carbon reduction to bequeath a good environment to future generations. Taiwan’s economy must be transformed. Environmentally unfriendly industries must be eliminated. A green economy is the trend of the future and a major focal point of economic policy. We must ensure that the ROC has every opportunity for sustainable development. To meet the challenge of the digital era, we will promote digital high-definition television and go all out to build a broadband infrastructure to speed up the Internet, enhance its quality, and cut the cost of access. We intend to ensure that the digital lifestyle is a fundamental right of all citizens. 

Third, I want lasting justice -- we will forge a just and fair society where there is equal opportunity for development, the judiciary is impartial and clean, the gap between rich and poor is reduced, and human rights are safeguarded. Our society is deeply compassionate and caring. In the future, the government will join with volunteers and work hard to reduce the developmental gap between urban and rural areas and between north and south. We will also address the digital divide. We will continue promoting participatory reform of the judicial system, making an all-out effort to improve it in terms of fairness, quality, and efficiency, so as to provide a firmer safeguard for human rights and win back public trust in the judiciary. The senior citizen population in Taiwan continues to grow steadily. We are now living in an aged society, so we must actively promote long-term care insurance. We must have enough caregivers and provide adequate care facilities so that seniors will receive better social services and health care support. We must build a“ senior-friendly”society where the needs of senior citizens are factored as a matter of course into the designs of buildings and public infrastructure, so that those in the older generation can lead healthy, worry-free, and comfortable lives. Equitable distribution of wealth was an ideal championed by Dr. Sun Yat-sen. We will make taxation fairer, improve conditions for finding employment and starting a business, and enhance the social welfare system. Only then can the fruits of economic growth be enjoyed by the entire populace.[MT -- These sure sound purty, but we all know what will happen in practice.]

 And fourth, I want a lasting peace -- Peace in the Taiwan Strait is the foundation for peace and prosperity throughout East Asia, and is the joint responsibility of both parties in the relationship. Over the past two years and more, working within the framework of the ROC Constitution, we have preserved the status quo of “no unification, no independence, and no use of military force” and resumed talks with mainland China on the basis of the 1992 consensus, whereby each side maintains its respective definition of “one China.” To date, this has brought about direct cross-straight flights, opened the door for mainland tourists to visit Taiwan, and enabled mainland students to study here. It has also resulted in the signing of 15 cross-strait accords, including the Cross-Straits Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement. As a consequence, tension in the Taiwan Strait has been dramatically reduced, thereby contributing to regional stability and prosperity. We believe that the people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait share a common desire to shelve disputes and strive for long-term peaceful development of cross-strait ties. The authorities on both sides should put an end to conflict via rapprochement, and replace confrontation with cooperation. At this stage, any advocacy of a unilateral change to the status quo would affect the peaceful development of cross-strait relations. As both sides of the Taiwan Strait share a common ancestry dating back to legendary emperors Yen and Huang,[MT -- Note Ma's Han-centric vision of what Taiwan is.] we should enhance mutual understanding, build mutual trust, and gradually dispel differences of opinion via in-depth exchanges. Guided by the wisdom of our common ethnic Chinese culture, we can surely work out a very satisfactory solution.[MT: "common ethnic Chinese culture" will further down become "Chinese culture with Taiwan characteristics".]

Visions for the Future  

My fellow citizens, as the Republic of China begins its second century we should set our sights on the future and make four lofty resolutions:  

In the next century, the ROC will be the standard-bearer at the leading edge of Chinese culture. Taiwan has never experienced anything like mainland China’s Cultural Revolution.[MT -- no, just 50 years of Japanese rule, which have utterly vanished from this narrative, followed by a half-century of ROC colonialism and western consumerism.] Having preserved the rich roots of Chinese culture intact over the past six decades or so, Taiwan now dazzles the world with an aesthetic sense and artistic verve that are firmly grounded in a deep vein of traditional culture [MT -- This reference to the "traditional Chinese culture" preserved on Taiwan is actually a return to the rhetoric of the 1950s t0 1970s that Ma was weaned on. If you read anthro and sociology texts of that era you frequently encounter the claim that "traditional Chinese culture" was preserved on Taiwan in the face of Communism. The ROC as standard bearer of traditional Chinese culture was a legitimation strategy. But of course there is no such thing as "traditional Chinese culture", that is merely an ideological construct meant to support KMT rule in Taiwan.]. Taiwan also possesses the openness and innovation of a maritime culture. Traditional Chinese culture on this island early on absorbed the essence of Western contemporary civilization, which is manifested in its innovative art. Our dance, music, drama, visual arts, motion pictures, and television programming command high international acclaim and are reflective of a Chinese culture with Taiwan characteristics.[MT -- Ma's assimilationist catchphrase "Chinese culture with Taiwan characteristics." The developing Taiwan identity is a political fact that the KMT must deal with. Fortunately for Ma it includes the KMT. How will the Party make use of that in the next election cycle?] Among all the ethnically Chinese societies of the world, Confucian values are practiced more widely and more seriously in Taiwan than anywhere else. The virtues espoused by Confucianism -- benevolence, righteousness, filial devotion, respect for teachers, diligence, kindness, and simplicity -- have long been deeply ingrained in the fabric of our lives. [MT -- this is the same indexing of values Ma made in his inaugural speech and another way in which he expresses the Chinese-ness of Taiwan]. Taiwan is also home to a strong civil society, a diversity of religious groups and other organizations, a free press, and an active volunteer force. We need only display our cultural creativity to the world to attract the world to us. Taiwan is poised to be the standard-bearer at the leading edge of Chinese culture. 

In the next century, the ROC will serve as a paragon of democracy for the Chinese-speaking world. The ROC is a nation with its own independent sovereignty. The existence of the ROC not only ensures the security and dignity of Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matsu, but also proves that ethnic Chinese can indeed tread a new path of freedom and democracy.[MT -- again the appeal to "ethnic Chinese". In Ma's mind the ROC is a Han state. Note that there is no mention of the ROC as multiethnic state, no nod to the aborigines though they are a KMT bloc vote]. Our democracy is young, but it has given birth to a vigorous multiparty system. Democracy is Taiwan’s strength and pride, and is the foundation on which ruling and opposition parties compete and cooperate. We hope one day that all descendants of Emperors Yen and Huang [MT --again the racialist appeal -- this is the Chinese equivalent of referring to all the Aryan peoples] will enjoy freedom, democracy, and rule of law, as we do here in Taiwan. This is not a far-off dream, because these values have all been realized in Taiwan. They are not exclusive to the West. Taiwan’s experience can serve as a reference for the future development of mainland China. The two sides of the Taiwan Strait should not quarrel over political power, independence versus reunification, or Taiwan’s breathing room on the international stage. We should instead focus on encouraging and helping each other grow in terms of the core values of freedom, democracy, human rights, and rule of law. We care about how human rights develop in mainland China because it is a core value we hold dear. It is a key yardstick against which to measure the distance between us, and a tool for bringing us closer together.[MT -- recall that Ma's political career was built in opposition to democracy] 

In the next century, the ROC will become a global innovation center. Experience teaches us that the greatest amount of added value comes from innovation, research, and development. The farther a nation develops these areas, the stronger it will be. Taiwan’s industrial sector has begun a gradual move from being a supplier of OEM goods to being an innovator with its own brands. Year after year our firms are among the world’s top patent recipients. Our young people consistently put on a good showing at international inventors ’shows, and are named world champions in the face of fierce competition. We firmly believe that by bolstering R&D, encouraging innovation, cultivating the manufacture of domestically designed products, and protecting intellectual property rights, Taiwan will have established exceedingly favorable conditions for becoming a global innovation center and a cradle for the world’s top brands. 

In the next century, the ROC will become a nation the world will respect and an inspiration to many. Forbearing governance and benevolent rule are the essence of Chinese culture. It is in such a “nonpredatory yet progressive” spirit that we will proactively show concern for global issues and participate in international affairs. Ours is an expansive, outward-looking culture that takes the seven seas as its home base and the globe as the cradle of its civilization. As a member of the international community, the ROC is more than willing to take on its responsibilities and make contributions commensurate with our ability. We are determined to be a peacemaker, a provider of humanitarian aid, a promoter of cultural ties, and a creator of new technologies and business opportunities. We want to make the ROC a nation that is both respected by and inspiring to people around the world.

Conclusion  

My fellow compatriots: As we celebrate the ROC’s hundred years of history, let us recall that the ROC of today has come about thanks to generations of people who, concerned about their nation’s future, devoted their youth and ideals to the nation’s construction and social reform. As we begin a new century, I am reminded of the words of Jiang Wei-shui, a towering figure in Taiwan’s history, who said more than 80 years ago: “Compatriots must unite, for in unity there is great strength.” We must support and encourage each other, because the nation’s prospects and Taiwan’s future are in the hands of our 23 million people.[MT -- Ma has mentioned Jiang several times during the last few years. Again an attempt to subsume Japanese era activist Jiang Wei-shui into an anti-independence narrative, and without any mention of the Japanese rule Jiang was working against ]. We decide matters for ourselves. We must steadfastly defend the ROC’s sovereignty and work to protect Taiwan ’s dignity. With wisdom, let us create a brighter future for Taiwan and another prosperous century. Please stand with me as together we chant:

Long live the Republic of China!

Long live democracy in Taiwan!

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An interesting text, with its appeals to faux history, its complete lack of reference to Japanese rule in Taiwan, or to Taiwan's separate history, aborigines (some of whom were out protesting that day), etc. Ma's ideological views are laid out for all to see.

REF: Liberty Times editorial asks Ma to stop fabricating history.
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Daily Links:
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Saturday, January 01, 2011

Happy New Year!!!


Happy New Year to you, dear readers, who make this blog worthwhile. Light blogging forecast for the next couple of days as I'll be out enjoying the crisp weather. Hope you have a great 2011!
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Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums! Delenda est, baby.

Friday, December 31, 2010

KMT, DPP compete to see which one can be sillier on shooting incidents

New Year giddiness has apparently come early to the legislature where the DPP is pushing for a Truth Panel on the Sean Lien shooting incident....
DPP lawmakers are expected to propose the establishment of the investigative committee at the legislature’s procedural committee meeting this morning, although it is unlikely to receive support from the majority of KMT lawmakers.

If passed, however, the proposal would create a bipartisan legislative committee. DPP lawmakers said they want the committee to be named the “Nov. 26 Shooting Truth Investigation Special Committee.”
Not to be outdone, a KMT legislator immediately shot back (so to speak) with even greater looniness:

At a press conference yesterday, KMT lawmakers denied any similarity between the two shootings, suggesting that the former president’s incident was staged, while Lien’s shooting included evidence of “real” bullets.

“The Nov. 26 and March 19 [incidents] are monumentally different,” KMT Legislator Kuo Su-chun (郭素春) said. “One of them had real bullets, while the other one used fake ones. One victim was seriously hurt and was fighting for his life ... the other one was [grazed].”

There is not the slightest hint of conspiracy about the Sean Lien shooting incident. Consider: here is an incident in which a gangbanger accidentally shot Lien Chan's son on stage while attempting to off another apparent gang-connected politician and was prevented from completing the killing by a made guy in the Bamboo Union gang (an organization with old KMT connections) on stage with the KMT candidate. A perfect opportunity to relentlessly attack the KMT as a gang-ridden, corrupt, violent party. And what does the DPP do? Natter on about conspiracy theories! Be serious!

Heck, even if this was planned at the highest levels, forget the conspiracy hunt! It'd be far more useful to relentlessly go after the KMT with this gangster fodder they've handed the DPP. Or at least have some class and STFU.

Let's not even go into what those idiot herd-voters in Taipei have now proven beyond the shadow of a doubt, backed up by officials from the KMT and the DPP: that bullets can affect elections. What signal have we sent to gangsters with all this non-pursuit of gangster connections and politics? Great work, folks.

Finally, if the DPP wants to put its energy into a Truth Commission, by all means let us emulate South Africa and not the Warren Commission. Thousands of dead from the martial law era cry out for justice. Focus your energies there, DPP.
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Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums! Delenda est, baby.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Some Disturbing Thinking about Party Discipline

I've been reading on Facebook and Forumosa some quite disturbing opinions about the party disciplinary action by both the KMT and the DPP against city councilmen who voted against their own parties in the recent city council speaker and deputy speaker elections in the five municipalities. To wit:
Su Jia-chyuan said he will recommend that the party's Central Advisory Committee kick out those named by the respective council caucuses as having failed to vote according to caucus resolutions in the elections for speakers and deputy speakers in the five special municipalities.

One of these apparent wayward councilors was Lee Wan-yu of Xinbei City, who cast her ballot for herself rather than for the party's nominee for speaker. DPP Xinbei City branch chief Wu Ping-jui said Lee violated the caucus resolution and that the caucus has therefore decided to kick her out. An official request to that effect will be sent to the party headquarters the following day, Wu added.
The KMT is mulling similar action against its own party members. Many people appear to think that discipline was the antithesis of democracy. But actually it is democracy in action.

This is just a variation of the old principal-agent problem. If you hired a lawyer to represent you, and he entered a guilty plea when you instructed him to plead you not guilty, you'd can him. Similarly, if you played guitar professionally, you'd fire a manager who got you juggling gigs. If you owned a store and told the salesman to sell the cameras at $500 and he sold them for $1, you wouldn't let the salesman plead that "it's democracy." He'd be gone.

There's no difference here.

The vote for city council members is a procedural move to determine a party's clout in that deliberative body. By voting against your own party, you vote against your party's clout in that body, thereby reducing your future effectiveness and that of your fellow party members. Further, you give voters -- not just your voters but all your party's voters -- the middle finger, since you reduce your party's clout.

Representatives who take the resources of Party A to get elected and then vote for Party B are immoral and untrustworthy. They should be disciplined, like any contract breaker. That will send a signal to future voters that the party is worth doing business with.

You might argue that representatives should be able to vote their consciences. Sure, as a voter I might forgive a representative for voting her conscience on an issue of conscience, but there is no issue of conscience here. This is a procedural vote.

Further, the wrong votes are all about either corruption or faction fighting or personal politics, the triple curse of politics here in Taiwan. No one is voting against their own party's recommendation as an act of conscience.

One powerful way to end the corruption, factionalization and personalization of politics in Taiwan is to enforce party discipline and punish individuals who engage in those practices. That way we get more democracy. That way we get functioning parties that can carry out policy programs, which is why we put them in office in the first place.
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Don't miss the comments below! And check out my blog and its sidebars for events, links to previous posts and picture posts, and scores of links to other Taiwan blogs and forums! Delenda est, baby.

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Next Media Owner Lai in the WSJ

Next Media owner Jimmy Lai, the Hong Kong media mogul, weighed in at the WSJ on the NCC's refusal to grant a cable license to Next Media. This is a forthright, strong, and important article -- all credit to WSJ for running it and to Lai for writing it. Note the title: Taiwan's Less-Free Media: The government of President Ma Ying-jeou is tightening controls on Taiwan's press. Lai says:
In China, government assaults on free expression regularly generate attention around the world. Less so in other parts of Asia, alas. So when Taiwan's telecommunications and broadcasting regulator rejected my company's application for new cable TV licenses multiple times in the last year, most recently last month, the news went almost unnoticed outside Taiwan.

We are not the only media company affected; the government of President Ma Ying-jeou has undertaken several initiatives to restrain the previously vibrant Taiwanese press. As the majority owner of Next Media, I have a strong vested interest in this particular case. However, I believe that anyone who values the free flow of information—not to mention the future of a free Taiwan—should be concerned.

In delivering its decision, Taiwan's National Communications Commission cited concerns that we might not be able to satisfy various regulations, and that we might try to circumvent existing program-rating restrictions. Most ominously of all, the NCC said it could not be sure that Next Media would "fulfill its social responsibilies as a mass media operator." These are all shockingly subjective rationales. Instead of dealing with the facts and merits of our application, the NCC is punishing us on the basis of what we might do.

Next Media has been an effective competitor in the Taiwan market, and it is likely at least some of the pressure on the NCC comes from media firms that do not want to compete with Next. Apple Daily, the print rag, has managed to do something amazing in Taiwan's partisan media environment: it has positioned itself as an unaligned media outlet.

Lai says right out loud: this refusal to give a license is an attack on press freedom sanctioned at the highest levels:

Nor has the government stopped with Next TV. Last week, the NCC revoked the entertainment channel license of another broadcaster, ERA TV, sparking protest from some lawmakers.

In an even more worrying development, the Taiwanese legislature is now considering a bill that would ban news outlets from "describing or illustrating violence, bloodshed, pornographic sexuality, or lewdness in detail." The language containing this provision is part of a group of amendments being pushed by an NGO called the Child Welfare League Foundation, as well as by the Taiwanese government's Child Welfare Bureau.

The goal, to shield children from violent or graphic content, is a laudable one. But in practice, this law would have a chilling effect on reporting for children and adults alike. So vague is the wording, it has the potential to impact the reporting of every crime, every accident—not to mention every embarrassing misadventure by a Taiwanese politician.

Here it helps to remember that though the NCC is an ostensibly "neutral" body, its members are nonetheless nominated in proportion to the number of seats of political parties held in the legislature. Today the KMT has an overwhelming majority in Taiwan's legislature and holds the presidency. So one has to wonder whether the quality of reporting in Taiwan is really the driving concern here. The NCC would not undertake actions that endanger press freedom and the reputation of Taiwan if President Ma and the ruling KMT did not back their actions.

Lai's inclusion of the NCC's shutdown of ERA is probably unwise though the local media has reacted to it strongly as a threat to all of them. However, the NCC's case against ERA looks pretty solid. The Taipei Times reported last week:

Commission spokesperson Chen Jeng-chang (陳正倉) said ERA TV’s operating license was issued on Feb. 27, 2004, and expired on Feb. 26.

“The commission knew the channel had 49 recorded violations in the past six years, with penalties totaling NT$16.75 million [US$540,000],” Chen said. “Although the commission granted the renewal, there were two conditions.”

The first was that the channel’s content must abide by Articles 17 and 19 of the Satellite Broadcasting Act (衛星廣播電視法) — which in general terms regulate content and hidden advertisements respectively — for a period of a year following renewal. The second stipulated that program reruns could not exceed 60 percent of daily content.

The channel had three violations since February, Chen said.

The most serious was in June, when the channel was fined NT$1 million for failing to distinguish between regular programs and commercials, thus violating Article 19 of the act.

“The commission sent an official notice in July, which informed the channel it had violated the conditions for its license renewal,” Chen said.

The channel was also fined NT$2.1 million as it continued to operate after its operational license became invalid in July.

The interesting thing is whether the shutdown of ERA is what it appears to be on the surface, a reasonable response to a continuing problem, or whether it is the opening salvo in an assault on the media for political purposes, in which ERA is the "reasonable" victim that makes more outrageously politically-motivated attacks possible.

People often focus on direct government assaults on the media, but there are two other serious problems. First, the government's use of "advertorials", fake news stories that are really a form of advertising for the government's own policies and products, is out of control:

Although the practice, also known as placing “advertorials,” was adopted 10 years ago when the Democratic Progressive Party was in power, the KMT did not address it after regaining power in May 2008, [Premier] Wu told reporters.

“A government is bound to promote itself, so is a candidate, a political party, a company or a state, but there should be a clear distinction between news stories, advertisements and promotion,” Wu said. “Product placements should be avoided.”

Product placements “deceive” people, he said, because they are a form of paid advertisement masquerading as a news story.

“While it is impossible for -governments or companies to refrain from running promotions or advertisements, a line must be drawn to distinguish promotion and advertisement by businesses, political parties or individuals from objective news stories,” Wu said.

The controversy over the government’s use of advertorials came to the fore after veteran reporter Huang Je-bing (黃哲斌) resigned from the China Times on Dec. 12, likening the practice to the use of propaganda by the Chinese Communist Party. On Sunday, more than 100 reporters and professors of communication at various universities signed a petition calling on the government to stop resorting to advertorials, a practice they claim has grown substantially under the Ma administration.

The legislature is now working on legislation to address the issue. An article on the signature campaign is here. A media official, commenting in the Taipei Times, observed:
In 2008, Ma signed a pledge opposing embedded marketing of a political nature, but since then the government has continued to use taxpayers’ money for this purpose. According to ratings published late last year by AC Nielsen, advertising for the top 50 government agencies topped NT$1.24 billion (US$42 million), and the combined advertising and PR budget for the Mainland Affairs Council (陸委會) was as high as NT$180 million. These attempts to strip the fourth estate of its right of supervision and oversight threatens to destroy the core value of news reporting. This attack on the freedom of the press could force Taiwan even further down international ratings. The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index, compiled by the UK’s Economist magazine, has even returned Taiwan to the “flawed democracy” category.
The corrupting effects of government money flowing into the media are bad enough, but private corporations also do the same thing, I have heard. Chinese money also flows into Taiwan's media as well.....
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Name that city!!!!

What should Xinbei be called? Call it Shuangho (雙河). This would be Twin Rivers in English, giving it a pleasant, pastoral sounding name representing the Danshui and Keelung Rivers that flow through it. In Chinese it would have not only the two rivers(河), but also the two "ho-s", Yungho (永和) and Chungho (中和), and thus be a nifty play on words.

New North City is lame. New Taipei City is ok but boring. Your suggestion?
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Monday, December 27, 2010

Daily Links, Dec 27, 2010


On the descent from 130 in Miaoli down to the valley just below Sanyi. A lovely ride, perhaps I will hit it again tomorrow.

My son wrote this on FB today: "Just got called by gangsters based in China, trying to scam me into giving them cash. I answered in English, "Hello?" and the tape recording stopped abruptly and I could hear a lady in the background distinctly say "American" in Chinese and hang up. Best way to get rid of those phone scammers is answer in English lulz."

Meanwhile, what's the inside story on the blogs today?

BLOGS
MEDIA:
Not Taiwan: Best Nigerian Scam ever

JOB
: A friend of a friend wants some one on one English tutoring in Taipei. Contact Michael J Klein at thenhbushmanATgmail.com Sorry, that is all the information I have.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010

New Municipalities, Old Problems

The new municipalities of Xinbei, Tainan, Taichung, and Kaohsiung opened for business today. One result was that the DPP made historic gains at the city council level, continuing its long-term erosion of the KMT presence in the local governments:

While local council heads are traditionally dominated by Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and independent councilors, the DPP, for the first time in the nation’s history, took both the speaker and deputy speaker seats in the Greater Tainan City Council, as well as deputy speaker seats in the Taipei and Greater Kaohsiung City Councils.

In Taipei City, the incumbent council speaker, Wu Bi-chu (吳碧珠), of the KMT garnered 37 seats and won the seat for the fourth time, while her DPP rival Lee Chien-chang (李建昌) received 32 votes.

However, DPP councilor Chou Po-ya (周柏雅) defeated the incumbent deputy speaker Chen Chin-hsiang (陳錦祥) by a 30 to 29 margin, making him the first-ever DPP member to serve as deputy speaker of Taipei City Council.

The KMT accounted for 30 of all 62 Taipei City councilors, while the DPP garnered 23 seats. There are eight councilors from the New Party, People First Party and Taiwan Solidarity Union, and one independent councilor.

In the Taipei City election the KMT managed to unite behind the speaker, but split for the vice-speaker election due to the usual situation of one politician angry at another, with the PFP switching sides. Still, it is progress.

The North-South income disparity is an important driver of the island's political life; but now emerging is a growing clash between the municipalities and the counties. For years, Taipei and Kaohsiung commanded a huge chunk of government money, with Taipei getting the majority of that. To counter Taipei's massive advantages, Taipei County, Kaohsiung and its county, Taichung and its county, and Tainan and its county have decided to upgrade to municipality status in order to collect a bigger share of the government budget. Recall that in the ROC system a municipality is the equivalent of a province whereas the counties remain merely local administrations. The result is a worsening of urban-rural budget issues:
Under the tabled revision, special municipalities are set to receive 61 percent of the money set aside by the central government, up from 43 percent and roughly proportionate with their share of the population.

At the same time, the share given to counties and local municipalities will fall to 24 percent from 39 percent — a figure that the county commissioners yesterday want revised upward.
I wondered how income would be redistributed, but as in every country, income flows uphill toward power. The law revisions call for the municipalities to get 61 percent of the central government flows -- they used to get only 43%. I wondered how the government would handle the problem of all the new municipalities demanding new budget resources, and the answer is now clear: pillage the counties even more. The article referenced above opened with this emotional appeal:
Yunlin County is close to being unable to pay either the salaries or year-end bonuses of its 100,000 public servants.

Yilan County has a NT$20 billion (US$669.8 million) debt that is not getting any smaller, while Chiayi County has a NT$3 billion deficit it has not been able to reduce this year.
A month ago a commentary in the Taipei Times discussed the problems of local government debt in Taiwan, both public and "hidden":
Last year’s audit report revealed that up until the end of last year, of the eight cities and counties that will make up the soon-to-be five special municipalities, Taipei City had the highest overall debt at NT$291.7 billion (US$9.58 billion), followed by Kaohsiung City at NT$211.2 billion, Taipei County at NT$108.1 billion, Taichung County at NT$48.5 billion, Tainan County at NT$44.5 billion, Tainan City at NT$31.7 billion and Kaohsiung County at NT$26.4 billion. Taichung City had the lowest overall debt at NT$7.2 billion.
Similarly:

A 2009 audit report showed that until the end of last year, the eight cities and counties set to make up the country's five new special municipalities from Dec. 25 had an estimated US$26.6 billion of debt, including money owed to national health and labor insurance programs, pension contributions and interest payments for the pension schemes of civil servants.

Taipei City had the highest overall debt at about US$9.9 billion, followed by Kaohsiung City with around US$6.6 billion.

Taichung City had the lowest overall debt of US$238 million, but its debt is set to increase to US$1.7 billion after its merges with Taichung County to form a special municipality on Dec. 25.

Debt is a critical driver of political history. The new municipalities now redefine the north-south tension as a municipal-county tension. The Taipei Times had a page on the sputtering nonsense of the mayors of Taipei city, Taipei County, Taichung, and Tainan:
Amidst all these backward-looking, faintly fascist calls for restorations of glory and new ages, one headline caught my eye:

Stressing that all resources would be equally shared and fairly distributed, she also pledged to reduce the gap between rural and urban areas.

“I pledge there will absolutely be no such thing as a so-called ‘one city, two systems,’” she said.

She also called on the central government to attach more importance to the voices of southern Taiwanese.

Awesome.
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Ma claims US supports 1992 consensus, saying:

The president also reaffirmed that the “1992 consensus” is the foundation for progress made in cross-strait relations since he took office in May 2008.

“Three out of the four sides involved in cross-strait relations, the ROC, mainland China and the U.S., have acknowledged this consensus, Ma said. “It plays an important role in maintaining the right direction.”

“But if the fourth side, the opposition Democratic Progressive Party, does not accept the consensus, uncertainty may arise,” he said. “Without the consensus, peaceful development across the strait could be called into question.”

Ma's stance is interesting. (1) the US has made no public acknowledgment of the 1992 Consensus. All it has done is made happy noises about the CCP-KMT talks. (2) China has never accepted the 1992 Consensus either (not that it matters to China, so long as the KMT serves its interests). Did I forget to mention that the 1992 Consensus doesn't exist (so why should the DPP accept it)? This is just the President's way of dressing up party-to-party negotiations in a little diplomatic dignity.

More interesting is that even as the President acknowledges the presence and necessity of the DPP, he is attempting to marginalize it by painting it as the one out of step with history (note also the subtle appeal to "inevitability"). This is a common strategy opponents of the DPP use. One wonders how Ma sees the DPP here -- as representing the Taiwanese? Because it is obvious that he is including it out of the ROC in this very revealing remark, while making the KMT and the ROC mean essentially the same thing. Party-state ideology of the kind that gave us five decades of martial law apparently still colors Ma's view of things.

As a piece in the Taipei Times noted today:
Another thing worthy of note is that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) made was less critical of cross-strait affairs during the recent special municipality election campaigns than it has been in the past, and once they were over the DPP announced its intention to establish a think tank aimed at initiating exchanges with China. This implies an acceptance that regardless of which party holds power, cross-strait exchange is now an unstoppable trend.
The exchanges will go on no matter who is in power. The article also noted another point about the non-governmental exchanges between retired military officers:
Both the retired Chinese and Taiwanese officers had things that they insisted on, but the Taiwanese side rejected the currently optimistic Chinese view, stressing Taiwanese democracy and identity.
The reason that the 1992 Consensus isn't "accepted" by the DPP is that it is not rooted in this vision of Taiwan as a democratic and independent state with its own identity, but rather, in the KMT's Return to Zion theology of One China in which Taiwan is annexed to Beijing. The 1992 Consensus is a rejection of Taiwan's separate and independent identity. Nor does the "1992 Consensus" have any democratic legitimacy -- it was negotiated by a government that got to power by silencing its opposition.
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Friday, December 24, 2010

The Ponds of Taoyuan

Ponds of the Taoyuan Tableland
The Taoyuan Tableland and its ponds. The international airport is in the upper right corner.

I was hunting around for a place to bike tomorrow, looking for an old Qing dynasty canal in our fair city of Taichung, when I stumbled across this page on "Taiwan's Beautiful Canals and Ditches." Put off by its odious oily oozing Chinese-centrism, I left a note there to remind them that the aborigines had constructed waterworks long before the Han conquistadors and settlers showed up. However, as I did so, my roving eye fixed on something on that page I had seen dozens of times, but had never noticed before: the ponds of Taoyuan.

Most people reading this have flown in and out of Taoyuan international and looked down to see the sparkling faery landscape of ponds that spill across the Taoyuan tableland. The page on old waterworks in Taiwan describes what you are seeing:

Those shining mirrors are the county's agricultural irrigation ponds. The Longtan pond was the first, built in 1748. The region's irrigation system has developed gradually, pond-by-pond, over the past 261 years. Each pond stands as a historical record of how local families brought the land under cultivation, and at one time, there were more than 10,000 such ponds in Taoyuan. However, urban expansion has led to the destruction of many of these ponds -- one recent survey shows that there are only 693 left -- with each one filled with dirt marking the end of the history of certain families, as well as the loss of habitat for water birds.

According to the survey, each pond can provide territory for an average of seven water birds. With an estimated 7,000 hectares of pond lost over the years, this represents the loss of habitat for nearly 50,000 birds.

The article goes on to say that the ponds are particularly vulnerable to destruction by Taiwan's developmentalist sociopathology. Irrigation regulations require that a given pond have only one owner. Hence, negotiations for ponds are easy since construction companies do not have to deal with more than one owner.

Another web page describes how they were constructed:
The ponds were usually built in the lower areas. Builders dig both the red soil and pebble layers, then encircle the area with banks. The red soil is highly adhesive. When mixed with pebbles and pressed tightly, a waterproof bank can be made. Banks encircle the ponds in the low areas. Before the Shih-men Reservoir was constructed, ponds were the major source of irrigation water.

According to statistics, there were as many as ten thousand ponds on the Taoyuan plain before the great drought in 1913. At that time, Taoyuan Hsien was known as the "thousand lakes hsien". All ponds were connected; and thus an irrigation system was created.
The ponds were also supplanted by other waterwork construction in the twentieth century. After the Taoyuan Main canal was completed during the Japanese period and the Shihmen Reservoir came online a couple of decades later under the KMT, the new infrastructure became major sources of irrigation water for the area. The ponds were also integrated into central government systems during the twentieth century. Nevertheless, a little over 50% of the area's irrigation water continued to come from the pond and weir system. The Taoyuan Irrigation Association mandates that the ponds must be 80% full at all times, as a backup irrigation system in case of drought.

The ponds made complex agriculture possible in the relatively waterless Taoyuan Tableland, supporting not only rice cultivation, but also domestic waterfowl, fish, and valuable water plants. They also provided home to wild birds and rare plants:
A big mound of earth sits next to a factory in Three Lakes Village, brought in to fill in nearby ponds. Yen points to the mound and comments, "There used to be ponds here about two meters deep." Of the three or four ponds nearby, one has been filled in, one has been converted for recreational fishing, and one has been drained. A few aquatic plants can still be found in the boggy area left behind after the one pond was drained. "There used to be frogsmouth all over the place," laments Yen, "but even that is disappearing fast." Insectivorous sundew plants once grew in the rice paddies right next to the factory, but are no longer to be found (here).
Sadly, the ponds are rapidly disappearing, in many areas remembered only by placenames like Dragonlake, Three Lakes Village, or Big Lake. The focus on saving wetlands in Taiwan has primarily been on areas next to rivers or the ocean, the ponds of Taoyuan, of deep argicultural, environmental, and cultural interest, have somehow slipped off the radar. So next time you fly out of Taoyuan Airport, look down. There'll be fewer ponds when you get back.
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Thursday, December 23, 2010

Drought and Taiwan


A spider guards her eggs.

When most people think of natural disasters, the ones that spring to mind are events such as earthquakes, typhoons, or floods. Yet perhaps the most influential, and destructive, of natural disasters is one that few immediately think of: drought.

The impact of drought on history is profound. It may have been long-term drought that sent Homo sapiens out of Africa in search of new lands to colonize. In Taiwan drought has been a regular feature of the island's history. For example, the massive drought of 1638-9 was part of a larger pattern of drought across Asia that may have contributed to the end of the Ming Dynasty.

Though we often think of Taiwan as a wet, green island, droughts of varying severity are quite common in Taiwan. In the last century, southern Taiwan has undergone a long-term decline in rainfall and water shortages and droughts have become more common. In the north rainfall has increased, but in both places the number of rain-days has fallen and dry days increased. Overall, between 1945 and 1960, the island's rain patterns began to shift, with drought worsening in the south and the center but declining in frequency for all but the worse droughts in the north.1,3 Global warming, driven by human activities, is one obvious culprit: Taiwan's years with the most rain-days all occurred before 1953.2 Southern Taiwan, the island's agricultural heartland, is feeling the biggest impact.

Since 1895 Taiwan has been hit by major droughts from 1899-1902, 1906-1910, 1913-1916, 1960-1965, 1978-1980, and 1993-1997. Other important droughts occurred in 1946, 1954-55, and 2002. In several cases drought length and magnitude has apparently been influenced by volcanic eruptions, which produce years with significantly fewer rain-days.2 Sulfur-rich eruptions impact Taiwan in two ways: first, they pump aerosols into the atmosphere that inhibit precipitation; and second, they cool the surface of the ocean, reducing evaporation and moisture in the atmosphere. The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) also affects Taiwan's droughts but the overall effect is generally much lower than that of volcanoes.4

Drought actually comes in several flavors. Meteorological drought, discussed in the paragraphs above, refers to the conventional idea of no rain. Hydrological drought is concerned with how meteorological drought plays out in local water basin systems.
It takes longer for precipitation deficiencies to show up in components of the hydrological system such as soil moisture, streamflow, and ground water and reservoir levels. As a result, these impacts are out of phase with impacts in other economic sectors.
Agricultural drought links the above two types of drought to their impact on agriculture. For example, the combination of drying from climate change and lower reservoir levels means that rice fields are often left fallow in the most productive part of the year in southern Taiwan because there is not enough water for them. Curiously, as southern Taiwan dries out, droughts appear to be starting earlier and terminating earlier.5

The changes in precipitation have had complex impacts on Taiwan. Wang6 writes:
The rapid declines both in precipitation amount and days in southwestern Taiwan for the past 60 years have resulted serious difficulty in the water resources management. For example, the extraction of surface water for the water usage in Taiwan has been diminished from 150x108 m3 in late 1970 to about 120x108m3 in 1990s, a 17% shortage of average annual demand (~180x108m3). The major water deficiency occurs in the southwestern region that has been suffered the heavy reduction of precipitation for the past decades. Groundwater has been forced to significantly increase to meet the overall water demand every year. Consequently, over-exploitation of groundwater since 1980 caused chain-series effects, such as groundwater level waning, land subsidence, seawater intrusion along the coast and groundwater quality deterioration (Wang et al., 2004). River pollution is another critical problem for the southwestern Taiwan partly due to the drop of precipitation of the past decades.
The disastrous effects of both drying and drought show how much more expensive drought is than other natural disasters -- its effects are long-term, subtle, and profound. It is sobering to imagine the south in its global context -- rainfall in southern Taiwan is three times the world average, yet the area is constantly afflicted by drought and water shortages.

The negative effects of drought -- increases in groundwater pumping, polluted water, subsidence, saltwater encroachment, and so forth -- interact with other problems generated by Taiwan's unique topography and its breakneck development. One article7 points out:
Pressure to move people inland has led to road construction and deforestation, both of which have contributed to an already high denudation rate of topsoil. As a consequence of this, thirteen rivers in Taiwan are now ranked among the top 20 worldwide in terms of sediment yield.
.....
[Rapid run-off of water resulting in water shortages] is especially serious for Taiwan because the island is so highly dissected geographically. Many places in the central mountain ranges are geographically classified as extremely dissected with a roughness of >160 m km-1... Only 0.4% of all land on Earth is dissected as much.
Luckily in 1993 Taiwan began shifting to a more conservation-oriented forest management system which has impacted this situation positively. Still, as the article above observes, inter-basin management in Taiwan is difficult because the mountains are so steep. Exacerbating the various problems are the island's water management policies, including the low price of water which encourages overuse, the lack of support for conservation, the refusal to enforce groundwater pumping rules, and the preference for large, water-intensive industrial projects, especially in the south.

What does this mean? Sometime in the next few decades these trends -- overuse of water, frenetic groundwater pumping, subsidence, seawater intrusion, drought and long-term drying -- are going to come to a head in southern and south-central Taiwan and force major changes in agricultural production and water sourcing. Perhaps someday resources such as deep-rock aquifers in Taiwan may be exploited, but at present, much of the impact of long-term warming could be mitigated by sensible water policies, enforcement of water regulations, and shifts in crop preferences and production methods. Yet there seems little momentum for that at the central government level. Hopefully one of the political parties will take get out ahead of the curve on this key issue.

REFS:
1. Historical trends and variability of meteorological droughts in Taiwan. Chen Shien-tsung; Kuo Chun-chao, Yu Pao-shan. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 54: 3, 430 — 441
2. This on volcanoes
3. The Influence of Climate Change on meteorological drought characteristic in Taiwan, BALWOIS conference paper
4. The Impact of Worldwide Volcanic Activities on Local Precipitation-Taiwan as an Example Li, et al. Journal of the Geological Society of China
5. The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture Water Resources for Paddy Rice over Southern Taiwan
6. Precipitation Changes and Their Impacts on the Water Resources Management in Taiwan. Chung-Ho Wang
7. Island-based catchment—The Taiwan example. Chen, A. et al
8. Analysis and Evaluation of Taiwan Water Shortage Factors and Solution Strategies
Wang, CY, Wang, JB

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