Hong Kong tourism is helping to offset China fall? Nope.

Mysterious chicken. Because you'd rather action immediately than heart attracting.

So I downloaded the numbers from the tourism bureau.....

	Hkk/Mac	China	Tot	%Hkk/Mac
Jan	112043	255689	367732
Feb	106183	202287	308470
Mar	124044	201599	325643
Apr	190785	214196	404981
May	128522	201867	330389
Jun	147918	189078	336996
Jul	156823	237251	394074
Aug	177048	249999	427047
	1143366	1751966	2895332	39.48
2016	1,614,803	3,511,734	5,126,537	31.49

...as you can see, last year arrivals from Hong Kong and Macao accounted for 31.49% of all arrivals from China. This year, such arrivals account for 39.48% of all arrivals from China. When I looked at this a while back, it seemed that China was loudly announcing cuts while using Hong Kong to silently buffer the cuts by increasing the Hong Kong share.

That's what I thought at first. But actually, Hong Kong's share is pretty steady. Consider: if Hong Kong continues at its average of 130-140K or so a month for the next four months (Sept, Oct, Nov, Dec), it will reach a number higher, but still close, to the 2016 figure. The rising share of Hong Kong is an illusion caused by the fall in Chinese tour group tourists.

In other news, origin unstated arrivals are up year on year. So there's that, anyway.

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