Taiwan's political commentators were working overtime today with the dramatic announcement by current New Taipei City Mayor Eric Chu (Chu Li-luan) that he will run for re-election in the Nov 2014 local elections. He has promised that if elected he would not step down to run in 2016 for President. There had been much speculation that Chu would run in 2016 and many us considered him the KMT's best choice for Presidential candidate.
Why would Chu decide to remain in New Taipei City? He's only 53, so he has a decade in front of him. The year-end elections are starting to look dicier for the KMT and having the KMT firmly in control of the nation's biggest municipality would help them in 2016. There may be some internal KMT pressure as well -- Chu is a mainlander but is not in President/Chairman Ma's circle. I suspect if this is Ma's doing, then we'll see Ma advance the current premier, Jiang Yi-hwa. It may all be vapor -- Chu will run, win, and then step down to run in 2016. As my friend Ben pointed out, he could well lose, and then he'd be free for 2016 anyway.
The KMT field has narrowed to Mayor Hau of Taipei, Veep Wu Den-yi, dark horse Premier Jiang, and perhaps a couple of others. All of them look eminently beatable at the moment, but there's two long years until the 2016 election...
The plot thickens!
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Chu is a mainlander
ReplyDeleteChu was born in Taoyuan.
I see this as Chu probably feeling he will win New Taipei City again in November, Hau Long-bin (or whoever) will will lose the presidential election in 2016, and that the DPP will be ripe for the picking after one term in office in 2020 giving him a good chance of an eight year stint as president.
ReplyDeleteI see this as Chu probably feeling he will win New Taipei City again in November, Hau Long-bin (or whoever) will will lose the presidential election in 2016, and that the DPP will be ripe for the picking after one term in office in 2020 giving him a good chance of an eight year stint as president.
ReplyDeleteEric Chu is needed to cement KMT support in the nation's largest municipality for KMT's election performance to not fall apart, given Keelung and Taoyuan's corruption scandals.
ReplyDeleteEric Chu already has past history of bailing on his term. He did not finish Taoyuan commissioner's term (although I think he promised to serve the full term). So he probably has no qualms quitting New Taipei mayorship early if needed to run for presidency.
Chu is a mainlander
ReplyDeleteChu was born in Taoyuan,
If only it were that simple.
Talk about an invisible politician - I am one of those furiners here that pays attention to Taiwan politics, but I rarely seen anything about Chu in the news. Maybe that's a good thing... a guy not interested in sound bites? What has this guy accomplished? He seems to be about as charismatic as a slug.
ReplyDelete"What has this guy accomplished? He seems to be about as charismatic as a slug."
ReplyDeleteisn't that the formula that got Ma to the very top? Remember Ma was also known as the teflon politican, emerging from the muddy water of the KMT nice and clean. Sounds like Chu is simply following suit.