tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post8713998265560858310..comments2023-10-22T18:25:39.688+08:00Comments on The View from Taiwan: Chen Interview in Der SpiegelMichael Turtonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17974403961870976346noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-36109863624442616032007-10-03T21:16:00.000+08:002007-10-03T21:16:00.000+08:00"I don't gamble with exception of stock market and...<B><I>"I don't gamble with exception of stock market and 1 dollar lottery ticket. :)</B></I><BR/><BR/>I do. Unfortunately I'm on the same side he is. I'd put the odds of an invasion pretty low. With the way the economy has been sputtering here and roaring over there, China will likely be able to <I>buy</I> all the support they need.Markhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09652288045145591799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-16648178841194045592007-09-29T02:46:00.000+08:002007-09-29T02:46:00.000+08:00talk is cheap: how about a gentlemen's bet?I don't...<B>talk is cheap: how about a gentlemen's bet?</B><BR/><BR/>I don't gamble with exception of stock market and 1 dollar lottery ticket. :) And thousands of Taiwnese lives just worth 200 dollars to you?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-23813794683834466962007-09-28T21:33:00.000+08:002007-09-28T21:33:00.000+08:00Well arty my prediction is: the PRC will do nothin...Well arty my prediction is: the PRC will do nothing that stupid. They've just spend a huge amount of effort for their PR exercise with the Olympic games. They'll not be willing to risk their relations with other countries over the Taiwan issue. Their government is well aware on how much their position depends on continued economic growth.<BR/><BR/>Alright though - talk is cheap: how about a gentlemen's bet? I'd wager US$200. You are such an expert on PRC/Taiwan relations, so that should be easy money for you. Mail me at db5gq5502@sneakemail.com (throwaway-address I'll let it live until spam starts coming in) and let's exchange details.StefanMuchttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13041616398172997165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-61693645755200633732007-09-28T12:43:00.000+08:002007-09-28T12:43:00.000+08:00I think it does bear mentioning that "Taiwan UN Da...I think it does bear mentioning that "Taiwan UN Day" on Oct. 24th will be marked by official events rather than a day off (只紀念不放假 ). In other words, no one will pay any attention to it.Michael Faheyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11057491107522344042noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-38681645822008735062007-09-28T12:32:00.000+08:002007-09-28T12:32:00.000+08:00My personal prediction:1. Taiwan UN referendum pas...My personal prediction:<BR/><BR/>1. Taiwan UN referendum passes.<BR/><BR/>2. It will take 6 to 9 months to get ready.<BR/><BR/>3. 2008 Olympic.<BR/><BR/>4. Invasion of Taiwan right after Olympic.<BR/><BR/>Perfect timing?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-83863912106043526922007-09-28T08:57:00.000+08:002007-09-28T08:57:00.000+08:00Semi-related follow-up article:China's Communists ...Semi-related follow-up article:<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=aNRSJ.FmqDU8&refer=china" REL="nofollow">China's Communists to Set New Taiwan Policy at Party Congress</A><BR/><BR/>Looks like trouble ahead for Taiwan on Oct. 15Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com