tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post3181168256329547660..comments2023-10-22T18:25:39.688+08:00Comments on The View from Taiwan: Hung is now the candidateMichael Turtonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17974403961870976346noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-31240116087730747962015-07-22T16:53:09.917+08:002015-07-22T16:53:09.917+08:00>>Hung also supports the TPP....
I've n...>>Hung also supports the TPP....<br /><br />I've not heard Tsai come out against the TPP...<br /><br />Just sayin'Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-54111636666908560052015-07-22T15:44:51.113+08:002015-07-22T15:44:51.113+08:00@Carlos. Mmm. You're right that Hung probably ...@Carlos. Mmm. You're right that Hung probably only has the loony red-at-any-cost fringe that is truly beholden to her and would not switch to a more moderate alternate. I think the deciding factor there may well be Wang Jyn-ping. If he goes over to PFP then all bets are off. OTOH, a great many people see Soong for exactly what he is, an opportunist. PFP always has been a kind of refuge for KMT-in-exile and with all the recent ship-jumpers coming aboard it reminds the public what their roots are.<br />I don't think Soong can defeat Tsai for the Presidency and I think he knows it. How would he turn that position to his best advantage, by sticking it out to the loss or by adding his votes to Hung's at the last moment in return for more seats in the next Cabinet or some other reward? I cannot imagine Hung backing down, nor her backers here and in Beijing lesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-41613443355011687832015-07-22T15:25:49.912+08:002015-07-22T15:25:49.912+08:00He'd have a chance of winning.
A very small c...<i>He'd have a chance of winning.</i><br /><br />A very small chance, it would still be unlikely. It's one thing for supporters of minor parties to congregate around a larger one, as they always accept they back a small party. But supporters of the KMT see themselves as number 1. Their view is that people like the PFP should be backing them 100%, not the other way around.<br /><br />And to be honest, Soong is an old face without any fresh ideas. Even if he could unite the hard core blue vote, I don't see him getting a majority.Rajnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-34075445267382968182015-07-22T01:34:44.625+08:002015-07-22T01:34:44.625+08:00les, would Soong really do that - is he still in s...les, would Soong really do that - is he still in some way loyal to the KMT? This is his chance to turn the PFP into a major pan-blue party, maybe even THE major pan-blue party. It's a hell of an opportunity. They could do well in the legislature, and if Soong were to overtake Hung in the presidential election he might be able to count on the vast majority of Hung voters switching over to him (in the same way that almost all of his supporters ended up voting tactically for Ma last time). He'd have a chance of winning.Carloshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13079284428870214896noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-35687137298509991712015-07-21T23:04:08.540+08:002015-07-21T23:04:08.540+08:00I could smell that old-timey, totalitarian party-s...I could smell that old-timey, totalitarian party-state stink emanating from the congress without even being there.<br /><br />Great blog Michael, keep up the good work.Rakunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-73273044340924657502015-07-21T16:56:04.157+08:002015-07-21T16:56:04.157+08:00@anon@8:48
According to the clip, She wasn't s...@anon@8:48<br />According to the clip, She wasn't saying that Sun Yat-sen did those; she's saying that Sun Yat-sen created KMT, which did those stuff. The Subject and the "it" in her sentence refers to KMT, not Sun Yat-sen. <br />Not saying that those are not problematic statements, but to say that she claimed that Sun Yat-sen did all those stuff is missing the mark. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-74588735287602867912015-07-21T15:19:10.466+08:002015-07-21T15:19:10.466+08:00A few thoughts...
Ma-Hau-Lien camp are keeping Wa...A few thoughts...<br /><br />Ma-Hau-Lien camp are keeping Wang Jyn-ping on a short leash by offering him the chance to stay in the Speaker's job without having to run for election himself, which isn't really on offer anyway. Can they keep him on that leash or will he jump ship to PFP with whatever of the localized KMT is elected to the LY? I can imagine a chunk of the LY 'crossing the aisle' in the first day in session.<br /><br />Tsai Ing-wen will probably run a quiet, serious campaign that sticks to policy, avoids attacking Hung directly and appearing petty or vindictive. Hung will continue shooting herself in the foot with her stupid remarks and amateur campaign 'strategy' anyway, so why bother going after her? The internet will do that at no cost (or blow-back) and the KMT padding Hung's poll numbers won't help any.<br /><br />James Soong will cut a deal by which he gets to run his 'middle road' candidates for the LY in the center and south unopposed by KMTers. Half of them have jumped ship to PFP anyway, and more will likely follow, so it's actually a graceful way out for KMT. In return Soong will run a soft campaign for President which will mostly focus attacks on Tsai Ing-wen, then he'll withdraw at the last moment and urge his supporters to vote for Hung. Soong will get to pick the Speaker or the deputy in return, and have a sizeable chunk of the Legislature to bargain with for further deals.lesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-57673754089075064752015-07-21T14:14:52.305+08:002015-07-21T14:14:52.305+08:00the speech she gave implicitly criticized Ma Ying-... <b>the speech she gave implicitly criticized Ma Ying-jeou</b><br />I think it's 黃復興黨部 doing KMT purification, in the ideological domain. Hung is the newest flag-bearer of 黃復興黨部 and her criticism of Ma's domestic performance is really a way of attacking Ma for his disappointing performance in chinese nationalism. <br /><br />The recent expelling of the five KMT members, who all have criticized Hung's candidacy, is really purification in the physical domain. an angry taiwanesenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-46244655719789501462015-07-21T08:51:00.439+08:002015-07-21T08:51:00.439+08:00Hung also supports the TPP. If Taiwan signs up for...Hung also supports the TPP. If Taiwan signs up for this it will a negative effect on Taiwan. Just one example, medicine. Forget about getting 10 pills for a common cold anymore. Or for that matter, more expensive drugs for only NT$50 ea. Pharmacy bills will be in the thousands of dollars. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10698887.post-56192263564272587532015-07-21T08:48:53.192+08:002015-07-21T08:48:53.192+08:00>>Someone should ask Hung whether Mongolia i...>>Someone should ask Hung whether Mongolia is part of the ROC...<br /><br /><br />Well, for comical effect, her official acceptance speech at the congress included the claim that Sun Yat-sen lead China in the eight year fight against the Japanese invasion. Not comical enough? She continued to say that he [Sun Yat-sen] lead Taiwan out of the sadness of being a [Japanese] colony.<br /><br />1. Sun Yat-sen died in 1925 and has been crowned as the founder of KMT.<br />2. The so-called 8 year war against Japan happened between 1937-1945.<br />3. Japan ended its colonial rule of Taiwan in 1945; but, officially in 1952 as part of SF Peace Treaty.<br /><br />Here's a link to the segment of her speech (in Chinese):<br /><br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WUW70WD5JCs<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com